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» More General Categories » Education/Career/Finance » *Official* Options trading thread: Why Alpha/Beta when you can Theta?
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post 1697655493 02-09-2024, 11:13 PM
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#1291
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Originally Posted By kusok
^^^ unless there’s something I’m dramatically misunderstanding, the decision to roll your covered calls or to take assignment should be based on the outlook of the stock,
agree
post 1697655673 02-09-2024, 11:23 PM
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#1292
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bought MSTR for a trade wrote 585c weeklies. Stock mooned and my shares will be called away but will net 2400.

Out of semis for now, don't like how top heavy it is getting. Expecting a small market pullback.

TSLA puts I rolled last week for a loss gonna expire worthless. Remaining position 500ish loss.

total net for the week include swing trades 9.5k
post 1697785123 02-13-2024, 12:45 AM
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#1293
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MSTR going crazy, moving inline with bitcoin.

Bought 750C x5 near open. Closed when BTC struggled to regain 50k and market started to sell off.

5600 net.
post 1697787303 02-13-2024, 03:03 AM
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#1294
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
MSTR going crazy, moving inline with bitcoin.

Bought 750C x5 near open. Closed when BTC struggled to regain 50k and market started to sell off.

5600 net.
Exp date?
post 1697789893 02-13-2024, 05:01 AM
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They were for this week's expiration.
post 1697825413 02-13-2024, 08:30 PM
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#1296
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since i started mainly selling options instead of buying, the pullback today was decidedly more pleasant. closed out a couple of CCs. Heard that the price of puts is going up for the forseeable future but don't really know what that means in practical terms. Guess I'll get to googling over the weekend.
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post 1697834403 02-14-2024, 04:49 AM
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Originally Posted By jafomofo
since i started mainly selling options instead of buying, the pullback today was decidedly more pleasant. closed out a couple of CCs. Heard that the price of puts is going up for the forseeable future but don't really know what that means in practical terms. Guess I'll get to googling over the weekend.
Well, if price of puts is going up that’s great for selling them since you’re an options seller.
post 1697834543 02-14-2024, 04:56 AM
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#1298
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
They were for this week's expiration.
nicely done!

I was looking at MSTR yesterday’s option chain and a $685 at the money call for this Friday went from $2600 to $3200 in minutes, but I was too pussy and not enough cash to take bigger position. Was also scared since some fund (forgot the name) was selling bitcoin yesterday, spoiling the nice momentum.

Generally I would never buy options unless it’s like 2 years out with a .90 delta lol, mainly for poor mans covered call. But these short term calls are tempting when you’re sure of the upward direction.
post 1697846193 02-14-2024, 10:44 AM
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#1299
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Been doing this all day today:

Use ichimoku cloud on 1 minute time period to identify an uptrend. Buy MSTR weekly at the money option as soon as there is confirmation of an uptrend. Put a sell order at $100 higher, so $2300 I spent becomes $2400 my money when I sell. The computer sells it a few seconds later LOL, I guess the spread is what I’m taking advantage of.
post 1697870083 02-14-2024, 07:55 PM
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thinking about taking out a mortgage on the house to buy 1 Apr19 put on SMCI.


not really, just shocked at those numbers.
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post 1698012283 02-17-2024, 11:47 PM
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very poor decision making this week. Started out with a good win and then A) played puts against bullish momentum on MSTR and B) played 0DTE puts on TSLA, again playing against bullish momentum. Gave back all my gains plus more for -2700 for the week.

winning streak had to come to an end sooner or later. Upcoming week I will be cautious because of holiday week - tends to be chop. Will look to work mostly CC on some recent holdings. Fear & Greed Index still showing extreme greed so I expect some more red volatility over the next few days. Therefore, will be selling slightly higher delta than usual, maybe even NTM.
post 1698279973 02-23-2024, 11:18 PM
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#1302
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
Will look to work mostly CC on some recent holdings. Fear & Greed Index still showing extreme greed so I expect some more red volatility over the next few days. Therefore, will be selling slightly higher delta than usual, maybe even NTM.
this worked out well for me. Since Tuesday open was red, did not sell NTM but instead 20D.

this is what I had for the week, all weeklies:
HD 370cc
TSLA 185csp x5
TSLA 212.50cc x5
ELF 185cc
MSFT 415cc x7
MARA 33cc x10
MARA 23.50cc x30

total net just over 4500, not including stock appreciation for shares that will be called away. Stock appreciation on those total roughly 2800, held for 3 weeks or less.

Fear & Greed Index back to Extreme Greed so anticipating another volatile week. Took a small position in SQQQ and will dump on a pop. Took a position in CPNG. Will re-buy MARA on a dip.


Likely done buying options. Realistically, even though I had good entries for the most part on my scalps and very good win rate and total net, this bull run is largely responsible for the success. It's unlikely that I could duplicate it in a 'normal' market. Success on longer dated contracts was 0/5, luckily those were low dollar plays, though totalled was somewhere around 2500 in losses - losses on trades that I shouldn't have taken but did so because I thought I was 'better' than I actually was. In addition, the stress of scalping contracts is not worth it. The main goal has to remain long term viability and that is not a realistic approach. So back to the regular program of covered calls. Will still swing trade and scalp on high conviction stocks. Overall bias remains bullish for the market at least until mid-year or when rate cuts happen.
post 1698597503 03-01-2024, 11:56 PM
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#1303
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
Likely done buying options.
Well that didn't last long.

NVDA calls for a day trade.

Closed my SQQQ position for small gains.

TSLA 210cc x5

Total net for the week 5k.
post 1698633393 03-02-2024, 06:29 PM
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any downside to letting some CCs get called away? hidden fees etc...? They are .70 itm, rebuy is .5 so almost certainly will buy them back.

i assume for tax purposes I'll see 2 entries if i let them get called, sale of the stock and the premiums from the ccs.
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post 1698633783 03-02-2024, 06:38 PM
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#1305
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Originally Posted By jafomofo
any downside to letting some CCs get called away? hidden fees etc...? They are .70 itm, rebuy is .5 so almost certainly will buy them back.

i assume for tax purposes I'll see 2 entries if i let them get called, sale of the stock and the premiums from the ccs.
Stock could open higher next business day. Your broker may also have additional fees for assignment.
post 1698647673 03-03-2024, 12:56 AM
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#1306
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Originally Posted By jafomofo
any downside to letting some CCs get called away? hidden fees etc...? They are .70 itm, rebuy is .5 so almost certainly will buy them back.

i assume for tax purposes I'll see 2 entries if i let them get called, sale of the stock and the premiums from the ccs.
What the poster above said, but personally I never want to let that happen unless I want out suddenly. I find that I make more money rolling up and out and waiting for mean reversion, I don’t have to roll out of money if I can’t, just roll up and out for credit or even for no credit, as long as I don’t pay.

When stock went up and is about to catch your calls, the momentum is likely to continue, so you’d be missing out as you lose your position. This happened to me before, and I learned. With growth stocks what I do is this: if my calls are in the money I immediately roll up and out, I don’t look for credit, nor do I wait, since it can become harder and harder to roll up and out as expiration date approaches. In this manner I was recently able to get both a high premium on enphase AND take advantage of stock appreciation.

I was taught to only buy the calls back when I captured 90% of the profit from them.

I know people also use a specific technique where their covered call can be very deep in the money, but they just keep rolling it up and out forever.
post 1698652573 03-03-2024, 05:40 AM
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#1307
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^ I'd say this is a good overall analysis and action plan.

It's important to have a sense of how your ticker reacts and the phases it goes through. That's why I try to only deal with high conviction stocks and have a less diversified portfolio so that I have the time to analyze. No one can deal with 20-30 stocks effectively unless it's just hodl. Most stocks will go through a repeatable trading phase in two to three cycles. That is it might run for say 40 days, take a breather and repeat. Therefore if you are rolling up and out you can potentially guestimate how long to roll out for so that you are OTM when the cycle ends. It's not an exact science but it can give you a bit of an edge so that you can retain your shares while still collecting premium.

Generally the times I get in trouble with CC are when I'm chasing premium or when my calls are ITM and I don't want to lose the premium I've already collected and opt to have them called away. As Kusok said, when the stock runs against you, it will continue to run, therefore, the hope that you can buy back in after they are called away begins to diminish rapidly.
post 1698696633 03-04-2024, 02:30 AM
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#1308
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace
I've never even considered rolling up and out, I generally always created my CCs at my stock's actual breakeven price.

That is good advice though, right now for example my cost basis on some recent shares is $15.50 but the share price is stuck at $12 or so. Premiums aren't any good past $13.50-$14.00 so I will try to sell CCs at that strike and if they become ITM, I will roll up and out. Solid advice.
Selling calls below your cost basis is dangerous, but you can use tricks like averaging down first, and being careful not to do this in strong bull markets and uptrends. Or you can do some typical “stock rescue” trick, like start selling cash secure puts on it to earn premium and lower the cost basis if you get assigned. Or go out further, sell monthly’s, or even 3 months out, sell after a squeeze, on greenest days. And also if stock goes up and your calls are ITM you may need to roll right away. The deeper the call is ITM the harder it is to roll without having to pay.

There is also a technique where you sell and buy 2 calls each, which reduces your overall cost basis and you can break even sooner and at lower price than your original cost basis. I totally forgot the formula… but it’s online. I did this before. If you bought a stock at $15 and it drops to $10, unbelievably there is a multi option order you can execute that suddenly makes your break even at $13 or so without any cost to you. I should try to find this again. It’s an order going out a few months or at least weeks, and you would use this if you want out as soon as you can without a loss.


I’d love to get usersignup2’s thoughts on this. As one of my Tesla positions in one brokerage is stuck at $245 and I’m going to do stuff with it to be able to start selling calls again., I’d love to know how you’d handle that situation.
post 1698698213 03-04-2024, 03:34 AM
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#1309
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I'm not a fan of getting too complicated with options because it goes against my general thesis of keeping things simple. I'm also not too concerend with unrealized gains.

It really comes down to conviction and your outlook on the stock as you own. IF you are red and you plan to hold then analyze where price action is and momentum. Is it going sideways, uptrend or downtrend?

If it's in a downtrend and you don't want to sell then you can do CC NTM. if it is sideways then based on RSI and Bollinger, is it moving up or moving down? Keep in mind where support and resistance is. For TSLA I think it is chopping right now with downside to 175 and resistance around gap fill at 210. Personally I would sell calls at 210-212.50 and not be too concerned about premium. Sell puts around 180-185 if you want to add. Sell calls at 10-15 delta if you want to be cautious based on market sentiment.

Fear&Greed index is at extreme greed so there will be an attack sometime this week. Don't be caught chasing premium when your stocks take a dip because more than likely they will bounce back once volatility subsides.
post 1698738933 03-04-2024, 08:18 PM
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#1310
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NVDA 890C x10 for 1600 net
post 1699424003 03-19-2024, 11:48 AM
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#1311
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closed out my 4/19 60C oxy calls today, bit premature but i was up a bit over 1K on them and I still have shares to let run a bit.

My CVE CC's got called away a day early so I wound up not being able to close those out and retain the stock which was a screw up on my part since the stocks up and likely to keep going.

Avoided getting assigned on my sofi CSPs and going to wait until tomorrow to rewrite those at 6.5.

Anyone taking shots at shorts on crypto stocks? they are too expensive for me.
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post 1699678083 03-25-2024, 07:01 AM
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#1312
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Question:

What would be an example of “half intrinsic value, half time value” in the money leaps call option? I’m trying to make sure I understand this correctly, could you give me a hypothetical or an actual example from a stock? I used to buy a leaps deep in the money .9 Delta option to sell covered calls on a.k.a. poor man’s covered call, a couple years out, but I’m learning a different strategy and I’m having a little bit of trouble understanding the math.

And please speak as you would to a 2 year old, or to a golden retriever.
post 1699684343 03-25-2024, 09:58 AM
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#1313
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Originally Posted By kusok
Question:

What would be an example of “half intrinsic value, half time value” in the money leaps call option? I’m trying to make sure I understand this correctly, could you give me a hypothetical or an actual example from a stock? I used to buy a leaps deep in the money .9 Delta option to sell covered calls on a.k.a. poor man’s covered call, a couple years out, but I’m learning a different strategy and I’m having a little bit of trouble understanding the math.

And please speak as you would to a 2 year old, or to a golden retriever.
I'm not familiar with the strategy but it would work out close to 60-65delta.

take the premium and divide by 2. Add the result to the strike price. That should add up close to current stock price.

half of the premium + strike price = stock price.
other half of premium = time value

ex. stock price is $500
$450 strike is trading at $100
$450 strike is $50 ITM and remaining $50 of the premium is time value.
post 1699689393 03-25-2024, 11:33 AM
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#1314
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
I'm not familiar with the strategy but it would work out close to 60-65delta.

take the premium and divide by 2. Add the result to the strike price. That should add up close to current stock price.

half of the premium + strike price = stock price.
other half of premium = time value

ex. stock price is $500
$450 strike is trading at $100
$450 strike is $50 ITM and remaining $50 of the premium is time value.
thank you! got it.
post 1701112383 05-14-2024, 05:41 PM
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#1315
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been selling fewer weekly calls and more long dated, taking profits at 50% instead of waiting for expiration. Strategy is to sell roughly 35DTE at 35-40D and take profits at 50%. Also trying to refrain from selling calls during what I see as a strong uptrend. Overall goal is to reduce the amount of daily upkeep, maintenance on contracts, and thereby minimizing daily stress. Upside is this captures higher total premium while market is in a bit of a sideways trend and lower IV.

today STO:

MSFT Jun21 435cc x7
MSTR May17 1040csp
TSLA Jun14 185cc x7
PANW May17 312.50 x2
RDDT May17 60cc x2
post 1701119313 05-14-2024, 08:32 PM
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#1316
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
been selling fewer weekly calls and more long dated, taking profits at 50% instead of waiting for expiration. Strategy is to sell roughly 35DTE at 35-40D and take profits at 50%. Also trying to refrain from selling calls during what I see as a strong uptrend. Overall goal is to reduce the amount of daily upkeep, maintenance on contracts, and thereby minimizing daily stress. Upside is this captures higher total premium while market is in a bit of a sideways trend and lower IV.

today STO:

MSFT Jun21 435cc x7
MSTR May17 1040csp
TSLA Jun14 185cc x7
PANW May17 312.50 x2
RDDT May17 60cc x2
that’s an interesting choice for the Tesla call, one tweet from Elon, and you are going to be called out lol, let’s see what happens
post 1701122183 05-14-2024, 10:33 PM
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#1317
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Originally Posted By kusok
that’s an interesting choice for the Tesla call, one tweet from Elon, and you are going to be called out lol, let’s see what happens
I anticipate those calls will be ITM at some point before expiration. For how long and whether I'm still holding at that time will be another story.
post 1701254493 05-18-2024, 11:04 AM
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#1318
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
been selling fewer weekly calls and more long dated, taking profits at 50% instead of waiting for expiration. Strategy is to sell roughly 35DTE at 35-40D and take profits at 50%. Also trying to refrain from selling calls during what I see as a strong uptrend. Overall goal is to reduce the amount of daily upkeep, maintenance on contracts, and thereby minimizing daily stress. Upside is this captures higher total premium while market is in a bit of a sideways trend and lower IV.

today STO:

MSFT Jun21 435cc x7
MSTR May17 1040csp
TSLA Jun14 185cc x7
PANW May17 312.50 x2
RDDT May17 60cc x2
BTC MSTR May17 1040csp for 95% profit
Rolled up and out PANW May17 312.50 x2 to May24 360C x4
Rolled up and out RDDT May17 60cc x2 to May24 63C x2

closed some additional small positions for profit roughly 1300 net for the week
post 1702201231 06-09-2024, 07:28 PM
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#1319
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i belatedly found out that i have been doing what people call 'the wheel' so my wheel account is doing well. etrade is not good for showing P/L on individual trades and curiously schwab doesn't actually record premiums for sold options at a gain/loss, it just increments your cash position which is annoying. entered swings on shop and snap, leaps on nio and sofi. And now for the degen part, i have become enamored of doing 0days on fridays.
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post 1702201501 06-09-2024, 07:38 PM
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#1320
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Originally Posted By jafomofo
i belatedly found out that i have been doing what people call 'the wheel' so my wheel account is doing well. etrade is not good for showing P/L on individual trades and curiously schwab doesn't actually record premiums for sold options at a gain/loss, it just increments your cash position which is annoying. entered swings on shop and snap, leaps on nio and sofi. And now for the degen part, i have become enamored of doing 0days on fridays.
Lol you doing SPY or random stock 0dte on Friday's? I've wanted to do this, but seems like degen gambling where you have to hope the market swings as you intend otherwise you gotta sit at home and sweat all day hoping it does what you wanted. I usually just sell CCs and some CSPs on things I'm not scared to buy, but I usually buy calls/puts with at least a few weeks if not a few months to go the direction I anticipated.
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