Sign in

Forum » More General Categories » Misc. » Japanese Stock Market drops 6% in Monday trading. Black Monday is here.
  1. Results 61 to 79 of 79
  2. First
  3. 1
  4. 2
  5. 3
  1. Rate This Thread
08-05-2024, 06:59 AM
#61
Originally Posted By FA*******
This dip won't be very deep. There is 65% more money running around today compared to before COVID (M0 supply), and stocks are only up 55% since then. Normally, the correlation between monetary inflation and index price growth is absolutely slavish.

Options are too expensive to play right now while volatility is so high, but I would bet on SPY making up all these loasses turning around in about 2 weeks. There's just too much money chasing too few investments for it to fall further.
There will be a dead cat bounce at least

M0 does not correlate 1:1 with the stock market. The market has risen about 4x since 2008, where as M0 as increased about 7.8x.
Boycott foodservice industry crew
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. rectifryers avatar
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. Join Date: Sep 2012
  4. Posts: 16,993
  5. Rep Power: 210,219
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:14 AM
#62
I feel zero panic today.

This is a global sell off. It's affecting all assets.

Unfortunately the Fed waited too long to cut rates and now we're going to feel some pain. May as well avoid the charts until the next FOMC meeting in September.
  1. OffwhiteBrah
  2. Milf Hunter
  3. OffwhiteBrahs avatar
  1. OffwhiteBrah
  2. Milf Hunter
  3. Join Date: Apr 2015
  4. Location: Florida, United States
  5. Posts: 32,030
  6. Rep Power: 545,472
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:16 AM
#63
Originally Posted By OffwhiteBrah
I feel zero panic today.

This is a global sell off. It's affecting all assets.

Unfortunately the Fed waited too long to cut rates and now we're going to feel some pain. May as well avoid the charts until the next FOMC meeting in September.
lulwut?

The rates should be twice as high, low rates for too long is what caused this
  1. ymer
  2. Red
  3. ymers avatar
  1. ymer
  2. Red
  3. Join Date: Feb 2005
  4. Posts: 17,886
  5. Rep Power: 101,429
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:22 AM
#64
-6% !!!!


lol


Kamela and Bidens economy!!!
  1. Babayagawick85
  2. Force of nature
  3. Babayagawick85s avatar
  1. Babayagawick85
  2. Force of nature
  3. Join Date: Mar 2020
  4. Posts: 11,505
  5. Rep Power: 40,245
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:26 AM
#65
bought BTC when it dropped to 50k


das it mane
-MS Paint/Chop crew
-GIF crew
-Tradie crew
-No mask/vaccine crew


Neg on site for reddit and tiktok threads dedsrs
  1. nickh04
  2. Registered User
  3. nickh04s avatar
  1. nickh04
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Jun 2011
  4. Location: Sacramento, California, United States
  5. Posts: 16,725
  6. Rep Power: 211,884
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:30 AM
#66
Originally Posted By OffwhiteBrah
I feel zero panic today.

This is a global sell off. It's affecting all assets.

Unfortunately the Fed waited too long to cut rates and now we're going to feel some pain. May as well avoid the charts until the next FOMC meeting in September.
Rates aren't going down substantively for many months still.
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. OliverHeldenss avatar
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Oct 2014
  4. Age: 31
  5. Posts: 23,019
  6. Rep Power: 110,630
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:31 AM
#67
Originally Posted By nickh04
bought BTC when it dropped to 50k


das it mane

It was 22k less than a year ago….


Itll recover.

Itll hit 100k.


SOON.
  1. N0rds
  2. 👌 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
  3. N0rdss avatar
  1. N0rds
  2. 👌 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
  3. Join Date: May 2012
  4. Posts: 20,004
  5. Rep Power: 302,231
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:35 AM
#68
The market is now pricing in a 95% chance of a 0.50 US rate cut in September lol
  1. Destor
  2. Registered User
  3. Destors avatar
  1. Destor
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Apr 2012
  4. Location: Alberta, Canada
  5. Age: 39
  6. Posts: 26,872
  7. Rep Power: 254,906
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:38 AM
#69
Originally Posted By rectifryer
There will be a dead cat bounce at least

M0 does not correlate 1:1 with the stock market. The market has risen about 4x since 2008, where as M0 as increased about 7.8x.
Adjust your window to 2010 and M0 vs SPY lines up much better. It lines up 1 to 1 to a freaky degree. The correlation between 2010 and 2019 was literally 97%
FA Crew
Always Pick 1 Crew

"Experience is something you get right after you need it."
  1. FAPhaggot
  2. Hawaiian shirt hoarder
  3. FAPhaggots avatar
  1. FAPhaggot
  2. Hawaiian shirt hoarder
  3. Join Date: Nov 2015
  4. Posts: 15,712
  5. Rep Power: 185,348
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:43 AM
#70
Originally Posted By Destor
The market is now pricing in a 95% chance of a 0.50 US rate cut in September lol
Lol, I just really don't see them doing it. Would be a big mistake to go that much.
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. OliverHeldenss avatar
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Oct 2014
  4. Age: 31
  5. Posts: 23,019
  6. Rep Power: 110,630
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:43 AM
#71
  1. N0rds
  2. 👌 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
  3. N0rdss avatar
  1. N0rds
  2. 👌 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
  3. Join Date: May 2012
  4. Posts: 20,004
  5. Rep Power: 302,231
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:46 AM
#72
Originally Posted By OliverHeldens
Lol, I just really don't see them doing it. Would be a big mistake to go that much.
They don’t care, they will do whatever is easiest short term
Coincel
Florida crew (lol at coldcels)
  1. ThatGuy950
  2. Floridayyy
  3. ThatGuy950s avatar
  1. ThatGuy950
  2. Floridayyy
  3. Join Date: Sep 2007
  4. Location: Turks and Caicos Islands
  5. Posts: 9,577
  6. Rep Power: 171,546
Quote
08-05-2024, 07:48 AM
#73
Got the vast majority of my money a HISA earning like 5% because I will be buying a house in the next 1-2 years. Don't want my downpayment at risk. On days when the market is killing it, not gonna lie, it sucks, but on days like today… boy does it feel good to be playing it safe. People say it is boomer advice, too conservative, etc. But the psychological value alone is big for me. Never risking my downpayment crew.
..::-Miscers Who Actually Lift Crew-::..
***Canadian Crew***
++ Positive Crew ++
S&P Crew
  1. sphinxbrah
  2. Registered User
  3. sphinxbrahs avatar
  1. sphinxbrah
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Aug 2011
  4. Location: Ontario, Canada
  5. Age: 34
  6. Posts: 1,088
  7. Rep Power: 5,284
Quote
08-05-2024, 08:10 AM
#74
Originally Posted By OliverHeldens
Lol, I just really don't see them doing it. Would be a big mistake to go that much.
The market has been grossly optimistic and wrong this whole time so
  1. Destor
  2. Registered User
  3. Destors avatar
  1. Destor
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Apr 2012
  4. Location: Alberta, Canada
  5. Age: 39
  6. Posts: 26,872
  7. Rep Power: 254,906
Quote
08-05-2024, 02:50 PM
#75
Originally Posted By FA*******
Adjust your window to 2010 and M0 vs SPY lines up much better. It lines up 1 to 1 to a freaky degree. The correlation between 2010 and 2019 was literally 97%
It can uncorrellate just as easy as it correlated. It doesn't happen in a vacuum. The cause behind it does not have to persist.
Boycott foodservice industry crew
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. rectifryers avatar
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. Join Date: Sep 2012
  4. Posts: 16,993
  5. Rep Power: 210,219
Quote
08-05-2024, 02:53 PM
#76
Originally Posted By sphinxbrah
Got the vast majority of my money a HISA earning like 5% because I will be buying a house in the next 1-2 years. Don't want my downpayment at risk. On days when the market is killing it, not gonna lie, it sucks, but on days like today… boy does it feel good to be playing it safe. People say it is boomer advice, too conservative, etc. But the psychological value alone is big for me. Never risking my downpayment crew.
you'd be far ahead

I'm pretty bullish on the market despite my arguments. Those in charge do not like losing money.
Boycott foodservice industry crew
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. rectifryers avatar
  1. rectifryer
  2. enlightened
  3. Join Date: Sep 2012
  4. Posts: 16,993
  5. Rep Power: 210,219
Quote
08-05-2024, 03:10 PM
#77
Originally Posted By ThatGuy950
They don’t care, they will do whatever is easiest short term
If this were true, it would’ve happened already.
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. OliverHeldenss avatar
  1. OliverHeldens
  2. Registered User
  3. Join Date: Oct 2014
  4. Age: 31
  5. Posts: 23,019
  6. Rep Power: 110,630
Quote
08-08-2024, 01:26 PM
#78
Dow closes nearly 700 pionts higher after latest jobless data, we back boyos
  1. OffwhiteBrah
  2. Milf Hunter
  3. OffwhiteBrahs avatar
  1. OffwhiteBrah
  2. Milf Hunter
  3. Join Date: Apr 2015
  4. Location: Florida, United States
  5. Posts: 32,030
  6. Rep Power: 545,472
Quote
08-08-2024, 01:42 PM
#79
Originally Posted By OffwhiteBrah
Dow closes nearly 700 pionts higher after latest jobless data, we back boyos
Dead cat bounce?
  1. LoveHBB
  2. Model agency
  3. LoveHBBs avatar
  1. LoveHBB
  2. Model agency
  3. Join Date: Aug 2017
  4. Posts: 366
  5. Rep Power: 1,866
Quote
Bookmarks
Digg
del.icio.us
StumbleUpon
Google
Facebook
Posting Permissions
  1. You may not post new threads
  2. You may not post replies
  3. You may not post attachments
  4. You may not edit your posts