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**OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
01-17-2023, 07:37 AM
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#1921
01-17-2023, 07:49 AM
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#1922
01-17-2023, 08:14 AM
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#1923
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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brutal rally continues
can't even get tiny pull back this is now 8 trading days in row green
can't even get tiny pull back this is now 8 trading days in row green
01-17-2023, 09:35 AM
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#1924

Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
None of those.what catalyst is going to cause this market to crash?
I can only think of 3 black swan scenarios
1. Russia uses tactical Nuke (20 percent chance)
2. China attacks Taiwan (5 percent chance)
3. some new super variant of covid (I give this 0.1 chance)
I can only think of 3 black swan scenarios
1. Russia uses tactical Nuke (20 percent chance)
2. China attacks Taiwan (5 percent chance)
3. some new super variant of covid (I give this 0.1 chance)
I: Self, Lord and Master.
"I rub my hands when my palms itch."
"I call you Son not because you Shine but because you Mine."
01-17-2023, 10:15 AM
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#1925
01-17-2023, 11:47 AM
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#1926
- claudio_snchz
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- claudio_snchz
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Mirin you brahs dedication to stonks. Srs. Constant ups and downs, don't know how you guys handle it. Gotta have dat der zoomed-out mindset I suppose.
see multiplemiggs sig
Pureblood Crew
01-17-2023, 11:55 AM
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#1927
- Destor
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- Destor
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Originally Posted By claudio_snchz⏩
Watch daily but make as few moves as possible crewMirin you brahs dedication to stonks. Srs. Constant ups and downs, don't know how you guys handle it. Gotta have dat der zoomed-out mindset I suppose.
Zero emotion crew
Stronk join date to post ratio
01-17-2023, 12:08 PM
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#1928
- Robmnrd
- Who the **** was phone?!
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- Robmnrd
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Originally Posted By claudio_snchz⏩
Mirin you brahs dedication to stonks. Srs. Constant ups and downs, don't know how you guys handle it. Gotta have dat der zoomed-out mindset I suppose.
Originally Posted By Destor⏩
All of this. Literally all of it.Watch daily but make as few moves as possible crew
Zero emotion crew
Stronk join date to post ratio
Zero emotion crew
Stronk join date to post ratio
Wtf at that join date and post count.
MISC Haxball Crew
(Haxball Username: "Jus' Saiyan...")
Misc Positivity and Never Neg Crew
I always pick second to last in the pick a number threads Crew
01-17-2023, 01:11 PM
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#1929
01-17-2023, 01:16 PM
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#1930
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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^^^
pretty much what was said above.
don't need to trade every day just side hustle.
if this was someones only job / yeah I can imagine at some point LIDAR.
pretty much what was said above.
don't need to trade every day just side hustle.
if this was someones only job / yeah I can imagine at some point LIDAR.
01-17-2023, 01:19 PM
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#1931
01-17-2023, 01:20 PM
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#1932
Originally Posted By claudio_snchz⏩
Been cash only and trading for a while now. Some things are getting tempting though to sit on and sell premium.Mirin you brahs dedication to stonks. Srs. Constant ups and downs, don't know how you guys handle it. Gotta have dat der zoomed-out mindset I suppose.
01-17-2023, 01:21 PM
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#1933
01-17-2023, 01:45 PM
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#1934
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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tons of option action in
tesla / amc / coin / bb / nvda
lot of pickup from lows on lot of names.
tesla / amc / coin / bb / nvda
lot of pickup from lows on lot of names.
01-17-2023, 01:53 PM
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#1935
01-17-2023, 06:47 PM
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#1936
01-18-2023, 07:38 AM
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#1937
- 2020Wellness
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- 2020Wellness
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
Those red earbuds look an awful lot like earrings, lol.Pretty random but man I’m loving seen the Rock show up in my typical YouTube stock and business feed
And suddenly appearing at a time like this? What a dude
And suddenly appearing at a time like this? What a dude
trainingwithryan.substack.com
01-18-2023, 08:06 AM
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#1938
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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arkk is back
up 30% in two weeks
fomo is real
edit:
JPapa tested positive for the thing
lets see if market is scared that printer is sick
looks like market scared lol
imagine if JPow doesn't make it.
market would cliff dive 400-500 points in day
up 30% in two weeks
fomo is real
edit:
JPapa tested positive for the thing
lets see if market is scared that printer is sick
looks like market scared lol
imagine if JPow doesn't make it.
market would cliff dive 400-500 points in day
01-18-2023, 09:01 AM
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#1939
- Destor
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- Destor
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
Fuark that would be the black swan nobody saw comingarkk is back
up 30% in two weeks
fomo is real
edit:
JPapa tested positive for the thing
lets see if market is scared that printer is sick
looks like market scared lol
imagine if JPow doesn't make it.
market would cliff dive 400-500 points in day
up 30% in two weeks
fomo is real
edit:
JPapa tested positive for the thing
lets see if market is scared that printer is sick
looks like market scared lol
imagine if JPow doesn't make it.
market would cliff dive 400-500 points in day
Originally Posted By 2020Wellness⏩
On fleek afThose red earbuds look an awful lot like earrings, lol.
01-18-2023, 09:05 AM
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#1940
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
Yeah was just thinking.Fuark that would be the black swan nobody saw coming
On fleek af
On fleek af
Who had that on their bingo card.
Jerome is the most powerful central banker in the world.
Been running the fed chair since 2018.
01-18-2023, 09:14 AM
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#1941
- RobParks2M
- mad hatter
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- RobParks2M
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I’ll be keen to see what we get for a first hike of the year. Im fairly positive we get a 50 BP hike. Market strength will give Powell the easy choice to keep going.
Edit: assuming he makes it lmao
Edit: assuming he makes it lmao
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
01-18-2023, 09:24 AM
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#1942
01-18-2023, 09:29 AM
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#1943
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
25 BPS hike for Feb is 99% lockI’ll be keen to see what we get for a first hike of the year. Im fairly positive we get a 50 BP hike. Market strength will give Powell the easy choice to keep going.
Edit: assuming he makes it lmao
Edit: assuming he makes it lmao
two more hikes at 25BPS after that than fed pause.
if Fed does 50BPS next meeting or any meeting after.
market is crashing. (99.9999 percent this is lock / market can't handle 50 bps at any point from now)
stock market has priced in 3 rate cuts by end of the year. hence why we hanging here at 4000 level.
they expect fed fund rates at 3.5% by end of year.
01-18-2023, 09:49 AM
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#1944
- Destor
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- Destor
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If the Fed starts cutting rates by the end of this year it will be because the economic situation becomes dire, and I don't think that will be good for the market as earnings would be compressing hard and then trying to price in multiple expansion with the lower interest rates
We've never had a market bottom while rates were going up. Maybe they thread the needle and we get a soft landing, but I'd be surprised.
We've never had a market bottom while rates were going up. Maybe they thread the needle and we get a soft landing, but I'd be surprised.
01-18-2023, 10:05 AM
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#1945
- Carbonfibre
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- Carbonfibre
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
Market and Fed are not in sync so the truth is somewhere well who really knows. Someone is wrong.If the Fed starts cutting rates by the end of this year it will be because the economic situation becomes dire, and I don't think that will be good for the market as earnings would be compressing hard and then trying to price in multiple expansion with the lower interest rates
We've never had a market bottom while rates were going up. Maybe they thread the needle and we get a soft landing, but I'd be surprised.
We've never had a market bottom while rates were going up. Maybe they thread the needle and we get a soft landing, but I'd be surprised.
Yeah you're right if Fed is cutting by end of year means exactly that economy is in big trouble.
01-18-2023, 10:23 AM
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#1946
- Destor
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- Destor
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
They plan to hike and hold and watch inflation come down below the rate, economy cratering is what would change their course rightMarket and Fed are not in sync so the truth is somewhere well who really knows. Someone is wrong.
Yeah you're right if Fed is cutting by end of year means exactly that economy is in big trouble.
Yeah you're right if Fed is cutting by end of year means exactly that economy is in big trouble.
Share price is a combination of earnings and multiple, earnings being reported EPS and multiple based on interest rates aka financial gravity
Economy contracts, earnings (EPS) decrease
When earnings decrease, the market staying steady or going up would depend on the Fed cutting interest rates at a pace quick enough to expand multiples and offset the reduced earnings
So you see earnings contract as higher interest rates cool the economy, and then the Fed starts cutting rates to warm things up again. A “soft landing” in my mind is perfectly balancing the earnings contraction with higher multiples resulting in markets not declining.
Doesn’t happen though or at least it hasn’t before, the market dives as interest rates are cut to stimulate the economy that is suffering lagged effects from the rates that were recently higher and that reduced earnings. And there is a lag between rate cuts and earnings coming back up, thus the market bottoms.
Maybe the market is just that much smarter and quicker these days but I wouldn’t bet on it myself.
01-18-2023, 10:41 AM
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#1947
No rate cuts in 2023 is the new no rate hikes in 2022 lol.
We are getting at least 2 rate cuts this year.
Inflation will not be the story of 2023.
We are getting at least 2 rate cuts this year.
Inflation will not be the story of 2023.
I: Self, Lord and Master.
"I rub my hands when my palms itch."
"I call you Son not because you Shine but because you Mine."
01-18-2023, 10:47 AM
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#1948
- Destor
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- Destor
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Rate cuts this year will very likely not mean good things for the market.
It'll be great for consumers though, we'll end up with prices coming down and discounts all over the place plus lower interest rates. I'm loving seeing all the discounts on Amazon etc lately.
It'll be great for consumers though, we'll end up with prices coming down and discounts all over the place plus lower interest rates. I'm loving seeing all the discounts on Amazon etc lately.
01-18-2023, 11:37 AM
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#1949
01-18-2023, 12:09 PM
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#1950
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