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» A lot of disinformation on covid on here
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post 1627534773 01-05-2021, 08:54 AM
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Originally Posted By Mountaineer92
idk why this ******* gets unbanned every single time. just let him make 20 accts a day spamming and keep getting banned.
Originally Posted By CockHorse
Would like to request an awnser as to why this looser who sits behind his internet persona "Wincel" was unbanned?

Threatening to kill a sitting president doesn't result in a perma ban?

The only reason his ban was lifted, Is because he spends 23 of the 24 hours in the day spamming this forum, Making it look like there is much more traffic on this forum.

Traffic = advertising $.
post 1627534833 01-05-2021, 08:54 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
It's not incredibly low. It's like 17%.
It's actually 0.7% within households
post 1627534893 01-05-2021, 08:55 AM
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Originally Posted By PenorBrahNoHomo
It's actually 0.7% within households
intredasting

sauce?
post 1627535033 01-05-2021, 08:57 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
intredasting

sauce?
Did you get the sources for your claims that I asked for?

Let's start with the easy one, the one where you prove that, as you claimed:

a) Wal-Marts, generally speaking, have better ventilation systems, than other comparable commercial buildings, and that
b) The governments that have issues lockdown orders, have taken this factor into consideration.

This should be a really easy thing to prove.
post 1627535263 01-05-2021, 09:01 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
intredasting

sauce?
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2774102
post 1627535553 01-05-2021, 09:05 AM
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That study says 16.6%, which is what wincel posted.
post 1627535993 01-05-2021, 09:13 AM
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Makes sense. I'd expect asymptomatics to be less likely to spread it. Keep in mind the probability an infected individual will transmit (secondary attack rate) is different than the percent of cases attributable to asymptomatic spread. I got the 17% figure from this:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03141-3

These are different things. It does make sense that asymptomatic spread ought to have a much lower probability. However, one must also consider that an asymptomatic person is more likely to have more interactions.
post 1627536213 01-05-2021, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Makes sense. I'd expect asymptomatics to be less likely to spread it. Keep in mind the probability an infected individual will transmit (secondary attack rate) is different than the percent of cases attributable to asymptomatic spread. I got the 17% figure from this:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03141-3

These are different things. It does make sense that asymptomatic spread ought to have a much lower probability. However, one must also consider that an asymptomatic person is more likely to have more interactions.
Did you get the sources for your claims that I asked for?

Let's start with the easy one, the one where you prove that, as you claimed:

a) Wal-Marts, generally speaking, have better ventilation systems, than other comparable commercial buildings, and that
b) The governments that have issued lockdown orders, have taken this factor into consideration.

This should be a really easy thing to prove. Or you could admit that you were just making up chit as you went along.
post 1627536803 01-05-2021, 09:22 AM
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Originally Posted By Anachron
That study says 16.6%, which is what wincel posted.
Thats overall, including symptomatic cases
post 1627536943 01-05-2021, 09:23 AM
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Originally Posted By PenorBrahNoHomo
Thats overall, including symptomatic cases
Ah. In that case, I thank you for schooling wincel.

I wonder if he's getting that Wal-Mart study yet. I am really interested to hear how he got to the conclusion that Wal-Marts are allowed to sell non-essential items in locked down areas because the government recognized that they as a rule have better ventilation systems than every other commercial building.
post 1627536973 01-05-2021, 09:23 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Makes sense. I'd expect asymptomatics to be less likely to spread it. Keep in mind the probability an infected individual will transmit (secondary attack rate) is different than the percent of cases attributable to asymptomatic spread. I got the 17% figure from this:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03141-3

These are different things. It does make sense that asymptomatic spread ought to have a much lower probability. However, one must also consider that an asymptomatic person is more likely to have more interactions.
True, but if household SAR is that low, what will it be for passing someone in a shop or sitting at the next table in a restaurant? Very much lower still.
post 1627537063 01-05-2021, 09:25 AM
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Originally Posted By PenorBrahNoHomo
True, but if household SAR is that low, what will it be for passing someone in a shop or sitting at the next table in a restaurant? Very much lower still.
Yeah, but over the course of the days you are asymptomatic over a large number of interactions, it starts to escalate your chance of spreading it to at least one person.
post 1627537083 01-05-2021, 09:25 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Yeah, but over the course of the day over a large number of interactions, it starts to escalate your chance of spreading it to at least one person.
Did you get the sources for your claims that I asked for?

Let's start with the easy one, the one where you prove that, as you claimed:

a) Wal-Marts, generally speaking, have better ventilation systems, than other comparable commercial buildings, and that
b) The governments that have issued lockdown orders, have taken this factor into consideration.

This should be a really easy thing to prove. Or you could admit that you were just making up chit as you went along.
post 1627537213 01-05-2021, 09:26 AM
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dropping this here because messomi's thread went MIA:
The problem is, in the modern age and on the internet everything is so polarized. You're either a vaccine bootlicker, or an anti vaxxer idiot, and there's no room for the (usually far more reasonable) middle ground.
Already repped you for a post in this thread, but this may be the truest thing in here.
Originally Posted By Cleveland33
That's not irrational at all, we make the higher risk choices daily. Well, most of us do, I guess if you don't leave the house even when there is no pandemic, maybe you don't.

And it is pathetic that I have a hobby - especially one that I can do to pass time at work? I enjoy conversations on numerous topics - andit has been shown now that arguing on the internet is therapeutic to people with ADD like myself. If that is pathetic, than so be it. As for you maintaining memory space - repetition of anything will maintain memory space.
So is this why I misc?

Best figures so far as I am aware at this time:

- between 3% and 4% of confirmed COVID cases are hospitalized/severe, and if you are under 40 you are quite low risk of this



- 1.7% seems to be holding as the percentage of fatalities (17 in 1000) and surely the vast majority of those who are deceased from COVID were severe/hospitalized

- 10% is the present estimate of cases developing into "long COVID", aka long term (though not necessarily permanent) symptoms; and this is a real cause for concern (10 in 100)

We don't know the the long term symptoms will be permanent/resistant to treatment. Some of those who have long term symptoms did not have severe illness.
Researchers estimate about 10% of COVID-19 patients become long haulers, according to a recent article from The Journal of the American Medical Association and a study done by British scientists. That’s in line with what UC Davis Health is seeing.

This condition can effect anyone – old and young, otherwise healthy people and those battling other conditions. It has been seen in those who were hospitalized with COVID-19 and patients with very mild symptoms.
https://health.ucdavis.edu/coronavir...g-haulers.html

It's possible that the mrna vaccines will be effective (any conspiracy aside), but it is also possible that there may be some real life changing long term effects. We don't know and we can't know because the time needed to establish any long term effects has not passed.

If long term effects from COVID are found to be permanent for even half of what is estimated (5%) then you would be choosing between:

unknown chance of being infected (higher for some than others) + 5% chance of lasting health damage + 1.7% (or less) chance of death

vs.

being vaccinated + completely unknown chance of lasting health damage from the vaccine + unknown chance of death from the vaccine (even if this approaches zero)

People should be allowed to make their own choice about this.

The above doesn't even factor in someone's pre-existing health, or association with more vulnerable people. I'm over 40, but I don't spend any significant time with people over 65 or people with significant pre-existing health conditions.
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post 1627537343 01-05-2021, 09:28 AM
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Originally Posted By katya422
dropping this here because messomi's thread went MIA:



Already repped you for a post in this thread, but this may be the truest thing in here.



So is this why I misc?

Best figures so far as I am aware at this time:

- between 3% and 4% of confirmed COVID cases are hospitalized/severe, and if you are under 40 you are quite low risk of this



- 1.7% seems to be holding as the percentage of fatalities (17 in 1000) and surely the vast majority of those who are deceased from COVID were severe/hospitalized

- 10% is the present estimate of cases developing into "long COVID", aka long term (though not necessarily permanent) symptoms; and this is a real cause for concern (10 in 100)

We don't know the the long term symptoms will be permanent/resistant to treatment. Some of those who have long term symptoms did not have severe illness.



https://health.ucdavis.edu/coronavir...g-haulers.html

It's possible that the mrna vaccines will be effective (any conspiracy aside), but it is also possible that there may be some real life changing long term effects. We don't know and we can't know because the time needed to establish any long term effects has not passed.

If long term effects from COVID are found to be permanent for even half of what is estimated (5%) then you would be choosing between:

unknown chance of being infected (higher for some than others) + 5% chance of lasting health damage + 1.7% (or less) chance of death

vs.

being vaccinated + completely unknown chance of lasting health damage from the vaccine + unknown chance of death from the vaccine (even if this approaches zero)

People should be allowed to make their own choice about this.

The above doesn't even factor in someone's pre-existing health, or association with more vulnerable people. I'm over 40, but I don't spend any significant time with people over 65 or people with significant pre-existing health conditions.
inb4 wincel goes "reeeee" and calls you a "moron".

Source :
Originally Posted By wincel
Which do you think is more likely? That this is all a giant conspiracy orchestrated by Amazon and Walmart to screw the little guy, and that our entire medical community is in on it

OR

that there really is this pandemic and a lot of people are dying and our government has tried to make restrictions as painless as possible (resulting in large firms continuing to remain open to minimize economic damage)?

Do you think everyone is secretly working with Walmart on this? Come on.
There is no middle ground for pseudo-intellectual shills like him.
post 1627537723 01-05-2021, 09:33 AM
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I'm legit confused with the direction of this thread.

Is it anti-vax vs. vax; or is it anti-lockdown vs. pro-lockdown; or anti-mask vs. mask?
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post 1627537953 01-05-2021, 09:35 AM
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Originally Posted By Bracket199
I'm legit confused with the direction of this thread.

Is it anti-vax vs. vax; or is it anti-lockdown vs. pro-lockdown; or anti-mask vs. mask?
It's wincel jerking himself off to his self-perception of being an intellectual person - while he makes statements implying that the government mandated lockdown took into account the fact that commercial buildings that house Wal-Marts have ventilation systems that work better as far as not spreading Covid19 as much as other commercial buildings' ventilation systems do.
post 1627538103 01-05-2021, 09:37 AM
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Thanks for your bullchit antivaxxer mom analysis from your toilet seat, but no, the vaccine is very likely to NOT cause any lasting health damage or death in anyone. It is obviously much safer than the virus, and someone with an actual PhD who runs her own lab was posted explaining this if you would even bother to watch the video. You should not be allowed to make your own choice on this because you're incompetent, and almost all of you will choose not to take the vaccine, thus defeating the entire point of the vaccine in the first place.

Giving your analysis more dignity than it deserves, you don't just add those probabilities. The spirit of what you are saying is fine though about how you are trying to compare risk of the virus vs risk of the vaccine. What you need to look at is that over the course of your life, you will almost certainly be exposed to covid. You then need to look at your mortality risk from that and risk of negative outcomes/QOL. You may lose your sense of smell, for example. There is also some indication, as you mentioned, that there may be lasting damage form covid. And of course, there is a very low but persistent chance that you may die.

While you may desire a long term study on the vaccine, it isn't practical to wait that long. We have good theoretical reasons to believe it doesn't have any extra notable risk of death or injury to anyone. You, and many others, seem to want to automatically ignore the models we have and all the theory we have about how the vaccine works. (Note that the very reason we got the vaccine so fast was our understanding of this theory.) We really don't need to wait 10 years to see. Sure, it would help us be more sure. But it doesn't really matter right now given the circumstances of the pandemic. Your choice is a virus or taking this vaccine which we have really good reason to believe is safe long term and we have good data to show it is safe short term.
post 1627538263 01-05-2021, 09:40 AM
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Predictable.
Originally Posted By Anachron
inb4 wincel goes "reeeee" and calls you a "moron".

Source :



There is no middle ground for pseudo-intellectual shills like him.
Originally Posted By wincel
Thanks for your bullchit antivaxxer mom analysis from your toilet seat, but no, the vaccine is very likely to NOT cause any lasting health damage or death in anyone. It is obviously much safer than the virus, and someone with an actual PhD who runs her own lab was posted explaining this if you would even bother to watch the video. You should not be allowed to make your own choice on this because you're incompetent, and almost all of you will choose not to take the vaccine, thus defeating the entire point of the vaccine in the first place.
post 1627538273 01-05-2021, 09:40 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Thanks for your bullchit antivaxxer mom analysis from your toilet seat, but no, the vaccine is very likely to NOT cause any lasting health damage or death in anyone. It is obviously much safer than the virus, and someone with an actual PhD who runs her own lab was posted explaining this if you would even bother to watch the video. You should not be allowed to make your own choice on this because you're incompetent, and almost all of you will choose not to take the vaccine, thus defeating the entire point of the vaccine in the first place.

Giving your analysis more dignity than it deserves, you don't just add those probabilities. The spirit of what you are saying is fine though about how you are trying to compare risk of the virus vs risk of the vaccine. What you need to look at is that over the course of your life, you will almost certainly be exposed to covid. You then need to look at your mortality risk from that and risk of negative outcomes/QOL. You may lose your sense of smell, for example. There is also some indication, as you mentioned, that there may be lasting damage form covid. And of course, there is a very low but persistent chance that you may die.

While you may desire a long term study on the vaccine, it isn't practical to wait that long. We have good theoretical reasons to believe it doesn't have any extra notable risk of death or injury to anyone. You, and many others, seem to want to automatically ignore the models we have and all the theory we have about how the vaccine works. (Note that the very reason we got the vaccine so fast was our understanding of this theory.) We really don't need to wait 10 years to see. Sure, it would help us be more sure. But it doesn't really matter right now given the circumstances of the pandemic. Your choice is a virus or taking this vaccine which we have really good reason to believe is safe long term and we have good data to show it is safe short term.
Pointing out the obvious here, but going to do just so no one misses the obvious "us vs them" tone of this written diarrhea of pseudo-intellectual garbage of a post.

How's that study on the ventilation systems of Wal-Marts coming along?
post 1627538793 01-05-2021, 09:46 AM
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Common myths about the vaccine debunked by Mayo Clinic:

https://www.mayoclinichealthsystem.o...myths-debunked
post 1627538923 01-05-2021, 09:48 AM
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Super classy how you choose to label me as a "soccer mom" or "anti-vaxxer mom" rather than just give a reasoned refutation or argument.

FWIW I've never had a child that played soccer and I'm not an anti-vaxxer. My daughter has had the full schedule of vaccinations.

I don't get the flu shot because I don't think it is worth it or all that effective. There was actually a study a few years back that showed getting it every year reduced the effectiveness.

The below references drugs that completed the normal length study process w/the FDA:
One-Third Of New Drugs Had Safety Problems After FDA Approval

The Food and Drug Administration is under pressure from the Trump administration to approve drugs faster, but researchers at the Yale School of Medicine found that nearly a third of those approved from 2001 through 2010 had major safety issues years after the medications were made widely available to patients.

Seventy-one of the 222 drugs approved in the first decade of the millennium were withdrawn, required a "black box" warning on side effects or warranted a safety announcement about new risks, Dr. Joseph Ross, an associate professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine, and colleagues reported in JAMA on Tuesday. The study included safety actions through Feb. 28.

"While the administration pushes for less regulation and faster approvals, those decisions have consequences," Ross says. The Yale researchers' previous studies concluded that the FDA approves drugs faster than its counterpart agency in Europe does and that the majority of pivotal trials in drug approvals involved fewer than 1,000 patients and lasted six months or less.

It took a median of 4.2 years after the drugs were approved for these safety concerns to come to light, the study found, and issues were more common among psychiatric drugs, biologic drugs, drugs that were granted "accelerated approval" and drugs that were approved near the regulatory deadline for approval.
But keep going with the idea that anyone who doesn't agree with you is wrong and stupid.
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post 1627539263 01-05-2021, 09:51 AM
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My body, my choice.
post 1627539303 01-05-2021, 09:51 AM
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Would like your your source on government approved Corona Virus Ventilated Wal-Marts. You Frauding Lieing Fcuking rat.



Waiting on a mod response on why this looser was unbanned?


$...?
post 1627539663 01-05-2021, 09:56 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Thanks for your bullchit antivaxxer mom analysis from your toilet seat, but no, the vaccine is very likely to NOT cause any lasting health damage or death in anyone. It is obviously much safer than the virus, and someone with an actual PhD who runs her own lab was posted explaining this if you would even bother to watch the video. You should not be allowed to make your own choice on this because you're incompetent, and almost all of you will choose not to take the vaccine, thus defeating the entire point of the vaccine in the first place.

Giving your analysis more dignity than it deserves, you don't just add those probabilities. The spirit of what you are saying is fine though about how you are trying to compare risk of the virus vs risk of the vaccine. What you need to look at is that over the course of your life, you will almost certainly be exposed to covid. You then need to look at your mortality risk from that and risk of negative outcomes/QOL. You may lose your sense of smell, for example. There is also some indication, as you mentioned, that there may be lasting damage form covid. And of course, there is a very low but persistent chance that you may die.

While you may desire a long term study on the vaccine, it isn't practical to wait that long. We have good theoretical reasons to believe it doesn't have any extra notable risk of death or injury to anyone. You, and many others, seem to want to automatically ignore the models we have and all the theory we have about how the vaccine works. (Note that the very reason we got the vaccine so fast was our understanding of this theory.) We really don't need to wait 10 years to see. Sure, it would help us be more sure. But it doesn't really matter right now given the circumstances of the pandemic. Your choice is a virus or taking this vaccine which we have really good reason to believe is safe long term and we have good data to show it is safe short term.
If you're scared, go to church
post 1627539693 01-05-2021, 09:57 AM
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Originally Posted By katya422
Super classy how you choose to label me as a "soccer mom" or "anti-vaxxer mom" rather than just give a reasoned refutation or argument.

FWIW I've never had a child that played soccer and I'm not an anti-vaxxer. My daughter has had the full schedule of vaccinations.

I don't get the flu shot because I don't think it is worth it or all that effective. There was actually a study a few years back that showed getting it every year reduced the effectiveness.

The below references drugs that completed the normal length study process w/the FDA:



But keep going with the idea that anyone who doesn't agree with you is wrong and stupid.
Did you read the rest where I addressed your concern directly, Karen?

The vaccine is not a medication. We know how it and its products are metabolized in the cell. We know how long this chit will last. It's gone very quickly. The only lasting indication that you were ever even vaccinated would be (hopefully) the development of antibodies to covid. That's literally it. The RNA is destroyed, the lipid nanoparticles are gone, and the fuking protein it coded for is gone very soon after the shot. Chit just doesn't randomly happen. There has to be a biological mechanism by which this would cause cancer, autism, death, or w/e else it is you're scared of. What you're really saying is you have zero faith in our understanding of molecular biology and the models used to make the damn vaccine in the first place. It's ridiculous. The idea that you want to wait 10 fuking years for long term studies before taking an injection when there is a virus going around that is spreading and out of control is absolutely delusional. You deserve to be insulted. Repeatedly.

Again, you guys center the discussion on me rather than on the PhD University Professor I posted, who is far more qualified than anyone ITT to tell you about the risks of the vaccine. SHE said that the risks are VERY low. I'm inclined to take her more seriously than some dumb Karens and Trump supporters.
post 1627539883 01-05-2021, 10:00 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Did you read the rest where I addressed your concern directly, Karen?


The vaccine is not a medication. We know how it and its products are metabolized in the cell. We know how long this chit will last. It's gone very quickly. The only lasting indication that you were ever even vaccinated would be (hopefully) the development of antibodies to covid. That's literally it. The RNA is destroyed, the lipid nanoparticles are gone, and the fuking protein it coded for is gone very soon after the shot. Chit just doesn't randomly happen. There has to be a biological mechanism by which this would cause cancer, autism, death, or w/e else it is you're scared of. What you're really saying is you have zero faith in our understanding of molecular biology and the models used to make the damn vaccine in the first place. It's ridiculous. The idea that you want to wait 10 fuking years for long term studies before taking an injection when there is a virus going around that is spreading and out of control is absolutely delusional. You deserve to be insulted. Repeatedly.
you seem upset
post 1627540133 01-05-2021, 10:05 AM
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Here's what the person with the PhD thinks.

https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/lon...JF2LMQTYQ4VSU/
One worry people have is if there will be long-term side effects of a COVID vaccine, months or years down the road.

“We can never fully exclude the possibility, but it’s going to be very rare - one in a 100 million, or one in 10 million,” said Deborah Fuller, Ph.D, who is a vaccine scientist with UW Medicine.

Fuller said the chances of long-term complications are extremely unlikely because of how vaccines work.

“Most of their job is done in the first few days, then the vaccine is gone from your body. So what’s left is that immune response to the vaccine,” Fuller said.

Others have voiced concerns about the new technology behind Pfizer’s and Moderna’s vaccines, which use mRNA - the first vaccines to use such technology.

“Actually, mRNA vaccines have the potential to be even safer,” Fuller said. Most existing vaccines use inactivated or dead virus, but the new method avoids that.

“We don’t actually have to use the pathogen itself. There is no risk in those vaccine preparations of actually having a virus or not sufficiently inactivated, as is the case with the majority of the vaccines we currently take,” Fuller said.
Hey...that's what I said! Imagine that. Notice that the few cases where vaccines were botched and caused problems historically were exactly in those cases avoided by mrna vaccines too. DERP.
But keep going with the idea that anyone who doesn't agree with you is wrong and stupid.
I will because it's true you dumb kunt.
post 1627540223 01-05-2021, 10:06 AM
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Originally Posted By wincel
Did you read the rest where I addressed your concern directly, Karen?

The vaccine is not a medication. We know how it and its products are metabolized in the cell. We know how long this chit will last. It's gone very quickly. The only lasting indication that you were ever even vaccinated would be (hopefully) the development of antibodies to covid. That's literally it. The RNA is destroyed, the lipid nanoparticles are gone, and the fuking protein it coded for is gone very soon after the shot. Chit just doesn't randomly happen. There has to be a biological mechanism by which this would cause cancer, autism, death, or w/e else it is you're scared of. What you're really saying is you have zero faith in our understanding of molecular biology and the models used to make the damn vaccine in the first place. It's ridiculous. The idea that you want to wait 10 fuking years for long term studies before taking an injection when there is a virus going around that is spreading and out of control is absolutely delusional. You deserve to be insulted. Repeatedly.

Again, you guys center the discussion on me rather than on the PhD University Professor I posted, who is far more qualified than anyone ITT to tell you about the risks of the vaccine. SHE said that the risks are VERY low. I'm inclined to take her more seriously than some dumb Karens and Trump supporters.
Any updates on how the government deemed ventilation systems of Wal-Marts were less likely to transmit Covid19 than other comparable commercial buildings?

Which univeristy professors' statement did you base that statement off of?
post 1627540463 01-05-2021, 10:10 AM
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Originally Posted By Anachron
Any updates on how the government deemed ventilation systems of Wal-Marts were less likely to transmit Covid19 than other comparable commercial buildings?

Which univeristy professors' statement did you base that statement off of?
How is a mom and pop small business comparable to Walmart?

And did you ever get back to me on which gardening stores were ordered closed by the CDC?

The fact that a better ventilated space is better for reducing risk of transmission is obvious and well studied. The supply chain argument also makes perfect sense if you think about it for 5 fuking seconds.
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