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» Our economy may be In serious danger
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post 1615817091 09-07-2020, 10:27 AM
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#31
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it literally shows you how much of a powerhouse franchises are

they have not been affected at all. oh our employeess gotta wear masks? ok... givethem out for "free" meanwhile small business gets shut down or goes out of business while acquiring major debt from property rent. mcdonalds, bestbuy? still open and doing well.. meanwhile traders joes is now out of business...
post 1615817671 09-07-2020, 10:34 AM
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#32
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Originally Posted By Jasonw1178
With Covid19 and all the shutdowns for as long as they were, surprised things aren't much worse. Honestly, sounds like it's being well managed. Oh, and LOL@Russia/Iran.... they have the GDP if what, the US in a month? And no name in the banking industry.
I did start fact checking some things and it seems this part is somewhat true but possibly misrelayed, he may have confused the russian opec price war but its true if you look it up china russia and others want to do their own thing. One thing i read is theyre getting sick of dealing with the dollar and sanctions
post 1615817741 09-07-2020, 10:35 AM
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#33
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Originally Posted By Unstumpable
People who think there will be no consequences to all of those things are the retarded ones. Probably the same people still demanding free healthcare and UBI. Money printer just gotta go brrrr a lil more am I right?
Nobody actually knows if there will be consequences or what they will be, we're in relatively uncharted monetary policy waters. Even the theories we run on have only been around since the 1970s and later.

One very important stat to look at, other than money supply, is velocity of money. Velocity of money depends on how much money is actually out there and in use. It is at historic lows now and crashing since 2010. Will more supply of money mean inflation, or any consequence, if that money isn't actually in the market? I would think not. But what happens when / if this money enters the market? Will it ever enter the market? Who knows. But just printing money doesn't really cause inflation in the modern economy.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V



To the OP - your friend sounds like a run of the mill moron.
post 1615817971 09-07-2020, 10:38 AM
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#34
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Originally Posted By ByAssociation
I did start fact checking some things and it seems this part is somewhat true but possibly misrelayed, he may have confused the russian opec price war but its true if you look it up china russia and others want to do their own thing. One thing i read is theyre getting sick of dealing with the dollar and sanctions
Right, there is a thing where Russia and Saudis are competing trying to crash each other's market. Just LOL if your economy is based on one resource. They can be sick of our dollar all they want, nobody is going to trust anything coming from them. Anyone who does will face the consequences.
post 1615818101 09-07-2020, 10:39 AM
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#35
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The guy i heard this from is older and spent most of his life making 3-500k a year working with banks and real estate so i dont think hes a moron
post 1615822111 09-07-2020, 11:27 AM
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#36
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That's funny because there are multiple pink flags according to a gigantic ******* I know. OP thinks:

The fed has bought massive amounts of corporate debt that is worthless

The fed is buying up 30 year treasury bonds because no one else wants them

Russia and Iran are teaming up now to create a new reserve currency based on oil

New regulation has frozen banks requirement to report their reserves and are basically running at zero

More and more mortgages and government backed loans are going to completely default

The market isn’t an accurate indicator, many reasons. Lots of big investors are getting out, it’s being propped up for other reasons as Rome burns. He didn’t bring it up but also lol at Apple and amazon being such a big part of it yikes


If the banks implement a mass credit reduction and even if not there could very well be massive societal changes coming. He thinks the eviction freezes are an attempt to force negotiation between tenant and landlord and widely it isn’t working.
post 1615822651 09-07-2020, 11:34 AM
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#37
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Wirklich interessant, weil es laut einer sehr klugen Person, die ich kenne, mehrere blaue Flaggen gibt. Er denkt:

Die Fed hat massive Unternehmensschulden gekauft, die wertlos sind

Die Fed kauft 30-jährige Staatsanleihen auf, weil sie sonst niemand will

Russland und der Iran schließen sich jetzt zusammen, um eine neue Reservewährung auf Ölbasis zu schaffen

Die neue Regulierung hat die Verpflichtung der Banken eingefroren, ihre Reserven zu melden, und läuft im Grunde genommen bei Null

Immer mehr Hypotheken und staatlich abgesicherte Kredite werden vollständig ausfallen

Der Markt ist aus vielen Gründen kein genauer Indikator. Viele große Investoren steigen aus, es wird aus anderen Gründen gestützt, während Rom brennt. Er hat es nicht angesprochen, aber auch lol bei Apple und Amazon, die so einen großen Teil davon ausmachen


Wenn die Banken eine Massenkreditreduzierung durchführen und selbst wenn nicht, könnte es durchaus zu massiven gesellschaftlichen Veränderungen kommen. Er glaubt, dass das Einfrieren der Räumung ein Versuch ist, Verhandlungen zwischen Mieter und Vermieter zu erzwingen, und dass dies im Großen und Ganzen nicht funktioniert.
The little lights are not twinkling
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post 1615823021 09-07-2020, 11:37 AM
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#38
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That's funny because there are multiple purple flags according to a very smart person I know. He thinks:

The fed has bought massive amounts of corporate debt that is worthless

The fed is buying up 30 year treasury bonds because no one else wants them

Russia and Iran are teaming up now to create a new reserve currency based on oil

New regulation has frozen banks requirement to report their reserves and are basically running at zero

More and more mortgages and government backed loans are going to completely default

The market isn’t an accurate indicator, many reasons. Lots of big investors are getting out, it’s being propped up for other reasons as Rome burns. He didn’t bring it up but also lol at Apple and amazon being such a big part of it yikes


If the banks implement a mass credit reduction and even if not there could very well be massive societal changes coming. He thinks the eviction freezes are an attempt to force negotiation between tenant and landlord and widely it isn’t working.
Wort ew in th wold.
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