Infections not going down, deaths not going down.

Despite NY deaths and new cases being half of what they were.

I'm just going to assume it's a little more than just the flu?

Isnt it odd that suddenly people are ONLY dying from covid now?

Wow, tons of new cases today, 35k and counting.

April 20, 2020
USC-LA County Study: Early Results of Antibody Testing Suggest Number of COVID-19 Infections
Far Exceeds Number of Confirmed Cases in
Los Angeles County

Los Angeles (April 20, 2020) - USC and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (Public Health) today released preliminary results from a collaborative scientific study that suggests infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread - and the fatality rate much lower – in L.A. County than previously thought.

The results are from the first round of an ongoing study by USC researchers and Public Health officials. They will be conducting antibody testing over time on a series of representative samples of adults to determine the scope and spread of the pandemic across the county.

Based on results of the first round of testing, the research team estimates that approximately 4.1% of the county's adult population has antibody to the virus. Adjusting this estimate for statistical margin of error implies about 2.8% to 5.6% of the county's adult population has antibody to the virus- which translates to approximately 221,000 to 442,000 adults in the county who have had the infection. That estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the county by the time of the study in early April. The number of COVID-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600.

"We haven't known the true extent of COVID-19 infections in our community because we have only tested people with symptoms, and the availability of tests has been limited," said lead investigator Neeraj Sood, a USC professor of public policy at USC Price School for Public Policy and senior fellow at USC Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics. "The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies."

The results have important implications for public health efforts to control the local epidemic.

"These results indicate that many persons may have been unknowingly infected and at risk of transmitting the virus to others," said Dr. Barbara Ferrer, director of the L.A. County Department of Public Health. "These findings underscore the importance of expanded polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to diagnose those with infection so they can be isolated and quarantined, while also maintaining the broad social distancing interventions."

The antibody test is helpful for identifying past infection, but a PCR test is required to diagnose current infection.

"Though the results indicate a lower risk of death among those with infection than was previously thought, the number of COVID-related deaths each day continues to mount, highlighting the need for continued vigorous prevention and control efforts," said Dr. Paul Simon, chief science officer at L.A. County Department of Public Health and co-lead on the study.

The study's results have not yet been peer reviewed by other scientists. The researchers plan to test new groups of participants every few weeks in coming months to gauge the pandemic's trajectory in the region.

About the study

With help from medical students from the Keck School of Medicine of USC, USC researchers and Public Health officials conducted drive-through antibody testing April 10th and 11th at six sites.
Participants were recruited via a proprietary database that is representative of the county population. The database is maintained by LRW Group, a market research firm.

The researchers used a rapid antibody test for the study. The FDA allows such tests for public health surveillance to gain greater clarity on actual infection rates. The test's accuracy was further assessed at a lab at Stanford University, using blood samples that were positive and negative for COVID-19.

In addition to Sood and Simon, other authors and institutions contributing to the study include Peggy Ebner of the Keck School; Daniel Eichner of the Sports Medicine Research & Testing Laboratory; Jeffrey Reynolds of LRW Group; Eran Bendavid and Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford University School of Medicine.

The study was supported with funding from USC Schwarzenegger Institute, USC Lusk Center, USC President's Office, Jedel Foundation, LRW Group, Soap Box Sample, and several individual donors.

More information
A recent Q&A with Neeraj Sood on antibody testing can be found here.
See the Los Angeles County's April 16, 2020, Health Advisory SARS-CoV2 Serology Advisory for clarification on antibody testing.
B-roll and photos from the April 10-11, 2020 antibody testing conducted in Los Angeles can be found here.


To learn more about the L.A. County Department of Public Health and the work they do, visit the following sites and pages:
L.A. County Channel:http://bit.ly/CountyChannel
Online:http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/
********:https://www.********.com/countyofla/
Twitter:

YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/LAPublicHealth
********twitterinstagramyoutube
The Department of Public Health is committed to promoting health equity and ensuring optimal health and well-being for all 10 million residents of Los Angeles County. Through a variety of programs, community partnerships and services, Public Health oversees environmental health, disease control, and community and family health. Nationally accredited by the Public Health Accreditation Board, the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health comprises nearly 4,500 employees and has an annual budget of $1.2 billion.

Los Angeles County Department of Public Health works to protect health,
prevent disease, and promote health and well-being.


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Oh hey look at that, science...

no, people are still dying from stupidity and from following the cult leader's directions to kill the virus by injecting disinfectant bleach or alcohol into our bodies.

no, people are still dying from stupidity and from following the cult leader's directions to kill the virus by injecting disinfectant bleach or alcohol into our bodies.

How come leftist only mention the cases, and the deaths, but not the recoveries?

Lol, bull****. And when it's 200K, what number are you going to think it is, 800?

out of those 39014 deaths i seriously wonder how many would have died anyway

Citing these antibody studies before the details of the methods and antibody tests are published is naive to put it mildly. The Santa Clara study has been completely debunked, but people latched onto the headline and spread it like wildfire because it fit their narrative.

These quick result antibody tests need to very thoroughly vetted. If off by even a small percent the prevalence will be massively inflated.

The only study that I am aware of that used an FDA approved quick-result test is the one in NY. It’s still pending publication, but if the numbers hold, the mortality/infection = roughly 0.75%. That’s assuming every single person currently infected lives, so that number will probably end up closer to 1%, just like we’ve been saying.

all of them.
eventually.

Pencil her in:

Top Russian doctor falls out of 5th floor window during conference call to bosses complaining about lack of PPE for medics




https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...PE-medics.html

Most likely. But.......feels over facts.

Updated numbers in op.

Updated numbers in the op.

End of month numbers updated in op.

This thread is simply info regarding the amount of Americans becoming infected and/or dying from Corana.

I'll update it weekly to see how things areprogressing.

Worldometer is my source. Also, I believe Worldometer might revise there numbers as more info becomes available.

Apr. 1st: 204,966
Total Infected- 216,622
Daily New Cases- 26,655
Total Dead- 6394

April 7th:
Total Infected- 371,824
Daily New Cases- 31,611
Total Deaths- 15,526

Apr. 10th-
Total Infected- 460,252
Daily New Cases- 34,089
Total Dead- 22,038

Apr. 18:
Total Infected- 636,301
Daily New Cases- 29,057
Total Deaths- 39,014

UPDATE:
Apr. 21:
Total Infected- 695,770
Daily New Cases- 25,985
Total Deaths- 45,318

UPDATE:
Apr. 23:
Total Infected- 748,724
Daily New Cases- 31,900
Total Deaths- 50,234

UPDATE:
Apr. 25:
Total Infected- 788,233
Daily New Cases- 35,419
Total Deaths- 54,256

UPDATE:
Apr. 27:
Total Infected- 814,571
Daily New Cases- 23,196
Total Deaths- 56,797

UPDATE:
Apr. 29
Total Infected- 855,128
Daily New Cases- 28,429
Total Deaths- 61,656

UPDATE:
Apr. 30
Total Infected- 878,843
Daily New Cases- 30,820
Total Deaths- 63,856

End of April numbers.

Avg daily infections- ~22K
Avg daily deaths- 1956

If Mays infection rates progress at the same percentage as Apr.(It won't) this would roughly be the numbers at the end of May.

TOTAL INFECTED- 3,600,00
TOTAL DEAD- 638,560

MAY 1st.
Total infected-903,174
Daily New Cases- 36,007
Total Deaths- 65,753

UPDATE
MAY 4th.
Total Infected- 954,887
Daily New Cases- 24,713
Total Deaths- 69,921

UPDATE
MAY 7th
Total Infected- 998,445
Daily New Cases- 29,531
Total Deaths- 76,928

Is "infected" Total - Death - Recovered? The Recovered number in the US is vastly understated. I think it's only or mostly just capturing hospital discharges and missing people who were told to recuperate at home after testing positive.