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Florida brahs pepper your angus for hurricane Idalia (srs)
08-28-2023, 09:53 AM
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#31
- FinBra
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Originally Posted By Barteh⏩
Itll end at some point. I tell the wife its a question of when not if. This thing could still slow down and hook us. We’ll lose power and eat some decent surge regardless. St pete/cleareater beaches will take a ****ty hit.It's dem Indian burial mounds brah. Nah honestly I just think it's a streak of good luck that will end at some point.
08-28-2023, 09:59 AM
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#32
- RICHSTRONG
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Love how Floridians come in with their collective chests popped out rite up until they need FEDERAL HELP. Why should my HARD EARNED tax monies go to the God forsaken place. Pa don't have Hurricanes, hardly no tornados, no wildfires, hardly any floods...if welfare were a picture it would be Florida. motherfukers
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08-28-2023, 09:59 AM
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#33
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Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
Not supported by any models but I feel like these strengthening gulf storms often end up bending a bit more to the east than the official forecast. Which is why I mentioned Tampa Bay as a possible landfall location yesterday. A wobble just a few dozen miles to the east and Tampa Bay is fukked.Itll end at some point. I tell the wife its a question of when not if. This thing could still slow down and hook us. We’ll lose power and eat some decent surge regardless. St pete/cleareater beaches will take a ****ty hit.
08-28-2023, 10:02 AM
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#34
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Meh, this ain’t nothing we are not used to. It will be weekend beach party as usual.
Don't push me 'cause I'm close to the edge
I'm trying not to lose my head
It's like a jungle sometimes
It makes me wonder how I keep from goin' under…~ (Melvin Glover, better known by his stage name Melle Mel and Grandmaster Melle Mel, is an American hip hop recording artist who was the lead vocalist and songwriter of Grandmaster Flash and the Furious Five.)
Early AM workout crew.
08-28-2023, 10:18 AM
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#35
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Originally Posted By Barteh⏩
Happened to ft myers. Always a chance.Not supported by any models but I feel like these strengthening gulf storms often end up bending a bit more to the east than the official forecast. Which is why I mentioned Tampa Bay as a possible landfall location yesterday. A wobble just a few dozen miles to the east and Tampa Bay is fukked.
08-28-2023, 10:21 AM
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#36
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Originally Posted By Barteh⏩
Certainly not out of the question...Not supported by any models but I feel like these strengthening gulf storms often end up bending a bit more to the east than the official forecast. Which is why I mentioned Tampa Bay as a possible landfall location yesterday. A wobble just a few dozen miles to the east and Tampa Bay is fukked.
"The dildo of consequences rarely arrives lubed."
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08-28-2023, 11:32 AM
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#37
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Originally Posted By xxAchillesxx⏩
Legit concern. I'ma see if I can post a few pics of the tracks moving through the next 24 hours to get an idea of how ****ed we could be. Latest is its moving more westward:Certainly not out of the question...
8.28 at 1PM est:
08-28-2023, 11:39 AM
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#38
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Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
Looks like it's headed kind of my way. Better hit the liquor store and gas station LOLLegit concern. I'ma see if I can post a few pics of the tracks moving through the next 24 hours to get an idea of how ****ed we could be. Latest is its moving more westward:
8.28 at 1PM est:

8.28 at 1PM est:
08-28-2023, 11:57 AM
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#39
08-28-2023, 12:08 PM
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#40
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[QUOTE=FinBra post_id=1689098043]Legit concern. I'ma see if I can post a few pics of the tracks moving through the next 24 hours to get an idea of how ****ed we could be. Latest is its moving more westward:
8.28 at 1PM est:
[img]https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=9410673&stc=1&d=169324 3936[/ig][/QUOTE]The NHC does great work but there's two things they always struggle with. First of all when it's still in TD or TS phase the models aren't quite as accurate and often initiate a run just a bit off the actual center which messes up the entire run. Then there's the intensity forecasts which not only most models struggle with, the NHC admits to being conservative in their forecasts because they don't want people to underestimate future storms when they're wrong.
The last part would be pretty dang harsh for Tampa Bay because I'm pretty sure last year they were ordered to evacuate and the storm ended up missing them for the most part. You can bet on not as many people leaving this time if they're ordered to evacuate.
8.28 at 1PM est:
[img]https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=9410673&stc=1&d=169324 3936[/ig][/QUOTE]The NHC does great work but there's two things they always struggle with. First of all when it's still in TD or TS phase the models aren't quite as accurate and often initiate a run just a bit off the actual center which messes up the entire run. Then there's the intensity forecasts which not only most models struggle with, the NHC admits to being conservative in their forecasts because they don't want people to underestimate future storms when they're wrong.
The last part would be pretty dang harsh for Tampa Bay because I'm pretty sure last year they were ordered to evacuate and the storm ended up missing them for the most part. You can bet on not as many people leaving this time if they're ordered to evacuate.
08-28-2023, 01:20 PM
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#41
08-28-2023, 01:28 PM
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#42
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Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
Previous models look almost due north from current position, new one has some models starting off NNW.Latest Models just dropped, shifted a touch further west. See above for comparison:

JFL at coked up red track
JFL at coked up red track
"The dildo of consequences rarely arrives lubed."
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08-28-2023, 01:30 PM
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#43
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Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
who ever designed that red model really wants painLatest Models just dropped, shifted a touch further west. See above for comparison:

JFL at coked up red track
JFL at coked up red track
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08-28-2023, 01:50 PM
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#44
08-28-2023, 11:42 PM
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#45
08-28-2023, 11:49 PM
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#46
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Where's it supposed to hit? My girlfriend is supposed to fly out of Miami tomorrow to meet me over seas. Hope this doesn't cause issues...
Nevermind. Just saw the map
Nevermind. Just saw the map
08-28-2023, 11:50 PM
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#47
- FinBra
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Originally Posted By bsrkoacar2⏩
Gonna slam the gulf coast. Panhandle down to Sarasota is in the danger zone. Miami gon be BAUWhere's it supposed to hit? My girlfriend is supposed to fly out of Miami tomorrow to meet me over seas. Hope this doesn't cause issues...
08-29-2023, 01:20 AM
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#48
08-29-2023, 11:09 AM
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#49
- FinBra
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Bumping this **** - we bouta start getting real at around 7PM tonight in the Tampa area. Looking like we're dodging the worst of it. Hold onto your butts, FL armpit goyos.
Originally Posted By Barteh⏩
Also repped for solid prediction as far as strengthNah it'll land ascat 3/4 for sure.
Only question is where. I'm guessing closer to the Tampa Bay area with some east shifts in the modeling.
Only question is where. I'm guessing closer to the Tampa Bay area with some east shifts in the modeling.
08-29-2023, 11:12 AM
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#50
08-29-2023, 11:13 AM
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#51
08-29-2023, 11:14 AM
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#52
08-29-2023, 11:15 AM
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#53
08-29-2023, 11:21 AM
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#54
- FinBra
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Originally Posted By 300Lane1⏩
Not catching bands yet - still that eerie niceish cloudy weatherHow's the weather our there in FL now boyos? Windy/rainy at all or still incoming?
08-29-2023, 11:21 AM
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#55
Originally Posted By RICHSTRONG⏩
Not to mention DeSantis' track record of attacking Biden and his son.. If I was Biden I'd tell DeSantis no emergency declaration for you.Love how Floridians come in with their collective chests popped out rite up until they need FEDERAL HELP. Why should my HARD EARNED tax monies go to the God forsaken place. Pa don't have Hurricanes, hardly no tornados, no wildfires, hardly any floods...if welfare were a picture it would be Florida. motherfukers
Stay safe Alabama bros..

08-29-2023, 11:23 AM
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#56
- Deathstroke
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It’s all a conspiracy I tell you what man. It’s to screw desantis . And it doesn’t have to be an attack of the leftist either although who tf knows.
Stay safe men.
Stay safe men.
08-29-2023, 11:25 AM
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#57
- FinBra
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- FinBra
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Originally Posted By NYPat⏩
Indoctrination in NY appears to be real. Next time you launder several millie, let me know how much jail time you do, plebNot to mention DeSantis' track record ofattacking Biden and his son.. If I was Biden I'd tell DeSantis no emergency declaration for you.
Stay safe Alabama bros..
Stay safe Alabama bros..
08-29-2023, 11:29 AM
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#58
- Barteh
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Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
Water temps are 30-31c and it's got almost another 24 hours over those waters. Those global models never do well with intensity forecasts.Bumping this **** - we bouta start getting real at around 7PM tonight in the Tampa area. Looking like we're dodging the worst of it. Hold onto your butts, FL armpit goyos.
Also repped for solid prediction as far as strength
Also repped for solid prediction as far as strength
Apparently the area taking the direct hit hasn't had a major hurricane landfall in like 100+ years so I bet infrastructure isn't built to withstand all of the incoming power of mother nature.

08-29-2023, 11:31 AM
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#59
Originally Posted By FinBra⏩
Retard Floridian detected. Go play outside the next couple of days.Indoctrination in NY appears to be real. Next time you launder several millie, let me know how much jail time you do, pleb
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