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Forum » **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
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Thread: **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION

post 1697503993 02-06-2024, 01:53 PM
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Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
I think it’s because they are the parent company to a bunch of other chit banks like flagstar
If I was staying short I’d go puts on banc or perhaps WAL again. Not sure they’ll actually go under… but clearly I have no clue lol

Edit: I dug a little further into what they’ve got. I feel moderately confident in my purchase. I’ve got 5 calls right now and tomorrow I’ll probably add another 5-15 that are maybe only a year out instead of 2. To hedge I’ll add BANC puts. Either way I think I’ll end up in a pretty good spot and could potentially profit on both legs if short term BANC gets beat up and longer term NYCB pops back up. Why is anyone assuming they’ll go under anyway? They’ve got plenty of capital it isn’t like they’ll be unable to meet short term money needs…

Pacw which merged with Cali bank had far worse assets than NYCB or Signature banks assets that went to nycb.
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post 1697511123 02-06-2024, 04:45 PM
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Lmao name a more iconic duo than SNAP and tanking after earnings by more than 25% 😂
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post 1697512603 02-06-2024, 05:29 PM
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
The problem is that the upper 10-15% of people are doing far better. There’s maybe another 10-15% roughly the same or a little better. Then there’s everyone else. The gulf between haves and have nots is widening which sucks. Our entire system has worked when we have a big middle class.
I think that's what happens transitioning from 1st world to 2nd world. Plenty of stats of seen are showing people are moving to the upper class. Then I question whether money is worth so much less if anything has really changed? All that increase in income increases income tax too.
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post 1697512803 02-06-2024, 05:34 PM
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
If I was staying short I’d go puts on banc or perhaps WAL again. Not sure they’ll actually go under… but clearly I have no clue lol

Edit: I dug a little further into what they’ve got. I feel moderately confident in my purchase. I’ve got 5 calls right now and tomorrow I’ll probably add another 5-15 that are maybe only a year out instead of 2. To hedge I’ll add BANC puts. Either way I think I’ll end up in a pretty good spot and could potentially profit on both legs if short term BANC gets beat up and longer term NYCB pops back up. Why is anyone assuming they’ll go under anyway? They’ve got plenty of capital it isn’t like they’ll be unable to meet short term money needs…

Pacw which merged with Cali bank had far worse assets than NYCB or Signature banks assets that went to nycb.
Idk what is going on but I know when folks see the stock where they bank at dropping 20% per day, day after day they may move their money to another bank then one more press release of “depositor flight in the ## Billion range” and poof the bank has a liquidity crisis causing more deposit flight then things get even worse and eventually insolvency. After seeing almost the exact same charts as FRC last March I think this is what is happening but who knows maybe it’ll go up huge tomorrow (I hope not since I’m still hodling poot)
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post 1697519063 02-06-2024, 08:25 PM
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#4775
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Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
Idk what is going on but I know when folks see the stock where they bank at dropping 20% per day, day after day they may move their money to another bank then one more press release of “depositor flight in the ## Billion range” and poof the bank has a liquidity crisis causing more deposit flight then things get even worse and eventually insolvency. After seeing almost the exact same charts as FRC last March I think this is what is happening but who knows maybe it’ll go up huge tomorrow (I hope not since I’m still hodling poot)
Faurrrkk afterhours move down to $3.50 I may get wrecked. Hopefully puts buy tomorrow at the open ayy fukin lmao
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post 1697519643 02-06-2024, 08:44 PM
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nycb is getting crushed after hours

seems like clock is ticking till federal regulators close it down


KRE is not flagging like it did last year March when there was spill over to other regional banks.

Right now is just bad NYCB management that is about to be out of job / and JPM will pick up NYCB for few bucks.




moody's still in business?

https://www.reuters.com/business/fin...es-2024-02-07/
post 1697520403 02-06-2024, 09:07 PM
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Anyone got those NVDA 700 calls?

When the fuk is this mother fuker gona tank?!
Originally Posted By Abzu⏩
Originally Posted By j1rr⏩
US weed stocks booming still.
It was this thread that awared me on Canadian MJ 5+ years ago pre-legalization. That run up gave me the $$ to buy a duplex before the big sell off.
U the brah that put like 20k into CGC before it popped then cashed out for Lambo? And if I recall the ticker used to be different?

I made a good amount on the old Aphria (APHA) then the rest of the shares I held onto switched to TLRY (bought out) now I've been waiting for this chit to pop for a few years

Made decent profits off ACB too but the rest of the shares I had dropped about 98% LOL

Nonetheless that was a very exciting time..I still remember being up 650% and seeing 18k profit almost had a heart attack
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1697521733 02-06-2024, 09:43 PM
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Anyone got those NVDA 700 calls?

When the fuk is this mother fuker gona tank?!




U the brah that put like 20k into CGC before it popped then cashed out for Lambo? And if I recall the ticker used to be different?

I made a good amount on the old Aphria (APHA) then the rest of the shares I held onto switched to TLRY (bought out) now I've been waiting for this chit to pop for a few years

Made decent profits off ACB too but the rest of the shares I had dropped about 98% LOL

Nonetheless that was a very exciting time..I still remember being up 650% and seeing 18k profit almost had a heart attack
Hell no, I did make some solid gains with CGC (was WEED originally) and APH though. Portfolio was up and down 10-20% per day back then lol. Held through the Aphria short report and sold shortly after and got an investment property.

It's exciting to know the same could be happening all over again with US MSO's - with the insight we have from last time instead of just YOLO and getting lucky.

For those unaware, lots of rumors of rescheduling ATM. MSOS is the ETF ticker and TCNNF is the lead bull in the sector as of the last couple weeks with Florida legalization also on the table.
post 1697532103 02-07-2024, 07:44 AM
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#4779
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Nycb halted. Wonder how low it’ll go today. It was trading above $4.20 premarket which is odd.

Edit: bought 10 BANC $10p for April at $32 each. I might average down on nycb calls only 1 year out. Haven’t decided yet.
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post 1697532473 02-07-2024, 07:54 AM
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#4780
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3.50 after hours to 4.95 pre market now trading halted wtf
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1697532573 02-07-2024, 07:56 AM
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#4781
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
3.50 after hours to 4.95 pre market now trading halted wtf
Halted again at $3.95? Da fuk?
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post 1697534403 02-07-2024, 08:44 AM
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#4782
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Looking at VLY and BANC puts next
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1697534823 02-07-2024, 08:55 AM
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#4783
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China is ****kkedd

Baba earnings were real bad.



China is in legit recession.
post 1697535743 02-07-2024, 09:20 AM
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#4784
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
China is ****kkedd

Baba earnings were real bad.



China is in legit recession.
Banking crisis, real estate crisis, unemployment crisis all at once. China uses an operator on its GDP number, absolute value.
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1697535753 02-07-2024, 09:20 AM
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#4785
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Bought some TSLA 3/8 puts yesterday.........looks like the market knew and decided to reverse. FML

Bought some PLTR 3/1 puts yesterday......assuming this jump is just a couple week thing then it will settle down closer to $18/$19. We'll see how that plays out.

Might have dun goofed.....but apparently I like to just throw my $ away.
post 1697536993 02-07-2024, 09:51 AM
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#4786
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Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
Looking at VLY and BANC puts next
BANC IV super low for a regional bank. Got the ones above and June $7.5p for $20 each.

I’m nervous about NYCB because no insiders have bought… not a good look when they lost their audit and risk chiefs.
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post 1697543273 02-07-2024, 12:10 PM
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Sold 10 covered calls on PLTR before earnings 2/16 19.5 strike, absolutely sick to my stomach right now
post 1697543993 02-07-2024, 12:22 PM
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No talk about s&p / SPY at all time highs?
post 1697544273 02-07-2024, 12:29 PM
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#4789
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Originally Posted By bsmit107⏩
Bought some TSLA 3/8 puts yesterday.........looks like the market knew and decided to reverse. FML

Bought some PLTR 3/1 puts yesterday......assuming this jump is just a couple week thing then it will settle down closer to $18/$19. We'll see how that plays out.

Might have dun goofed.....but apparently I like to just throw my $ away.
Puts on tech right now? Ballsy.
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post 1697546233 02-07-2024, 01:17 PM
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#4790
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Originally Posted By mikebadg3⏩
No talk about s&p / SPY at all time highs?
murica

what else can you say?

nobody fears anything


AI is the new thing.


I am just glad to be flat, was trying to short this market last month got stopped out and letting market show something.


Don't have the edge to long this market here.

Since October 2023 its been +900 point rally.

Unprecedented rally from hell, that won't stop.
post 1697548393 02-07-2024, 02:11 PM
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#4791
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
murica

what else can you say?

nobody fears anything


AI is the new thing.


I am just glad to be flat, was trying to short this market last month got stopped out and letting market show something.


Don't have the edge to long this market here.

Since October 2023 its been +900 point rally.

Unprecedented rally from hell, that won't stop.
I think all it means is that there’s still too many dollars floating around. No pain yet.
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post 1697555093 02-07-2024, 04:31 PM
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#4792
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Anyone got those NVDA 700 calls?
Thats 2x in a row for me this week
Originally Posted By j1rr⏩
Hell no, I did make some solid gains with CGC (was WEED originally) and APH though. Portfolio was up and down 10-20% per day back then lol. Held through the Aphria short report and sold shortly after and got an investment property.

It's exciting to know the same could be happening all over again with US MSO's - with the insight we have from last time instead of just YOLO and getting lucky.

For those unaware, lots of rumors of rescheduling ATM. MSOS is the ETF ticker and TCNNF is the lead bull in the sector as of the last couple weeks with Florida legalization also on the table.
Nice!!!

Similar situation here, definitely going to be paying close attention
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1697555903 02-07-2024, 04:58 PM
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#4793
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
I think all it means is that there’s still too many dollars floating around. No pain yet.
Only if you in semiconductor and AI stocks.

Money is being thrown at it like the next big bubble is upon us.

I don't think everyone was long enough AI stocks so they are pissed about it and chasing any dip at all costs.

Earnings are living up to the hype atm.

NVDA sell side reports from big banks it goes like...(sounds like fantasy numbers lolz like house of cards really)

NVDA

2023 59B revenue
2024 100B revenue
2025 110B revenue
2026 150B revenue
post 1697586023 02-08-2024, 11:19 AM
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#4794
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So......

Who has new NVDA calls?

Looking at 750c exp 2-16-24 @ 4.55

Not sure if i'll pull the trigger on this one I've been getting lucky AF
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1697586493 02-08-2024, 11:30 AM
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#4795
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
So......

Who has new NVDA calls?

Looking at 750c exp 2-16-24 @ 4.55

Not sure if i'll pull the trigger on this one I've been getting lucky AF
i think i am going to sell my $800C exp 3/1/24 and buy back in . srs
post 1697586893 02-08-2024, 11:38 AM
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#4796
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Originally Posted By mikebadg3⏩
i think i am going to sell my $800C exp 3/1/24 and buy back in . srs
Nice how much you up?

What would be your plan buying back in?
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1697587733 02-08-2024, 11:55 AM
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#4797
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Nice how much you up?

What would be your plan buying back in?
10 contracts $ 2.6 per so 2600, each contract is trading at 13.55-13.75 right now. sell at 13.5 right now be about 13,500

3/1 expiry, not sure on strike yet, maybe something farther out, 850 or 900, sell a few days prior to earnings
post 1697588033 02-08-2024, 12:02 PM
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#4798
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Originally Posted By mikebadg3⏩
10 contracts $ 2.6 per so 2600, each contract is trading at 13.55-13.75 right now. sell at 13.5 right now be about 13,500

3/1 expiry, not sure on strike yet, maybe something farther out, 850 or 900, sell a few days prior to earnings
**** yeah good work

Let us know what u decide

NVDA reminding me of TSLA back in march 2020 when it ran
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1697590553 02-08-2024, 12:49 PM
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#4799
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
**** yeah good work

Let us know what u decide

NVDA reminding me of TSLA back in march 2020 when it ran
On my life when if they pop to $750 I’m buying puts. Fuking sick of this shyt
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post 1697591523 02-08-2024, 01:08 PM
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#4800
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
It looks like this stonk has retard strength now.. but at the same time earnings looks priced in. If I were to bet, guessing it stays flat or becomes rangebound where it is now.
watching patterns with some earnings yea last few days prior they get priced in... then sharp downturn like pypl or others recently

missed my chance to sell @ nvidia 705, now it's at 700. next climb up i'm going to sell and take a breather and figure things out from there.
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