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**OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
09-10-2024, 03:50 PM
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#7081
- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
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- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
- Join Date: Oct 2013
- Posts: 4,986
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For political debates I think you’d want to stick to foods that are more basic and less acidic to avoid tooth enamel damage when throwing it back up
LolFound myself this sweet shop a mile away. Getting some gelato and some 10/10 macaroons. Come at me bro
Monster0ultra self proclaimed "Chad" face pic looks like vtech school shooter: https://i.imgur.com/z2m6Why.jpg
09-10-2024, 07:30 PM
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#7082
09-10-2024, 07:46 PM
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#7083
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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^Just RILY calls bby
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
09-10-2024, 08:17 PM
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#7084
09-10-2024, 10:11 PM
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#7085
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
- Join Date: Nov 2016
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I was hoping someone here could say... seems like there is a ton of bias everywhere. Can't listen to what people on regular misc say. Not interested in reading anything most main stream media says... I should check reuters. That is one of my preferred sources on political stuff as they manage to stay fairly neutral.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
09-10-2024, 10:26 PM
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#7086
- BBAckman
- Registered User
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- BBAckman
- Registered User
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As someone who's balls deep in Fannie and Freddie the debate was pretty much kamala not answering anything just bashing Trump and Trump just rambling and bashing Joe.
The media is already spinning it as a Harris baits Trump into saying blank blank blank and Harris wins but I don't think the debate helped or hurt either of them they essentially performed as anyone who's been keeping up with politics would expect.
After the debate though betting odds are shifting from slightly in trumps favor to about a toss up or slightly in kamalas favor depending on the site.
On a different note looks like TLT's on track to cross 101 tmrw with expectations that we might actually get a 0.5% decrease next week.
The media is already spinning it as a Harris baits Trump into saying blank blank blank and Harris wins but I don't think the debate helped or hurt either of them they essentially performed as anyone who's been keeping up with politics would expect.
After the debate though betting odds are shifting from slightly in trumps favor to about a toss up or slightly in kamalas favor depending on the site.
On a different note looks like TLT's on track to cross 101 tmrw with expectations that we might actually get a 0.5% decrease next week.
09-11-2024, 06:04 AM
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#7087
09-11-2024, 08:12 AM
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#7088
09-11-2024, 08:51 AM
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#7089
that’s all just bear porn on television specifically designed to make you sell, remember, when you sell, you are selling to the market makers, they want your positions cheaply, then after September they will tell you that everything is good and it’s time to buy, and of course they will dump the same stuff you sold to them today on your head Next month,
election year September is not red, if you take out Covid and 2008 crash, which are obviously not seasonal.
Another thing to consider is that even if S&P 500 is red, it doesn’t mean that things we should be investing in are going to be Red, google, Amazon, even Nvidia, all undervalued here, Tesla, FSLR, enph, severely undervalued.
election year September is not red, if you take out Covid and 2008 crash, which are obviously not seasonal.
Another thing to consider is that even if S&P 500 is red, it doesn’t mean that things we should be investing in are going to be Red, google, Amazon, even Nvidia, all undervalued here, Tesla, FSLR, enph, severely undervalued.
09-11-2024, 09:17 AM
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#7090
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
- Join Date: Nov 2016
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Defensive plays not looking good here either. Kr looking to touch $50 before earnings tomorrow. Again, don't know if good earnings will do much for share price in the face of merger getting blown up and all related costs, $800m in lawyer fees up to this point getting flushed, and $400m termination fee.
FNMA/FMCC trading like Trump doesn't have a chance. I think the reality is they will be released by next administration with announcement of going back private before end of 2028(unsure if they would have it done before next election but the timeline will at exist), but if Trump wins they are released likely by 2026 or 2027 likely with better terms.
Other trump plays getting crushed as well.
Rily strangely positive, but lots of puts expiring this week and as always 50%+ interest on borrow will keep adding up. At some point they gotta start covering and new short interest data drops after hours today. No sigificant covering yet so whatever new data says I am guessing there is still 10m shares short(was 12m previously) which means short interest still above 60% easy. I am tempted to try and average down on 9/20 calls to try and get out from those calls with a small profit instead of holding to expiration, but I think better play is just move on to the October monthly strike.
FNMA/FMCC trading like Trump doesn't have a chance. I think the reality is they will be released by next administration with announcement of going back private before end of 2028(unsure if they would have it done before next election but the timeline will at exist), but if Trump wins they are released likely by 2026 or 2027 likely with better terms.
Other trump plays getting crushed as well.
Rily strangely positive, but lots of puts expiring this week and as always 50%+ interest on borrow will keep adding up. At some point they gotta start covering and new short interest data drops after hours today. No sigificant covering yet so whatever new data says I am guessing there is still 10m shares short(was 12m previously) which means short interest still above 60% easy. I am tempted to try and average down on 9/20 calls to try and get out from those calls with a small profit instead of holding to expiration, but I think better play is just move on to the October monthly strike.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
09-11-2024, 01:15 PM
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#7091
- misctrader
- Registered User
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- misctrader
- Registered User
- Join Date: Mar 2020
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Since the crypto thread is like 3 down and no replies since yesterday, maybe you guys would be interested inhttps://afitnessforum.com/
Started by a Miscer and giving free crypto to posters
Started by a Miscer and giving free crypto to posters
09-11-2024, 01:27 PM
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#7092
09-11-2024, 03:30 PM
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#7093
Like many of the other debates, I don't think anyone really won it. I'd give the edge to Trump for various reasons though.
Trump started out strong and objective with his answers. Kamala started out a bit nervous, and I recall her not answering the first few questions at all. She was clearly prepared with a script and stuck with it throughout most of the debate. My GF and I both agreed throughout that she often failed to answer the questions. Despite this, many journalists and people interviewed said she did well...shrug
ABC showed some clear bias with fact checks ready on Trump, yet did not one fact check on Kamala.
By midway through the debate it started to get kind of sloppy on both sides. Kamala poked the bear a few times and he took the bait. Talking about his rally sizes being small and people leaving early. Clearly not true, but he took the bait and got defensive.
By the end of it, you don't really have an idea on what her economic policies are other than more handouts (talked about $50k credits towards small businesses), what has she been doing with foreign policy, if anything, wasn't pressed at all about Afghanistan pullout fail, why the war in Ukraine continues and what has she done to start peace, and why they haven't gotten back the Israeli hostages, and she made no real comments about the border or illegal immigration either.
I specifically asked my GF about who won the abortion debate, because she has a lot of liberal friends and I'm curious how Trump did in comparison. Now that she understands Trumps position and how the SC returned the decision to the states, it's a position she now prefers and makes the most sense.
I think most people have already made their choice on the candidates. I don't see another debate occurring unless it's with Fox, so Trump at least has less bias in the moderators.
Trump started out strong and objective with his answers. Kamala started out a bit nervous, and I recall her not answering the first few questions at all. She was clearly prepared with a script and stuck with it throughout most of the debate. My GF and I both agreed throughout that she often failed to answer the questions. Despite this, many journalists and people interviewed said she did well...shrug
ABC showed some clear bias with fact checks ready on Trump, yet did not one fact check on Kamala.
By midway through the debate it started to get kind of sloppy on both sides. Kamala poked the bear a few times and he took the bait. Talking about his rally sizes being small and people leaving early. Clearly not true, but he took the bait and got defensive.
By the end of it, you don't really have an idea on what her economic policies are other than more handouts (talked about $50k credits towards small businesses), what has she been doing with foreign policy, if anything, wasn't pressed at all about Afghanistan pullout fail, why the war in Ukraine continues and what has she done to start peace, and why they haven't gotten back the Israeli hostages, and she made no real comments about the border or illegal immigration either.
I specifically asked my GF about who won the abortion debate, because she has a lot of liberal friends and I'm curious how Trump did in comparison. Now that she understands Trumps position and how the SC returned the decision to the states, it's a position she now prefers and makes the most sense.
I think most people have already made their choice on the candidates. I don't see another debate occurring unless it's with Fox, so Trump at least has less bias in the moderators.
★★★ A State of Trance Crew ★★★
♞♞♞ Misc Horse Head Crew ♞♞♞
09-11-2024, 05:35 PM
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#7094
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
- Join Date: Nov 2016
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Rily showing short interest unchanged. Again based on volume and interest rate to borrow shares I’m guessing there was some covering as rate is 50% to borrow vs the 70% it was at the time. On a 15m float whether there is 10m borrowed or 12m it isn’t going to matter when news drops and the retail shorts are forced to cover. This isn’t primarily institutional shorting, it’s a couple of dudes with small hedge funds and a bunch of retail hangers on that are about to get smeared on the wall. Market cap at $6/share is $185m. This short interest has been massive for a long time so a lot of profits likely have been getting chipped away from borrow fees. Now the puts are going to $0 for anything otm/atm opened the last month or so too. Haven’t seen much call buying yet in comparison which I have been a little surprised by. I was hoping to see a ramp up closer to monthly expiration next Friday, but that’s ok. I bought some October calls this morning before the quick spike around noon.
Bought some more TLT puts at $100p for $52 exp 9/20. I think we retrace some. Covered my $97CCs for a big ol loss at $3.9 each and resold $100p for $2.30 for October; I was paid $1.5 initially so not ideal, but I figure I might get full premium by October.
Bought some more TLT puts at $100p for $52 exp 9/20. I think we retrace some. Covered my $97CCs for a big ol loss at $3.9 each and resold $100p for $2.30 for October; I was paid $1.5 initially so not ideal, but I figure I might get full premium by October.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
09-11-2024, 05:45 PM
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#7095
- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
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- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
- Join Date: Oct 2013
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+10% day for me, strong rugpull
Monster0ultra self proclaimed "Chad" face pic looks like vtech school shooter: https://i.imgur.com/z2m6Why.jpg
09-11-2024, 05:48 PM
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#7096
09-11-2024, 06:33 PM
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#7097
- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
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- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
- Join Date: Oct 2013
- Posts: 4,986
- Rep Power: 166022
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There was a misc discord while back for trading. Idk what the status is now
Monster0ultra self proclaimed "Chad" face pic looks like vtech school shooter: https://i.imgur.com/z2m6Why.jpg
09-11-2024, 09:12 PM
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#7098
- sejoon!
- Come at me pussies
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- sejoon!
- Come at me pussies
- Join Date: Nov 2002
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https://imgur.com/a/nBUm5RT
worst week of my life (found out misc is done, came here to COPE.)
i'll set up a trading discord/youtube live stream super degen trades while not being serious. its only your livelihood.
might as welll have fun with you guys talking chit while losing all my money
worst week of my life (found out misc is done, came here to COPE.)
i'll set up a trading discord/youtube live stream super degen trades while not being serious. its only your livelihood.
might as welll have fun with you guys talking chit while losing all my money
https://imgur.com/a/nBUmRT
09-11-2024, 10:51 PM
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#7099
- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
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- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
- Join Date: Oct 2013
- Posts: 4,986
- Rep Power: 166022
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just numbers on a screen at the end of the day boyo.
Monster0ultra self proclaimed "Chad" face pic looks like vtech school shooter: https://i.imgur.com/z2m6Why.jpg
09-11-2024, 11:23 PM
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#7100
09-12-2024, 06:52 AM
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#7101
09-12-2024, 08:59 AM
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#7102
09-12-2024, 09:11 AM
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#7103
09-12-2024, 10:01 AM
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#7104
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
- Join Date: Nov 2016
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Kr popping off. Almost rebought some of the $55c for Oct I sold a month ago… would have been a solid 70% gain… just didn’t want more money in short term calls lmao
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
09-12-2024, 10:09 AM
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#7105
- usersignup2
- Registered User
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- usersignup2
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If anyone is interested in Misc Trading Discord invite, send me a DM
09-12-2024, 11:53 AM
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#7106
- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
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- TugOfPeace
- 1012 ng/dl
- Join Date: Oct 2013
- Posts: 4,986
- Rep Power: 166022
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PLTR drop is imminent
Monster0ultra self proclaimed "Chad" face pic looks like vtech school shooter: https://i.imgur.com/z2m6Why.jpg
09-12-2024, 12:33 PM
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#7107
09-12-2024, 01:57 PM
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#7108
- sejoon!
- Come at me pussies
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- sejoon!
- Come at me pussies
- Join Date: Nov 2002
- Location: Korea, Republic of
- Age: 40
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https://www.reddit.com/r/Trading/com..._think_took_a/
My post in this reddit, i do not know how to embed pics on this board. (pathetic huh? been here since 2001 lol)
My post in this reddit, i do not know how to embed pics on this board. (pathetic huh? been here since 2001 lol)
https://imgur.com/a/nBUmRT
09-12-2024, 02:50 PM
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#7109
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