Thread: Actual death rate is likely .06%
03-26-2020, 11:39 PM
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#151
- inspectionstare
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Originally Posted By MakeABanana⏩
Great point.People are actually this dumb. When you surround yourself with the intelligent members of society for too long, you start to forget what "average" human intelligence actually means.
It's also unfortunate that our public school system is so heterogenous in its efficacy.
It's also unfortunate that our public school system is so heterogenous in its efficacy.
03-26-2020, 11:43 PM
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#152
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Originally Posted By Benji
Source / article?So most likely the actual death rate is 0.06% (6 in 10 000) based on the only sample we have of an entire population group being tested. The death rate of the regular flu is 10 in 10 000. And of this 0.06% who die, 90% of them are over 70, and 80% of them have 2 or more chronic diseases. Less than 1% of them were normal, healthy people.
1% of 0.06% = 6 in 1 000 000
So if the average miscer catches it, your chance of dieing is less than 1 in 100,000.
1% of 0.06% = 6 in 1 000 000
So if the average miscer catches it, your chance of dieing is less than 1 in 100,000.
03-27-2020, 12:38 AM
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#153
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Originally Posted By inspectionstare⏩
The 0.06% if from OP's linkSource / article?
The breakdown of Coronavirus deaths are from here:
https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-...NGpnIQuDkTrkjc
03-27-2020, 12:47 AM
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#154
Whatever. The Chinese have cancelled Chinese New Year.
I'm not taking my chances and rather work from home.
Death rate in China is approaching 5%.
And I enjoy the clean and crisp air at the morning walk when I have to go to work.
I'm not taking my chances and rather work from home.
Death rate in China is approaching 5%.
And I enjoy the clean and crisp air at the morning walk when I have to go to work.
Cycling, walking, swimming.
No car.
03-27-2020, 12:55 AM
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#155
Originally Posted By Benji
They use as source an article where the authour does not understand the term "peer-reviewed".The 0.06% if from OP's link
The breakdown of Coronavirus deaths are from here:
https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-...NGpnIQuDkTrkjc
The breakdown of Coronavirus deaths are from here:
https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-...NGpnIQuDkTrkjc
Just as expexted. Everyone is an expert now.
Cycling, walking, swimming.
No car.
03-27-2020, 01:13 AM
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#156
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Originally Posted By Frank
Not to mention all old as fuk10/3700 passengers.
Or will it spread faster in America than it did on a ****ing boat?
Or will it spread faster in America than it did on a ****ing boat?
Plant the trees in whose shade your grandchildren will play
03-27-2020, 08:37 AM
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#157
- Frank Drebin
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Originally Posted By DrFeeIGood⏩
I'm on board that this thing is overblown, BUT, your numbers are deceiving and dishonest.There have been 6,820 deaths allegedly from (really "with") Coronavirus in Italy.
Italy isn't lying, right -- we can trust those numbers (unlike Iran.)
This is the poster child for America, and specifically NY and CA. It is informing our response. It is a horrible, frightening scenario and one we must avoid, therefore we are locking down cities, claiming "major disaster" status and all sorts of other things.
Ok.
Fact: 633,000 people died in Italy in 2018.
So Coronavirus, in the worst-hit Western nation in the world, has managed to kill about 1% as many people as die on an ordinary basis in Italy -- and that assumes that Coronavirus actually caused all those deaths (hint: it didn't.)
Let's further assume before this is over that number doubles.
So Coronavirus will have killed two percent of all the people who die from all causes in Italy over a year's time.
Two percent!
Given this fact should we:
1. Continue to sacrifice our economy for an escalation in death rate of 2% over what it is otherwise.
or
2. Immediately re-open our economy
You choose America, because that really is what we're talking about. Remember, Italy supposedly blew it, they're the worst case, they overloaded their medical system, people died for lack of a vent, etc.
Yet these are the numbers.
Now choose.
Italy isn't lying, right -- we can trust those numbers (unlike Iran.)
This is the poster child for America, and specifically NY and CA. It is informing our response. It is a horrible, frightening scenario and one we must avoid, therefore we are locking down cities, claiming "major disaster" status and all sorts of other things.
Ok.
Fact: 633,000 people died in Italy in 2018.
So Coronavirus, in the worst-hit Western nation in the world, has managed to kill about 1% as many people as die on an ordinary basis in Italy -- and that assumes that Coronavirus actually caused all those deaths (hint: it didn't.)
Let's further assume before this is over that number doubles.
So Coronavirus will have killed two percent of all the people who die from all causes in Italy over a year's time.
Two percent!
Given this fact should we:
1. Continue to sacrifice our economy for an escalation in death rate of 2% over what it is otherwise.
or
2. Immediately re-open our economy
You choose America, because that really is what we're talking about. Remember, Italy supposedly blew it, they're the worst case, they overloaded their medical system, people died for lack of a vent, etc.
Yet these are the numbers.
Now choose.
633,000 deaths a year equals out to an average of 1735 deaths a day.
They are currently experiencing 50% more deaths per day than usual due to the coronavirus. Its not good bro.
03-27-2020, 08:46 AM
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#158
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No one ever think THEY are going to be part of the statistics.
03-27-2020, 08:57 AM
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#159
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Originally Posted By Frank
You can look up the death totals by month in italy and you will see that every year the numbers are higher in the flu and cold season and lower in the summer time. The death count being 2100+ a day in january, february and march is not unusual. One month I looked at had 75000 dead, that's over 2400 per day. Now you have to consider how many people are dying who are infected with corona now who otherwise would die infected with the cold or the flu.I'm on board that this thing is overblown, BUT, your numbers are deceiving and dishonest.
633,000 deaths a year equals out to an average of 1735 deaths a day.
They are currently experiencing 50% more deaths per day than usual due to the coronavirus. Its not good bro.
633,000 deaths a year equals out to an average of 1735 deaths a day.
They are currently experiencing 50% more deaths per day than usual due to the coronavirus. Its not good bro.
If they release numbers showing the number of people dying per month is now much higher than normal, then yes, I agree something is wrong. But if you look at Italy's numbers compared to the rest of the civilized world, there is some trickery with how they count their corona deaths and they have a clear agenda to make these numbers as high as possible.
I'm also very curious where you get that 50% extra deaths per day from. Is this a guess because they have 800 corona deaths a day or do you have an actual source that these are 800 EXTRA deaths per day?
03-27-2020, 01:47 PM
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#160
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Originally Posted By Underwrought⏩
Yeah. Better not drive either, baby boy.No one ever think THEY are going to be part of the statistics.
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