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Forum » By a margin of 362-176, Trump will trounce Biden and will win re-election.
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Thread: By a margin of 362-176, Trump will trounce Biden and will win re-election.

post 1614576961 08-25-2020, 12:19 PM
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By a margin of 362-176, Trump will trounce Biden and will win re-election.

Time to place your bets in Vegas and make some cash, boyos!

The same guy who called the 2016 election 246 days in advance, has called 2020 for Trump with just 71 days to go. When he called 2016 for Trump, the narrative in the media and with pollsters was that Hillary would trounce Trump.

He predicted Trump. He was right, they were wrong.

In fact, his model correctly predicted 25 of the previous 27 presidential elections and ignores pollsters and transient events (e.g., October surprises).

He says he's 91% confident Trump wins re-election.

https://spectator.org/helmut-norpoth...-win-november/

This might not matter if the 2nd civil war kicks off on November 4th, but just in case that doesn't happen, it could be some easy cash. Vegas bookies currently have Trump as a +115 underdog. Basically, when Trump wins, you earn 15% on your money, but the margin is closing and by the end of the RNC convention in 3 days, he might not be the underdog anymore.
"Buy a man eat fish, the day, teach man, to lifetime." - Joe Biden

2022 New Year's Resolution: Randomly neg TheScapeGOAT for lulz.
post 1614577601 08-25-2020, 12:26 PM
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The only thing up for debate is if he loses the popular vote again, which I think he will, though I think he will get more votes than the 2016 election. He will dominate the electoral college again.
6'1 masterrace crew
phone is a $600 alarm clock crew
sleep in my car on Friday nights so my cats think I have life crew
You best start believing in clown worlds, you’re in one
post 1614577991 08-25-2020, 12:32 PM
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I'll take Biden if you want Trump, op. Let's avoid the juice and straight bet each other.

You in?
post 1614578211 08-25-2020, 12:35 PM
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Originally Posted By ErnieMccracken⏩
I'll take Biden if you want Trump, op. Let's avoid the juice and straight bet each other.

You in?
who dis?
"Buy a man eat fish, the day, teach man, to lifetime." - Joe Biden

2022 New Year's Resolution: Randomly neg TheScapeGOAT for lulz.
post 1614578291 08-25-2020, 12:36 PM
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i'm tempted to bet big on the Don
only worry is mail in ballots raising the dead and having them vote biden
biddies in tracksuits
post 1614579551 08-25-2020, 12:52 PM
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I’ve got $100,000 that says the Democrats steal the election
Smack City crew
post 1614579831 08-25-2020, 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted By x420SwagScopex⏩
I’ve got $100,000 that says the Democrats steal the election
Lol arent you the dude who got the 100k inheritance
Edit Signature
post 1614579961 08-25-2020, 12:57 PM
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That scenario has Trump winning NY.

Not sure about that.
post 1614580171 08-25-2020, 12:59 PM
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Sorry folks!! The parks closed and the Democrats will lose this year. Again, but they'll rally for a while after the 2nd term is over
Chicago Crew



"ITS OK MIKE"
post 1614580201 08-25-2020, 12:59 PM
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I don't see him winning the popular vote and I imagine he will lose the popular vote by an even wider margin this time around...a bit over 2.8 million in 2016.



I dont think he wins, but if he does, I at least hope he wins the popular vote also...i imagine it will be a chit show if he loses the popular vote but a huge margin.
n4l
Rayaarito
fappin
r32gojirra
post 1614580251 08-25-2020, 01:00 PM
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Originally Posted By Sylvarius⏩
The only thing up for debate is if he loses the popular vote again, which I think he will, though I think he will get more votes than the 2016 election. He will dominate the electoral college again.
Probably


But **** the popular vote. Winning a states electoral college votes means you won the popular vote in that state. ****ing libs dont get we are a Republic why the fuk would someone in Arkansas want California to dominate them just because they have more people?


**** that.
post 1614580301 08-25-2020, 01:01 PM
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Originally Posted By MiscInformed⏩
who dis?
Bet me, *******.
post 1614580321 08-25-2020, 01:01 PM
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mail order fraud, dead people, illegals voting > predictions.
Cobra Kai never dies!
post 1614580671 08-25-2020, 01:06 PM
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Originally Posted By Mercworx⏩
Probably


But **** the popular vote.Winning a states electoral college votes means you won the popular vote in that state. ****ing libs dont getwe are a Republic why the fuk would someone in Arkansas want California to dominate them just because they have more people?


**** that.
U wot m8?
n4l
Rayaarito
fappin
r32gojirra
post 1614580731 08-25-2020, 01:06 PM
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Originally Posted By x420SwagScopex⏩
I’ve got $100,000 that says the Democrats steal the election
That they try or that they succeed? One is definite, the other is unlikely.
post 1614581491 08-25-2020, 01:16 PM
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Originally Posted By ErnieMccracken⏩
Bet me, *******.
Why are trying so hard to make this thread about you? Are you an alt for SS or something??
"Buy a man eat fish, the day, teach man, to lifetime." - Joe Biden

2022 New Year's Resolution: Randomly neg TheScapeGOAT for lulz.
post 1614581831 08-25-2020, 01:19 PM
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Trump will win

Biden has zero excitement going for him. Nobody likes him at all, he couldnt fill a middleschool gym and they know it. There arent even any biden signs around here but plenty of enthusiasm for 4 more years of Trump.
post 1614581931 08-25-2020, 01:19 PM
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Originally Posted By MiscInformed⏩
Why are trying so hard to make this thread about you? Are you an alt for SS or something??
"Time to place your bets in Vegas and make some cash, boyos!"- literally you

I'm offering to take the other side and avoid using some scum sucking offshore betting site. I think Biden will win.
post 1614582471 08-25-2020, 01:25 PM
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The Dems are going to use every dirty trick in the book to make the election questionable and they've already outlined their strategy even if/when Trump wins:


https://webcache.googleusercontent.c...&ct=clnk&gl=us


https://www.businessinsider.com/cont...ovember-2020-8



Im betting we wont have a confirmed election until December or even January.
post 1614582861 08-25-2020, 01:30 PM
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Originally Posted By MiscInformed⏩
Time to place your bets in Vegas and make some cash, boyos!

The same guy who called the 2016 election 246 days in advance, has called 2020 for Trump with just 71 days to go. When he called 2016 for Trump, the narrative in the media and with pollsters was that Hillary would trounce Trump.

He predicted Trump. He was right, they were wrong.

In fact, his model correctly predicted 25 of the previous 27 presidential elections and ignores pollsters and transient events (e.g., October surprises).

He says he's 91% confident Trump wins re-election.

https://spectator.org/helmut-norpoth...-win-november/

This might not matter if the 2nd civil war kicks off on November 4th, but just in case that doesn't happen, it could be some easy cash. Vegas bookies currently have Trump as a +115 underdog. Basically, when Trump wins, you earn 15% on your money, but the margin is closing and by the end of the RNC convention in 3 days, he might not be the underdog anymore.
Garbage model, and his record is easily defeated by this one, based on the thirteen keys by Allan Lichtman, which predicted 2016 and has yet to fail. He calls 2020 for Biden. Stick to peddling religious apocalyptic conspiracy theories, boyo.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/o...-lichtman.html
post 1614583091 08-25-2020, 01:32 PM
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He will win because of incumbency advantage and strength of economy. Better the devil you know than the devil you don't.

Just hope that people can remain chill either way.
post 1614583671 08-25-2020, 01:36 PM
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Originally Posted By Sylvarius⏩
The only thing up for debate is if he loses the popular vote again, which I think he will, though I think he will get more votes than the 2016 election. He will dominate the electoral college again.
no chance.

Since 2016 Trump has done nothing but gain votes and Biden has historically pathetic enthusiasm. People turned out for Hillary because it was another glass ceiling to break foe them, it was a “historic” vote.

i knew plenty of open hillary supporters back then. Hillary bumper stickers, yard signs, t shirts ect. I havnt seen a SINGLE Biden ANYTHING
Certified 1200 ng/l T
post 1614584181 08-25-2020, 01:40 PM
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Still have to worry about democrats cheating
post 1614584241 08-25-2020, 01:41 PM
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Originally Posted By jimmybobjim⏩
He will win because of incumbency advantage and strength of economy. Better the devil you know than the devil you don't.

Just hope that people can remain chill either way.
Economy is still in shambles with near record unemployment and home eviction rates. Not sure where some of you get your fake news from. I'll just leave this here:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/o...-lichtman.html
post 1614584291 08-25-2020, 01:42 PM
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Stock market 3 months out and in predicts who will win, it's been really good the last few weeks, so Biden isn't winning.
post 1614584561 08-25-2020, 01:44 PM
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Originally Posted By MiscInformed⏩
Time to place your bets in Vegas and make some cash, boyos!

The same guy who called the 2016 election 246 days in advance, has called 2020 for Trump with just 71 days to go. When he called 2016 for Trump, the narrative in the media and with pollsters was that Hillary would trounce Trump.

He predicted Trump. He was right, they were wrong.

In fact, his model correctly predicted 25 of the previous 27 presidential elections and ignores pollsters and transient events (e.g., October surprises).

He says he's 91% confident Trump wins re-election.

https://spectator.org/helmut-norpoth...-win-november/

This might not matter if the 2nd civil war kicks off on November 4th, but just in case that doesn't happen, it could be some easy cash. Vegas bookies currently have Trump as a +115 underdog. Basically, when Trump wins, you earn 15% on your money, but the margin is closing and by the end of the RNC convention in 3 days, he might not be the underdog anymore.
Where does one go and place their bet? I got to vegas 1-3 times a month. Have been to numerous properties and not one offers a bet on the presidential election.

srs.
post 1614584841 08-25-2020, 01:48 PM
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Originally Posted By Rebel012⏩
Economy is still in shambles with near record unemployment and home eviction rates. Not sure where some of you get your fake news from. I'll just leave this here:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/o...-lichtman.html
You don't even live in the US. You live in a foreign country sipping some nasty Tim Hortons reading retarded/biased news articles.

Stock market: Rallying and SPY has broken it's ATH record.
Businesses: All booming, except for gyms and clubs.. Who needs to club? They're all booming. Restaurants are killing it. Food delivery apps and drivers are killing it. Car sales are killing it. Used car values have gone way up.

Traffic everywhere like there never was a lock down.. People working from home making the same money, if not more AND saving by not commuting as much.

Reality is that the Canadian economy is in shambles.

"Economy in shambles". Do you always talk out of your ass?
post 1614585341 08-25-2020, 01:53 PM
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Originally Posted By luckyboy23⏩
You don't even live in the US. You live in a foreign country sipping some nasty Tim Hortons reading retarded/biased news articles.

Stock market: Rallying and SPY has broken it's ATH record.
Businesses: All booming, except for gyms and clubs.. Who needs to club? They're all booming. Restaurants are killing it. Food delivery apps and drivers are killing it. Car sales are killing it. Used car values have gone way up.

Traffic everywhere like there never was a lock down.. People working from home making the same money, if not more AND saving by not commuting as much.

Reality is that the Canadian economy is in shambles.

"Economy in shambles". Do you always talk out of your ass?
Strong burn with the coffee jab.

Not a single real metric was posted. You're the only person I've come across who uses food delivery drivers as a proxy for the health of an economy and general satisfaction. The stock market doesn't always track the situation of the working and middle class. Again, check growth rates, unemployment, and evictions.
post 1614585801 08-25-2020, 01:58 PM
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Originally Posted By ErnieMccracken⏩
"Time to place your bets in Vegas and make some cash, boyos!"- literally you

I'm offering to take the other side and avoid using some scum sucking offshore betting site. I think Biden will win.
Nobody has to use offshore sites. Betting is legal in Vegas. Why would anyone prefer to bet real money with a random stranger online and trust them to be honest, when he can do so legally with a big corporation that is heavily licensed and regulated.

Tell you what. Why don't you give me all your money and I'll keep it safe for you so that you don't have to worry about paying bank fees anymore. Just let me know when you need some and I promise to send it to you. You can trust me... I'm an anonymous stranger on the internet. I'm way more trustworthy than Wells Fargo or Citibank.

LOL.

Just LOL.
"Buy a man eat fish, the day, teach man, to lifetime." - Joe Biden

2022 New Year's Resolution: Randomly neg TheScapeGOAT for lulz.
post 1614586021 08-25-2020, 02:00 PM
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Originally Posted By Rebel012⏩
Strong burn with the coffee jab.

Not a single real metric was posted. You're the only person I've come across who uses food delivery drivers as a proxy for the health of an economy and general satisfaction. The stock market doesn't always track the situation of the working and middle class. Again, check growth rates, unemployment, and evictions.
I'm looking at what's going on around me, not reading biased articles with an agenda. I gave you some examples and you've dismissed them.

I'm dual citizen brah. I've got connections in both countries, real connects not just random people.

Real estate is booming, mortgage brokers are killing it. Again, car sales are killing it. People adapt. Look at Peloton, they can't even keep up with orders. Whatever business that went down, that money got redistributed elsewhere. No gyms? Good luck finding weights and treadmills for sale anywhere. Those businesses have taken off. I have a friend whose been making 2K a month on the side flipping old, used treadmills and weights.

People who are not going to the clubs are spending that money travelling and finding other social activities, with a stupid mask of course.

Ahh, the beauty of capitalism...

PS: Timmies is horrid, I don't know what happened but they've fallen off a cliff.
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