scroll down a bit on the following link, you can see blumph vs HRC from 2016, the predicted (polled) result and the final result. if you compare blumph's score in the final result vs the polled result, you see drumpf outperformed polls by an average of 4.25% in the swing states (just get the difference between final result and polled result, and divide by 12 (number of swing states)):

(5 + 4.5 + 6.7 + 1 + 1.6+5.3+6.1+6+8.1+4.2-1+4 ) / 12 = 4.25

now, check the difference in CURRENT polls between creepy joe and bdrumpflph:

wisconsin: 49.8-44.3 = 5.5
minnesota: 48-42 = 6
NC 48.8-47.6 = 1.2
florida 49-47.2 = 1.8
georgia 46.8-47.2 = -0.4
penn 49.8-45.0 = 4.8
ohio 46.2-46.8 = -0.6
michigan 50.6-41.6 = 9
iowa 47.2-46.4 = 0.8
arizona 48.8-46.4 = 2.4
nevada 49.0-43.8 = 5.2
texas 45.4-48.6 = -3.2

so we see that if accounting for this 4.5% bump, the only swing states drumpf doesn't capture are:
wisconsin
minnesota
pennsylvania
michigan
nevada

polls will continue to narrow in the next week. all bets are off, but people who are predicting an easy biden victory are not paying attention to the RELATIVE numbers of how biden is doing vs trump in 2020 vs how hrc was doing vs trump in 2016. we are basically where we were 4 years ago, or arguably HRC was in a better position then, than creepy joe is now.

link:
can't post a link lol but just google 'RCP trump biden', click on 'electoral map' and scroll down a bit.

you guys never learn do you?

remember 2016? good times, can't wait for next week

IDC ABOUT POLLS

Do we really need a reminder of this?

Dumb fuk Trumpers who think they live in the movie Groundhog Day have been mindlessly posting this in every thread for months

Mirin join date to posts ratio. srs

So assuming the polls are still off and have not bothered improving their methodology after 2016, you give Trump a bonus 4.25% across the board and he is still losing all 3 swing states needed for re-election?

what has changed in the polling methodology that would lead to a different result?

yes, as it stands now. my method is crude and not meant to give any exact prediction, i was just showing that there is a systematic bias in the polls, biden's lead is not as commanding as you might be lead to believe from looking at polls only.

GOAT Join Date to Post Ratio

It took you 17 years to type up this post?

Mind = blown someone has been keeping an alt for 17 years to post this.

Strong everything.

Trump has locked up FL and OH. Biden would need to win AZ, NV, PA, MI, WI, and IA. He’s behind in 4 of those states.

On this date 4 years ago Hilary was up 14 points.

Jesus what a join date to post count ratio