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Forum » Watch market crash live-down 600 right now
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Thread: Watch market crash live-down 600 right now

post 1470242751 11-08-2016, 08:36 PM
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Originally Posted By HomerJThompson⏩
Not in 1 day, see 2002 and 2008 crashes and the time it took.
2002 market had much much higher multiples on worthless companies; 2008 was a credit crisis -- not exactly the same situation.

do agree that risk assets are expensive vs historical but cost of money (interest rates) alone is not enough to drive bubbles of that magnitude
post 1470244301 11-08-2016, 08:41 PM
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Originally Posted By Frank
what's the point in over estimating the bottom?
Thats a regular market crash/correction after a huge bubble.
post 1470245231 11-08-2016, 08:43 PM
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Originally Posted By Bigrowe⏩
In for trading advice

How to buy dip? (im noob)
Gold will go up massively, how to capitalise?
Shares to buy?
Profit?
ahahaha your going to take your advice from this forum.

lol.

Just buy all the majors that are down.
post 1470245271 11-08-2016, 08:44 PM
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
2002 market had much much higher multiples on worthless companies; 2008 was a credit crisis -- not exactly the same situation.

do agree that risk assets are expensive vs historical but cost of money (interest rates) alone is not enough to drive bubbles of that magnitude
This could be even worse though if Donald legit wants to change the system and mess with The Fed. Market has also been forced ramped for months now to create this false illusion that everything is wonderful to help Hillary. They are going to freefall this thing although agree, 2000-2002 saw the Nasdaq lose almost 80%, that will never be repeated short of an actual apocalypse.
post 1470245431 11-08-2016, 08:44 PM
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
2002 market had much much higher multiples on worthless companies; 2008 was a credit crisis -- not exactly the same situation.

do agree that risk assets are expensive vs historical but cost of money (interest rates) alone is not enough to drive bubbles of that magnitude
There was never a 400 billion market cap company with no earnings- see Amzn. Take out Aapl and see the same multiples.

See hussmann for the value of stock market currently

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc161031.htm
post 1470245861 11-08-2016, 08:45 PM
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REMEMBER WHEN THE MARKET "CRASHED" BECAUSE OF BREXIT?



Please...
post 1470246591 11-08-2016, 08:47 PM
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if Trump wins it ll get precious metals up, dollar wil drop, stocks will go down as well. short term until things become clearer, the thing is noone thought he was gonna win, so if he wins that blurry future view of the markets are gonna have hard time.
235pounds to 168 in 4 months. 35% BF to 19% and counting lower every day. it is doable as long as you put your mind and soul into it and discipline. We all are going to make it.
post 1470247151 11-08-2016, 08:48 PM
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Originally Posted By open_society⏩
ahahaha your going to take your advice from this forum.

lol.

Just buy all the majors that are down.
I'm not that rich man I'm just a student, aha, i'll take any advice, I don't even have a trading account was looking at the one through commonwealth bank (Australia)
Current PB's

Bench:300
Squat:340
Deadlift:470
post 1470247551 11-08-2016, 08:49 PM
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#39
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Originally Posted By HomerJThompson⏩
There was never a 400 billion market cap company with no earnings- see Amzn. Take out Aapl and see the same multiples.

See hussmann for the value of stock market currently

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc161031.htm
Might want to take a look at John Hussman's track record before quoting his work. Nobody in the industry rly takes him seriously.
post 1470251771 11-08-2016, 09:01 PM
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#40
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
Might want to take a look at John Hussman's track record before quoting his work. Nobody in the industry rly takes him seriously.
Yes he guessed 2002 and 2008 correctly :-))) just because he was early this time doesnt mean he wont be right.

He evern quotes his right calls from 2002 and 2008 in the link I posted.
post 1470253601 11-08-2016, 09:05 PM
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#41
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
Might want to take a look at John Hussman's track record before quoting his work. Nobody in the industry rly takes him seriously.
Also the reason Hussman has been wrong is the scam fed has been running, also 2009 change in accounting rules. You cant build a healthy economy with zero percent interest rates and constant debt and almost no savings.
post 1470253861 11-08-2016, 09:06 PM
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#42
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Originally Posted By jb120⏩
Trump is getting an early start at turning us into a 3rd world country

All Trumpers should lose their jobs by the end of the week if he's elected
Lol. Puppet
post 1470260141 11-08-2016, 09:24 PM
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#43
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Originally Posted By HomerJThompson⏩
Also the reason Hussman has been wrong is the scam fed has been running, also 2009 change in accounting rules. You cant build a healthy economy with zero percent interest rates and constant debt and almost no savings.
Broken clock is also right twice a day. I def agree that quant easing does inflate financial assets to a certain extent but the psychology behind bubbles goes much deeper than low cost of funding; if i think i'm going to get a 3x in one year, I won't really care if my cost of capital is 1% or 10%. We saw that kind of thinking with new age dotcom companies and US housing + related derivs
post 1470261251 11-08-2016, 09:28 PM
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#44
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
Broken clock is also right twice a day. I def agree that quant easing does inflate financial assets to a certain extent but the psychology behind bubbles goes much deeper than low cost of funding; if i think i'm going to get a 3x in one year, I won't really care if my cost of capital is 1% or 10%. We saw that kind of thinking with new age dotcom companies and US housing + related derivs
Are you trying to prove my point? :-) yes we saw that thinking until we didnt, you cant say that when your possible president says market is in a bubble and he will go after the fed is a good thing for the market right?
post 1470262841 11-08-2016, 09:32 PM
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#45
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Originally Posted By HomerJThompson⏩
Are you trying to prove my point? :-) yes we saw that thinking until we didnt, you cant say that when your possible president says market is in a bubble and he will go after the fed is a good thing for the market right?
mkt is not 100% overvalued today is all i'm saying (that's what you implied with 50% drawdown).

wrt to fed, what exactly is the mechanism you see causing a crash there? it's not like trump can suddenly tell the fed to cease and desist, eroding central bank independence is a concern but that is more of a slow burn and a crash inducing trigger
post 1470268951 11-08-2016, 09:48 PM
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#46
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Originally Posted By iceypain⏩
mkt is not 100% overvalued today is all i'm saying (that's what you implied with 50% drawdown).

wrt to fed, what exactly is the mechanism you see causing a crash there? it's not like trump can suddenly tell the fed to cease and desist, eroding central bank independence is a concern but that is more of a slow burn and a crash inducing trigger
Pschology, fed being there was a huge support for the market. The thought of easy cheap money. Crashes usually dont stop at 10%, as hussmann says the profit margins are going to take a hit eventualy and wont be at these high levels. Also the banks are probably still bankrupt if the 2009 mark to market accounting changes were reversed.
post 1470271221 11-08-2016, 09:54 PM
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fuark 70% of my net worth is in index funds (srs)

That's what happens when you decide to front load your 401k
( ͡ಠ ͜ʖ ͡ಠ) That's life son ( ͡ ͜ʖ ͡)
post 1470272071 11-08-2016, 09:56 PM
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#48
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Originally Posted By AhDo⏩
fuark 70% of my net worth is in index funds (srs)

That's what happens when you decide to front load your 401k
Sorry :-( Hope it bounces for you.
post 1470275891 11-08-2016, 10:06 PM
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#49
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market is 800 down now, also start of market crashes happen usually coincide with low unemployment, friday unemployment announced at 4.9%.
post 1470352121 11-09-2016, 05:19 AM
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Originally Posted By HomerJThompson⏩
if he is serious about going after the Fed, the dip is 50-60% below these levels.
AWARE ME
Originally Posted By Rajc⏩
made alot of money today buying gold already srs, it's 4:35 am here lul
ummm. ur suppose to buy it before it goes up $50, not after.

I stay correct cuz it already lost half its gains

WTF is Palladium going down?
post 1470352401 11-09-2016, 05:23 AM
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Originally Posted By open_society⏩
ahahaha your going to take your advice from this forum.

lol.

Just buy all the majors that are down.
Originally Posted By Humungus⏩
This could be even worse though if Donald legit wants to change the system and mess with The Fed. Market has also been forced ramped for months now to create this false illusion that everything is wonderful to help Hillary. They are going to freefall this thing although agree, 2000-2002 saw the Nasdaq lose almost 80%, that will never be repeated short of an actual apocalypse.
Originally Posted By Bigrowe⏩
I'm not that rich man I'm just a student, aha, i'll take any advice, I don't even have a trading account was looking at the one through commonwealth bank (Australia)
All the chit I ever recommended on this forum (check posts) in the past 10 years have been at least tripled. From gold, silver, bitcoin, palladium to now rhodium.
post 1470352901 11-09-2016, 05:28 AM
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#52
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Market dips every election...nothing new here.
Don't hit at all if it is honorably possible to avoid hitting; but never hit softly.
post 1470368731 11-09-2016, 07:45 AM
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#53
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fukin chicken little OP.
post 1470543001 11-10-2016, 07:54 AM
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bump for OP
post 1470543591 11-10-2016, 08:00 AM
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ayyy lmao
post 1470544331 11-10-2016, 08:07 AM
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#56
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Originally Posted By F1exAppeal⏩
Damn straight, this will be the end of the corrupt as phuck USA we have, were going to hatch from our cocoon and become "America"

God damnit I told myself I wouldn't cry
Lol yeah as if that would happen
post 1641830013 06-29-2021, 12:52 AM
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#57
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market is almost doubled now what it was when this thread was made

+16,000 points

lol @ trump
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