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Forum » **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
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Thread: **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION

post 1682031263 05-04-2023, 10:58 AM
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#3391
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
I don't trust any regional banks.
Someone has bad intentions.
PACW for example has share float 120 million
volume traded last few days is touching 70-80 million
this stock average daily volume used to be close to 1 million.
option volume traded daily 200-300K
option volume average traded daily 500-2000 (not error) this thing had no liquidity at all.
Poverty

I won't touch banks, retail (besides AMZN), restaurants, or airlines
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1682033573 05-04-2023, 11:33 AM
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#3392
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Bank of Canada governor saying they’re ready to hike rates further — after already being paused for a bit now — if inflation remains sticky above the 2% target

https://financialpost.com/news/econo...04aa08c85/amp/
post 1682034683 05-04-2023, 11:53 AM
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#3393
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If you bought the dip (three hours ago) on WAL and sold right now you’d have doubled your money, these bank stonks are insane
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1682034723 05-04-2023, 11:53 AM
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#3394
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
I don't trust any regional banks.

Someone has bad intentions.
Big Banks
"Paper money is going away" - EM
post 1682035783 05-04-2023, 12:09 PM
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#3395
  1. Carbonfibre
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okay so news headline popped up


"US Fed/State Officials are assessing possible market manipulation in regards to regional banking share drop"


this whole thing smelled like inverse GME


knew something didn't make sense.

some of these banks simply did not have the phucking volume/liquidity to trade they way they have been doing last few days.



let me give you simple example.

say today you wake up and say give me 50,000 PACW $2 puts .

the person on other side of that trade market maker / dealer / bank etc has to get human to review that trade - risk officer etc you can't just get filled on that kind of order

its possible someone was going oh sure have all the puts you want.
post 1682036213 05-04-2023, 12:20 PM
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#3396
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
okay so news headline popped up


"US Fed/State Officials are assessing possible market manipulation in regards to regional banking share drop"


this whole thing smelled like inverse GME


knew something didn't make sense.

some of these banks simply did not have the phucking volume/liquidity to trade they way they have been doing last few days.



let me give you simple example.

say today you wake up and say give me 50,000 PACW $2 puts .

the person on other side of that trade market maker / dealer / bank etc has to get human to review that trade - risk officer etc you can't just get filled on that kind of order

its possible someone was going oh sure have all the puts you want.
So what your saying is there’s a chance?!
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682036423 05-04-2023, 12:23 PM
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#3397
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I don't like the word "assessing" lol


Give it time till more details comes out.
post 1682036553 05-04-2023, 12:26 PM
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#3398
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The GREAT RESET.
AMMO and CANNED FOOD is the new currency
post 1682037733 05-04-2023, 12:42 PM
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#3399
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last time I checked PLTR still at $7.




market wont crash because everyone realized you can buy puts and short sell to get move they want.

ban short selling on regional banks due to threat of bank runs and this problem is solved.


SP 500 is still at 4000+

being held up by "AI"
post 1682038403 05-04-2023, 12:51 PM
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#3400
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
I don't like the word "assessing" lol


Give it time till more details comes out.
I’m trying to decide how much I wanna risk right now. I’m back to 200 shares with a cost basis around $6 so basically all profit from my trades are sitting in shares. I might add back to 400 shares if I can get them below $5. Otherwise I’ll ride it out double or nothing. Hopefully it trades a wide spread AH again and I’ll just keep flipping between $5 and $6.5

I’m glad I got the bond position I wanted before this happened. Yields are dumping pretty hard.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682039003 05-04-2023, 01:00 PM
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#3401
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got to get back to work.

not sure.

check news.

full article is probably out what was going on all that bizzare shorting on regional banks last few days.
post 1682059403 05-04-2023, 05:53 PM
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#3402
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Originally Posted By 401Delta⏩
Anyone else use Schwab for a broker? I got a notice today stating that from now on your open orders will count against your cash balance.

I figured it always did.

Stock price is down bigly, too.

Any bank analysts in the house?
I don’t get why their shares are getting hammered they are big enough I think they are safe.

Pacw I panic sold at like $6.20

I might check out WAL tonight and buy tomorrow premarket. I think they are better positioned and they have been getting clobbered just as bad as pacw in
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682067963 05-04-2023, 08:18 PM
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#3403
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
lmao, this term reminds me of my early trading days

2020/2021 was WILD
I did some digging and saw their commercial real estate exposure. I honestly think they’ll be ok, but still bounced regardless. I think the real panic sell will be Friday since no one wants to hold these banks over the weekend LMAO

INB4 they go under tonight because I’ve nailed this trade every time the last 36 hours.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682084213 05-05-2023, 05:10 AM
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#3404
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I sm tired of this matket-everything is stagnant.
post 1682088843 05-05-2023, 07:12 AM
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#3405
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Originally Posted By MinisterOfLust⏩
I sm tired of this matket-everything is stagnant.
It’s excellent for those of us who are net buyers of stocks.
trainingwithryan.substack.com
post 1682096723 05-05-2023, 09:38 AM
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#3406
  1. Carbonfibre
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There is some rumors going around SEC announcement today about short selling fraud on regional banks.


Don't look at PACW stock price.

Halting on the way up on that rumor.


Is it legit who knows.


Also


well done Rob.
post 1682098013 05-05-2023, 10:03 AM
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#3407
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Jobs report is strong as fuk. Legit everything about it is strong and speaks to further inflation down the road. Ruh roh.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682098413 05-05-2023, 10:10 AM
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#3408
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Rate expectations for the rest of the year appear to be moving up again as a result
post 1682099463 05-05-2023, 10:27 AM
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#3409
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
Jobs report is strong as fuk. Legit everything about it is strong and speaks to further inflation down the road. Ruh roh.
Yah I posted about this on the main. Something fishy going on here. Don't think it is a conspiracy. Think it is --> job reports are done by regulators who are ultimately politically motivated to find that jobs are strong. Ironic that it will ultimately result in tighter and harder conditions because Jpow's biggest thing the other day was the "tight" job market, so they just going to keep pushing up rates.
mo e
post 1682099533 05-05-2023, 10:28 AM
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#3410
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
Rate expectations for the rest of the year appear to be moving up again as a result
What do you see indicating that? Bond yields are dropping on 5/10 years.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682102593 05-05-2023, 11:22 AM
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#3411
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
What do you see indicating that? Bond yields are dropping on 5/10 years.
Day over Day changes for rate expectations at each meeting in the CME FedWatch Tool, granted the expectation for more hikes has gone down from a week ago but the expectation for cuts has as well

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/int...atch-tool.html

14-Jun


26-Jul


20-Sep


01-Nov


13-Dec
post 1682107073 05-05-2023, 12:53 PM
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#3412
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What a fkin day, trimmed more MSFT NVDA AAPL

@ Leftical: Your unrealized gain for today must be insane
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1682118853 05-05-2023, 04:22 PM
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#3413
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
What a fkin day, trimmed more MSFT NVDA AAPL

@ Leftical: Your unrealized gain for today must be insane
It's been an absolutely fantastic day today. Feels like I'm swimming in money.

Totally prepared to lose all gainz next week lmfao
Always Neg Back Crew.
post 1682120933 05-05-2023, 04:59 PM
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#3414
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Originally Posted By Lefticle⏩
It's been an absolutely fantastic day today. Feels like I'm swimming in money.

Totally prepared to lose all gainz next week lmfao
Gonna be an odd weekend if no banks fail. Perhaps the fed and JPM will actually get a weekend off lmao.

Quick someone drive by their HQ and see if the lights are still on tonight.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682167383 05-06-2023, 12:16 PM
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#3415
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Buffett and Munger at the Berkshire meeting solid af

Crazy to think a dude from Edmonton will be succeeding Buffett
post 1682213743 05-07-2023, 05:39 AM
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#3416
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Based Munger

post 1682237943 05-07-2023, 02:16 PM
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#3417
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Just discovered PFF which is a fund holding preferred shares yielding 6.4%. Pretty stout and primarily utilities, major banks, and industrials.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1682296863 05-08-2023, 11:01 AM
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#3418
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Anyone know if this "Fed senior loan survey" is a major report?
Isaiah 45:22-23. Look unto me, and be ye saved, all the ends of the earth: for I am God, and there is none else.

I have sworn by myself, the word is gone out of my mouth in righteousness, and shall not return, That unto me every knee shall bow, every tongue shall swear.

Catholicism debunked
https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=179267571

Pure blood
post 1682299603 05-08-2023, 11:48 AM
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#3419
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
Anyone have thoughts on AFRM earnings tomorrow? Just going off the recent move it has gone up like 25% the past couple days on no news. Either someone knows something or this is being set up for a rugpull.
Might snag a put debit spread
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1682301433 05-08-2023, 12:25 PM
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#3420
  1. Destor
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Originally Posted By XcelerateNYC⏩
Anyone know if this "Fed senior loan survey" is a major report?
I think it's what they use to determine how much lending is happening and would feed into how much of their job is being done through the banking industry issues leading to increased credit tightness that should assumedly help rein in inflation to some unknown degree
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