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» Official 2023 MLB thread
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post 1694630113 12-09-2023, 03:49 PM
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#331
  1. SoutheastBeast1
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Also the majority of team revenue is generated through tv contracts. Ohtani really won’t affect this. The Dodgers already had a substantial tv contract. It has nothing to do with him and they would have had it regardless. Granted it keeps them relevant and good so they can score another big contract when this one ends, but as long as they continue winning they would get that. Yes he helps with that winning but he’s not the end all pulling in a new huge tv deal for them either

And no they can’t sign a tv deal in Japan before anyone argues the overseas impact
Dodgers have the most lucrative regional sports network media rights deal in all of MLB. In total, it’s worth more than $8 billion. That plays a massive part in it all.

Some may wonder if the Dodgers can ink their own broadcast deal in Japan where Ohtani’s presence is massive. The Dodgers won’t be able to, which makes Ohtani’s signing a win for all the other owners in MLB.

Major League Baseball controls all international broadcast deals. The revenue garnered from them is split evenly between all 30 owners in the league.
The Dodgers 8 billion TV deal is for 25 years and has 15 years remaining for reference.


I suppose if anyone really wants to try to track its impact though just follow their revenue stream. It was $580 million in 2023. Keep in mind it typically trends up each year due to rising prices in the economy too. For example in 2022 it was $565 million. So they likely would have seen a natural increase without him.

But nevertheless, here you go:

https://www.forbes.com/teams/los-ang...h=2b69986323ae

Excluding the covid season their revenue seems to jump between $10-30 mil a year. If Ohtani really makes them more than they pay him we should expect to see a huge increase. So we’ll just let the numbers tell the story.

The more I look at this I don’t think they will make money off adding him. They’ll make money as a team still even with paying him but I doubt we’ll see this revenue jump $70 mil in 2024, and that would just break even.


Better yet, let's put this in even simpler terms. If his addition is such a sure net positive financially to a team then why are so many teams out on trying to sign him compared to in on trying to sign him. Wouldn't you want both the best player in baseball on your team and a net positive cash from him being on there? Doesn't make sense for so many to not vie for his services if that's true
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694634473 12-09-2023, 05:58 PM
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#332
  1. jewdidthis
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Fuuuaaarrrk $70m / year contract?? Mogger

Glad to see Southseethe still coping HARD over anything Ohtani does
post 1694634873 12-09-2023, 06:04 PM
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#333
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Originally Posted By jewdidthis
Fuuuaaarrrk $70m / year contract?? Mogger

Glad to see Southseethe still coping HARD over anything Ohtani does
When he's just a $70 mil DH in 3 years and Acuna makes $10 mil in 2027 to outperform we'll see who's coping.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694636253 12-09-2023, 06:38 PM
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#334
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
When he's just a $70 mil DH in 3 years and Acuna makes $10 mil in 2027 to outperform we'll see who's coping.
Ohtani will win the CY Young award and another season MVP along with his first Championship,
all within the next 3 years
post 1694638093 12-09-2023, 07:22 PM
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#335
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post 1694644333 12-09-2023, 11:07 PM
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#336
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Yea he won't win a cy young. Dodgers are taking a big gamble on coming back from TJ surgery healthy. Most seem to these days, but i think it's his second.

I'm thinking they had conversations around turning him into a reliever or teaching him right field as backup options. He's athletic enough he could learn the field as a worst case scenario.

If he puts in a few more years like the last couple and they win a ring the gamble will pay off in spades
My ALT is elevated. 75.
post 1694644863 12-09-2023, 11:28 PM
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#337
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ohtani came in 4th for cy young in 2022, so there's a chance he could i guess... 2nd elbow surgery though..
My ALT is elevated. 75.
post 1694656723 12-10-2023, 09:00 AM
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#338
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Originally Posted By jewdidthis
along with his first Championship,
all within the next 3 years
Which year will that be? Because right now the Dodgers rotation for 2024 is:

Walker Buehler
Bobby Miller
Emmet Sheehan
??? I dunno lol ???
??? I dunno lol ???
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694691783 12-11-2023, 02:46 AM
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#339
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
No one likes me and yet I've kick started discussion over the last few days in this thread yourself included.

Face it, you need me. I have far more value ITT (and in life in general) than you ever will. Just say thank you and we can end this.
I like you.

But I hate Kelenic going to your Bravos.
post 1694728963 12-11-2023, 05:38 PM
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#340
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Ok now they're making money off him.

What the f*ck MLB? This is the type of contract that really should not be allowed. Now they're really only paying him $500 million after a rough estimate of inflation, plus the next 10 years they get to bank money off him and score interest off it. Even if he only draws in $30 mil of revenue by himself a year, over 10 years that's $300 mil (plus the interest compounding each year).

He'll basically be paying off his own contract in other words before he gets his money. If you didn't hate the Dodgers before you sure as sh*t should now.



F*ck.... time to rope
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694730843 12-11-2023, 06:33 PM
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#341
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they were calling never before seen extraordinary deferrals from the time it was announced. Anyone paying attention knew the contract value was going to be significantly less than 700M.
My ALT is elevated. 75.
post 1694732513 12-11-2023, 07:32 PM
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#342
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
Ok now they're making money off him.

What the f*ck MLB? This is the type of contract that really should not be allowed. Now they're really only paying him $500 million after a rough estimate of inflation, plus the next 10 years they get to bank money off him and score interest off it. Even if he only draws in $30 mil of revenue by himself a year, over 10 years that's $300 mil (plus the interest compounding each year).

He'll basically be paying off his own contract in other words before he gets his money. If you didn't hate the Dodgers before you sure as sh*t should now.



F*ck.... time to rope
Bout to see teams sign guys to 5 yr deals worth 400m and only count 5m against the salary cap. Get in and buy hella players and defer salary, then win title and sell and leave the new owner with deferred payments. If the A’s knew they were moving to Vegas they shoulda done this years ago.
NYR NYM NYK UCONN Nebraska AS Roma
post 1694737873 12-11-2023, 11:17 PM
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#343
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post 1694758413 12-12-2023, 11:35 AM
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#344
  1. SoutheastBeast1
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Originally Posted By BigElephant
I don't understand how all this works. When they start paying him the deferred salary in 10 years, will it count against their salary at that point? As in starting in 2033 they'll have the $68 MM counting towards (or likely over) the luxury tax?
I believe it does but I don't care to really verify how that all works. You gotta understand even if it does the luxury tax threshold will be much higher by the time these payments are being made as well.

They've already set the threshold through 2026. It was $233 mil last year, 2026 will be $244 mil. Rough estimation if it continues trending similarly it will likely be $40 mil higher than it is today. Doesn't cover all of the $68 mil from a tax perspective but it does wipe away a lot of it, so the hit won't be the same as it would today.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694759883 12-12-2023, 12:02 PM
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#345
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post 1694807723 12-13-2023, 11:05 AM
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#346
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Tyler Glasnow gonna backfire on LAD. Dude has never pitched a full season in his life.

I got Yamamoto going to either the Mets or Giants. Snell I'm not sure. It'd be nice if the Braves would get off their ass and go after him but they won't so it will be someone else is all I know.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694809633 12-13-2023, 11:41 AM
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#347
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
Tyler Glasnow gonna backfire on LAD. Dude has never pitched a full season in his life.

I got Yamamoto going to either the Mets or Giants. Snell I'm not sure. It'd be nice if the Braves would get off their ass and go after him but they won't so it will be someone else is all I know.
No way....Yama is either NYY or LAD. No way in hell he picks SF....literally not one wants to go there.
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694811853 12-13-2023, 12:30 PM
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#348
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and seeing as how Mookie, Freddie, and Shohei were there to greet Yamamoto yesterday in LA.....its probably Dodgers. They deserve him for that flex.
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694815013 12-13-2023, 01:35 PM
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#349
  1. SoutheastBeast1
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Nah Giants will be desperate and pay him more after LAD landed Shohei. Why go play under the shadow of Shohei too? Yamamoto has more to gain going to the Giants imo. Aside from winning that is lol.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694815553 12-13-2023, 01:44 PM
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#350
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
Nah Giants will be desperate and pay him more after LAD landed Shohei. Why go play under the shadow of Shohei too? Yamamoto has more to gain going to the Giants imo. Aside from winning that is lol.
If he has a brain and his agent looks at the Giants roster, then at the Dodgers roster, he'll know to not pick SFG. Dodgers/Yankees/Giants money will all be close anyway so that doesn't matter.
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694819243 12-13-2023, 03:08 PM
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#351
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post 1694822633 12-13-2023, 04:24 PM
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#352
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Originally Posted By JIGSAW
If he has a brain and his agent looks at the Giants roster, then at the Dodgers roster, he'll know to not pick SFG. Dodgers/Yankees/Giants money will all be close anyway so that doesn't matter.
By this logic nobody would go to any team other than the top contenders every year. It's never worked like that brah. Look at all the stars the Padres keep acquiring with .500 seasons lol. Are you new to baseball?
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694826363 12-13-2023, 06:09 PM
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#353
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https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/mlb...ancisco-giants
There is an unspoken thing, we are iron brothers and sisters, we are to support each other and...It is our duty to support our brothers and sisters in the iron game!
post 1694852103 12-14-2023, 09:48 AM
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#354
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
By this logic nobody would go to any team other than the top contenders every year. It's never worked like that brah. Look at all the stars the Padres keep acquiring with .500 seasons lol. Are you new to baseball?
Nah its an easy pick.....either LAD or NYY. Go join Ohtani and that stacked team, or go to NY and start your own legacy not in Ohtani's shadow. Money is the same.

no one is going to San Fran...and its not because of baseball reasons specifically. Why would he want to go there, they're not even going be the top bidder or probably close to it.
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694852143 12-14-2023, 09:49 AM
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#355
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Originally Posted By SoutheastBeast1
By this logic nobody would go to any team other than the top contenders every year. It's never worked like that brah. Look at all the stars the Padres keep acquiring with .500 seasons lol. Are you new to baseball?
Giants wanted Stanton and Judge, and they're bothfromCalifornia and they both were like nahhhhhhh
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694854563 12-14-2023, 10:40 AM
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#356
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Originally Posted By JIGSAW
Giants wanted Stanton and Judge, and they're bothfromCalifornia and they both were like nahhhhhhh
It is hard to promote the city now in its current condition. Even the president of China pointed it out.
There is an unspoken thing, we are iron brothers and sisters, we are to support each other and...It is our duty to support our brothers and sisters in the iron game!
post 1694904753 12-15-2023, 10:03 AM
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#357
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Braves have 34 guys on their 40 man and 2 of those are going on the 60 day soon (Anderson and Perdomo), so in reality 32..........they're about to go all in on the other free agents/trade market
I walk amongst you.......but I am not one of you.
post 1694917333 12-15-2023, 03:13 PM
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#358
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Originally Posted By JIGSAW
Braves have 34 guys on their 40 man and 2 of those are going on the 60 day soon (Anderson and Perdomo), so in reality 32..........they're about to go all in on the other free agents/trade market
doesn't really feel like them. they may have some other game afoot. such a smart team. maybe just going to take a bunch of fliers on low risk ceiling guys.

they could really use a blake snell though... but snell is so risky too
My ALT is elevated. 75.
post 1694918153 12-15-2023, 03:39 PM
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#359
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Originally Posted By JIGSAW
Braves have 34 guys on their 40 man and 2 of those are going on the 60 day soon (Anderson and Perdomo), so in reality 32..........they're about to go all in on the other free agents/trade market
After the Braves passed on Sonny Gray signing a modest 3 yr/$75 mil deal I can all but confirm the Braves will not do jack sh*t to bring anyone significant in. Another red flag was all the talk about trying to revitalize Reynaldo Lopez as a 5th starter after signing him. That's not a team interested in finding a frontline starter.

Also 0 talk of extending Max Fried means he's all but gone after this season.
Originally Posted By Zere0wn
such a smart team.
Smart enough to sit 23rd on the playoff series winning percentage list

https://www.mlb.com/news/every-mlb-t...win-percentage

Love this for them

And if you want to trim this even further and only include organizations good enough to have at least accumulated 20 or more playoffs series they sit 13th out of 16 total teams. BRUTAL

And if you want to know their record since 2000, it's an even more abysmal 6-14 (.300)



But hey, Zere0wn says they're a smart team at least!! How comforting to have that accolade!!!
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
post 1694918543 12-15-2023, 03:52 PM
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#360
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Originally Posted By JIGSAW
Giants wanted Stanton and Judge, and they're bothfromCalifornia and they both were like nahhhhhhh
Yeah and Trout is from Philly and he was like nahhhh when he signed an extension to remove any chance of going there despite the swirling rumors they'd make a run at him if he entered free agency.

They go where the money is. Always have. If you actually think anything else persuades them to any significant degree you're in denial. They all like to talk a big game about how winning matters but at the end of the day if the f*cking Pirates offered Shohei a $900 million deal over 12 years he'd be wearing yellow instead of blue.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
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