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Thread: Polling is swinging back in trumps direction

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08-16-2024, 09:31 AM
#1

Polling is swinging back in trumps direction

Emerson Pa trump +2
RMG gen election trump +2
Tipp Wisconsin =
Cygnal gen Kamala +1
NRSC Gen trump +2
Ramessen gen Trump +4
Fox gen trump +1

All polls coming out the last 48 hours

https://x.com/iapolls2022?s=21

The honeymoon looks like it’s coming to quick stop.
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08-16-2024, 09:34 AM
#2
Guess polls are real again.
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08-16-2024, 09:36 AM
#3
At this point I don't think polling means much. For each poll that shows Trump ahead there is one that shows Harris ahead, and vice versa.

Let's see where the polls a couple of weeks after the DNC - they should be more accurate then IMO. I think Harris will gain immediately after the DNC with the enthusiasm resulting from the DNC waning after a few weeks.
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08-16-2024, 09:39 AM
#4
OP up there with Stizzel for peak coper.
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08-16-2024, 09:42 AM
#5
Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Guess polls are real again.
This. **** is hilarious.
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08-16-2024, 09:48 AM
#6
Originally Posted By Groomerat⏩
Guess polls are real again.
Only the ones that over sampled dems and women are real, the rest are fake

Cross tabs from a real poll:



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08-16-2024, 09:50 AM
#7
Of course polls are swinging back to Trump. Everyone hates Harris. She had a lower approval rating than Dick Cheney LOL. When the DNC machine shills this hard for a candidate, it means they are going to lose. 2024 will be a repeat of 2016, only Trump will win the popular vote too. It's gonna be glorious
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08-16-2024, 09:51 AM
#8
Libs getting mad, I love it
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08-16-2024, 09:55 AM
#9
Originally Posted By OPGenesis⏩
OP up there with Stizzel for peak coper.
Right, when I’m the one who said trump would lose in 2020 even with the polls being wrong and called it correctly

I’d be very concerned right now if I was shilling as much as you are, as it seems you don’t seem to want to acknowledge the polls were highly off in 2020 in trumps favor. By virtue trump may actually be up 4 or 5 points if anything similar happens this time as it did in the last 2 elections. The polls being anything than d+5 at this point is an absolute disaster for democrats.
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08-16-2024, 09:58 AM
#10
Originally Posted By Einsatzgruppen⏩
Of course polls are swinging back to Trump. Everyone hates Harris. She had a lower approval rating than Dick Cheney LOL. When the DNC machine shills this hard for a candidate, it means they are going to lose. 2024 will be a repeat of 2016, only Trump will win the popular vote too. It's gonna be glorious
As I tried to explain to these groomer retards before, all of these bigly +kamala polls changed their polling methods. They changed how many landlines they use which changes the ages they reach, they changed how they weight white responses, women, etc. The ones that kept their methods the same show kamala approximately even with Biden prior to the debate.

Get ready for them to respond to current events by changing those methods even more. The kamala +10 polls are coming and the usual suspects will swear that they're the only real polling being done no matter what you find in the cross tabs.
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08-16-2024, 09:58 AM
#11
Originally Posted By Azrairc⏩
Right, when I’m the one who said trump would lose in 2020 even with the polls being wrong and called it correctly

I’d be very concerned right now if I was shilling as much as you are, as it seems you don’t seem to want to acknowledge the polls were highly off in 2020 in trumps favor. By virtue trump may actually be up 4 or 5 points if anything similar happens this time as it did in the last 2 elections. The polls being anything than d+5 at this point is an absolute disaster for democrats.

Yea. Bro. (D)+ 5 is a slam dunk for Drumpf!


Don’t worry. I’ll be here when you’re on full blown cope mode posting the “real” internal polling that Trumpy’s winning when indicated otherwise.
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08-16-2024, 10:31 AM
#12
I'm so fuking happy that they put all their money on Harris lmao. Literally no one likes her as a person. Zero charisma unlike Trump, autist level public speaking skills with a worse laugh than Hillary Clinton. Her only platform is not being Trump which should be enough to get some votes, but not enough to win. Same as the Hilllary clinton massacre literally anyone with half a brain could've easily beat Trump who has a lot of weakness, but they picked her.

I predict a 2020 repeat.
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08-16-2024, 10:40 AM
#13
Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Guess polls are real again.
I love eggs.
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08-16-2024, 10:42 AM
#14
Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Guess polls are real again.
Polls are tools for Democrat propaganda. When the polls favor Republicans it's just a part of the plan:

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi privately told President Joe Biden in a recent conversation that polling shows that the president cannot defeat Donald Trump and that Biden could destroy Democrats’ chances of winning the House in November if he continues seeking a second term, according to four sources briefed on the call.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/17/polit...ion/index.html
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08-16-2024, 10:46 AM
#15
And the first poll reported today is Harris +6, so, so much for that, I guess.

The bottom line is that no one knows. Neither one is out of the MOE, so the race is a toss up.
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08-16-2024, 11:09 AM
#16
Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
As I tried to explain to these groomer retards before, all of these bigly +kamala polls changed their polling methods. They changed how many landlines they use which changes the ages they reach, they changed how they weight white responses, women, etc. The ones that kept their methods the same show kamala approximately even with Biden prior to the debate.

Get ready for them to respond to current events by changing those methods even more. The kamala +10 polls are coming and the usual suspects will swear that they're the only real polling being done no matter what you find in the cross tabs.
Pretty much this. To add, a lot of the places that publish polls don't necessarily even do the polling themselves. They buy the data from multiple companies that do the actual groundwork.

They then take this data and refine it to try and report the most accurate result. You can see the problem that arises when they refine the data to get to what they deem "accurate".
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08-16-2024, 11:24 AM
#17
Ha. Nate Silver says the same thing too, OP!


https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-si...on-polls-model






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08-16-2024, 02:55 PM
#18
Makes sense, everyone is realizing how they would be supporting Kamala Harris and what a piece of chit she is.
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08-16-2024, 03:21 PM
#19
Trump might not be great but nobody wants a Kamala presidency except the real purple haired libs
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08-16-2024, 03:25 PM
#20
The copycat strategy tanked Kamala’s poll numbers not sure what she was thinking letting the American people know Trump’s policies are actually good ones.
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08-16-2024, 03:27 PM
#21
People must have realized that even though Biden is out it’s still Kamala.

Insert cackle here
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08-16-2024, 03:32 PM
#22
Originally Posted By jackamo2887⏩
Trump might not be great but nobody wants a Kamala presidency except the real purple haired libs
Yep.
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08-16-2024, 03:32 PM
#23
Polls don't mean that much because it's not the percentage, it's the number of people who will go vote for you. Also depends on where you get those votes.

I think some of her copying Trump and a lot of dishonesty about her record is going to haunt her.

Remember, she has never won an election before. She's never been voted in, only appointed. She got creamated by her own party and got KTFO round 1 in 2020.
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08-16-2024, 03:37 PM
#24
Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Guess polls are real again.
We can compare polls from 2016 and 2020 to the actual results which consistently show that Trump over performs. Our contention is not that polls are fake but that polls are biased towards Democrats which is demonstrably true. Why do you insist on pretending to miss that point?
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08-16-2024, 04:09 PM
#25
Originally Posted By Jasonw1178⏩
Polls don't mean that much because it's not the percentage, it's the number of people who will go vote for you. Also depends on where you get those votes.

I think some of her copying Trump and a lot of dishonesty about her record is going to haunt her.

Remember, she has never won an election before. She's never been voted in, only appointed. She got creamated by her own party and got KTFO round 1 in 2020.
Kamala is trading midwest boomers that actually vote for coastal commie teenagers that dont

Resident libtards think this is a good idea
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08-16-2024, 04:42 PM
#26
Originally Posted By Azrairc⏩
Emerson Pa trump +2
RMG gen election trump +2
Tipp Wisconsin =
Cygnal gen Kamala +1
NRSC Gen trump +2
Ramessen gen Trump +4
Fox gen trump +1

All polls coming out the last 48 hours

https://x.com/iapolls2022?s=21

The honeymoon looks like it’s coming to quick stop.
Oh no the democrats gonna have to switch again.
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08-16-2024, 05:18 PM
#27
Originally Posted By dabbmw2002⏩
We can compare polls from 2016 and 2020 to the actual results which consistently show that Trump over performs. Our contention is not that polls are fake but that polls are biased towards Democrats which is demonstrably true. Why do you insist on pretending to miss that point?
Derp. The vast majority of morons on this site immediately scream the polls are fake as soon as they show a Dem is winning and Trump is losing… yet make threads like this the second they show anything positive for Trump.

Weird how you say nothing to them yet come at me for pointing it out.
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08-16-2024, 05:24 PM
#28
Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Derp. The vast majority of morons on this site immediately scream the polls are fake as soon as they show a Dem is winning and Trump is losing… yet make threads like this the second they show anything positive for Trump.

Weird how you say nothing to them yet come at me for pointing it out.
Corky, try to comprehend what the man is saying. He is saying (in his opinion) the polls tends to skew towards Democrats, not that they are fake. Meaning, if it has a Democrat slightly up, the reality might be that it's even. If the polls are even, the reality being the Democrats are behind. If a Democrat is way up, like Obama 2008, they are up but it's tighter than the polls suggest.

Agree with him or not, try not to be such a monumentally retarded dipchit that you can't grasp his fairly simple concept. If you really are this retarded and just can't understand, which won't surprise anyone, but if so, you probably just want to fuk off to some padded room more up to your slow speed.
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08-16-2024, 05:27 PM
#29
Originally Posted By JUSA⏩
Corky, try to comprehend what the man is saying. He is saying (in his opinion) the polls tends to skew towards Democrats, not that they are fake. Meaning, if it has a Democrat slightly up, the reality might be that it's even. If the polls are even, the reality being the Democrats are behind. If a Democrat is way up, like Obama 2008, they are up but it's tighter than the polls suggest.

Agree with him or not, try not to be such a monumentally retarded dipchit that you can't grasp his fairly simple concept. If you really are this retarded and just can't understand, which won't surprise anyone, but if so, you probably just want to fuk off to some padded room more up to your slow speed.
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08-16-2024, 05:45 PM
#30
pat, your lame picture doesn't bother me at all. I was untrained, I fixed it.

Can you fix you being stupid? Not so easily.

p.s. You owe Gainzzz $100, pay the man, bitch. Rather, overweight bitch.
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