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Us housing market getting wrecked mortgagecels on ropewatch
10-12-2022, 11:43 PM
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#61
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Originally Posted By kengriffeyjr24⏩
We have the assets to pay off the mortgage on our current house. But why would I? Where am I ever going to get a 3% interest loan again? At the moment, I could get 3% in a fkkn savings account with zero risk and complete liquidity.not the vast majority of people (otherwise they wouldnt be bragging about the rate they locked in).
why are prices dropping right now if rates are increasing?
why are prices dropping right now if rates are increasing?
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10-12-2022, 11:44 PM
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#62
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Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Imagine bragging at owning a 450k home.Just fukin LOL @ rentcel cope.

Can't wait to keep renting and buy your home for cash at 350k as the market continues to dive.
Imagine the stress looking at your zestimate showing below what you paid.

10-12-2022, 11:51 PM
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#63
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Originally Posted By kengriffeyjr24⏩
FYI In the long run it averages roughly a third each of rentcucks, mortgagecels and ownersnot the vast majority of people (otherwise they wouldnt be bragging about the rate they locked in).
why are prices dropping right now if rates are increasing?
why are prices dropping right now if rates are increasing?
So in fact none of these are the โvast majorityโ
10-13-2022, 12:20 AM
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#64
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Owning a home is one of the best investments you can make, unless your home got wrecked by the hurricane.
10-13-2022, 12:40 AM
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#65
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Originally Posted By pondus_levo⏩
brutal mogging.do you not realize mortgage cells have low APR and pay less than you do on rent?
Just lol if you missed the boat. Now you'll NEVER be able to own a house.
You are paying a mortgage. It's just not yours.
Just lol if you missed the boat. Now you'll NEVER be able to own a house.
You are paying a mortgage. It's just not yours.
10-13-2022, 04:30 AM
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#66
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Hmm Mortgage , i dimly remember having one..........................paid it off years go
hope the housing market tanks and i'll buy another property on the cheap
hope the housing market tanks and i'll buy another property on the cheap
10-13-2022, 05:22 AM
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#67
On the misc everyone bought in 2009 and then refinanced in 2020 with their perfect credit score and now pay pennies for a mortgage. Just like everyone has a 2000lb raw total and is 6'4. Same 10 people masturbating to each other in these threads. Rooting for a massive collapse just to shake up these threads a little, landlords gettings a little too cocky.
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10-13-2022, 05:26 AM
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#68
- DesiredUserphag
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Saving for a house on some land in Alaska SRS
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10-13-2022, 05:30 AM
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#69
- CCCultistKilla
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Home prices have to fall to equalize out the rise in rates. I've been looking at vacation places and a $600k place at 6.5% is around $900 more a month than a $600k place at 3.5%. That increase pushes many people out of the market and lowers the demand for properties. Prices will come down just due to supply and demand.
We've already seen prices begin to come down, just not enough. Be patient boyos.
We've already seen prices begin to come down, just not enough. Be patient boyos.
10-13-2022, 05:55 AM
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#70
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Originally Posted By mp83⏩
Yea Iโll buy a house eventually but it makes no sense right now. My rent is only $900 in a nice little town, no crime, have private parking and all that stuff. You couldnโt buy a house in the ghetto of the big city near me for 900 a month unless you put 100K down or something. Mortgages make people poor too, you donโt own your house unless you paid for it in cash, the bank doesLol if you are renting an apartment, you're not paying near what a mortgage is. Mortgage would be 2x at a minimum. I'd pay more in interest than my whole rent is
10-13-2022, 05:58 AM
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#71
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Originally Posted By kengriffeyjr24⏩
Everyone who bought a house in the last 3 years is underwater as soon as they sign the paperwork basically. Thereโs no equity in it when you pay 50K over asking lmao. ****ing idiots.what will all your people "locked in" at 2-3% rates do when you get laid off? you realize the fed is actively TRYING to increase unemployment?
or your company transfers you to another location, or you get divorced(50% of marriages), or you need to upgrade because your kids are getting bigger, or you get laid off and quickly find another job that pays less to hold over and the old mortgage payment is too much (this happened a lot in 2008 btw).
or your stocks/investments continue to get hammered and you get margin called (Jamie Dimon said this week he is predicting another 25% drop)
or you are one of the millions of aging boomers with declining 401ks who need to downsize
or you bought a "investment property" and are renting it out, only to no longer be able to find tenants because unemployment is up and there are less people willing to rent in your area. are you prepared to pay that mortgage payment as well? or do you NEED TO SELL.
prices WILL drop. they already are. hope you are ready to be underwater in a home.
or your company transfers you to another location, or you get divorced(50% of marriages), or you need to upgrade because your kids are getting bigger, or you get laid off and quickly find another job that pays less to hold over and the old mortgage payment is too much (this happened a lot in 2008 btw).
or your stocks/investments continue to get hammered and you get margin called (Jamie Dimon said this week he is predicting another 25% drop)
or you are one of the millions of aging boomers with declining 401ks who need to downsize
or you bought a "investment property" and are renting it out, only to no longer be able to find tenants because unemployment is up and there are less people willing to rent in your area. are you prepared to pay that mortgage payment as well? or do you NEED TO SELL.
prices WILL drop. they already are. hope you are ready to be underwater in a home.
10-13-2022, 06:01 AM
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#72
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Originally Posted By r32gojirra⏩
The vast majority of property/houses in the US are on a loan. Most people donโt have half a million in cash to just drop on a house when they feel like it.Says more about your poverty mindset that it never occurred to you that people own properties without having a loan against it
10-13-2022, 06:01 AM
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#73
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Originally Posted By naich⏩
This is basically the truth. There's zero people on this board who are actually landlords.On the misc everyone bought in 2009 and then refinanced in 2020 with their perfect credit score and now pay pennies for a mortgage. Just like everyone has a 2000lb raw total and is 6'4. Same 10 people masturbating to each other in these threads. Rooting for a massive collapse just to shake up these threads a little, landlords gettings a little too cocky.
There won't be a massive collapse, it simply can't happen. Prices will drop as they already have, but they went up so much over the past three years that even people who drop 20% are still positive profit over time. It will just even out to the typical 6-10% a year like it usually has been within another three years or so.
I chose to rent so I could get a bigger place for my kids and my business, yard for my dog and buying in my city is FAR more expensive than renting so it makes zero financial sense.
10-13-2022, 06:10 AM
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#74
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Friendly reminder: The holidays are coming up, please increase your tip to 60% to show your appreciation
10-13-2022, 06:26 AM
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#75
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Originally Posted By FastBack6⏩
Some people where I am paid 150k or more over asking just to get a house in 2020 and 2021. They are the same stupid people who took on a variable mortgage and are now screwed financially for years as a result. I know people who's payments went up by $1000 a month and it's ALL interest, no equity at all for likely a couple of years.Everyone who bought a house in the last 3 years is underwater as soon as they sign the paperwork basically. Thereโs no equity in it when you pay 50K over asking lmao. ****ing idiots.
10-13-2022, 06:31 AM
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#76
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Mortgage cells, please update us all on what year you actually own your home? 2050?
How much interest does the bank get from you over that time?
Anyways, better pay that mortgage this month otherwise Mr shekelstein at the bank will repossess all your assets.
How much interest does the bank get from you over that time?
Anyways, better pay that mortgage this month otherwise Mr shekelstein at the bank will repossess all your assets.
10-13-2022, 06:35 AM
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#77
- northernlights7
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I have 14 years left on a 2.75% fixed interest rate mortgage from a house I bought in the mid-2010's.
Every rentcel I know went from "waiting for prices to go down" from 2019 - 2021 to "still waiting for prices to go down more, but also waiting for intereste rates to go back down".
These retards keep yapping about "timing the market", and they haven't had a fkn thing to show for it in a decade lol.
Every rentcel I know went from "waiting for prices to go down" from 2019 - 2021 to "still waiting for prices to go down more, but also waiting for intereste rates to go back down".
These retards keep yapping about "timing the market", and they haven't had a fkn thing to show for it in a decade lol.
10-13-2022, 06:40 AM
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#78
10-13-2022, 06:54 AM
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#79
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More proof that rent cells are jelly of homeowners. Another one of these threads where the rent cucks only claim to superiority is โbeing able to move in a hurryโ or โinvest all their wealth in an unreliable stock market โ any excuse to make themselves feel good about throwing their monthly rent away to pay someone elseโs mortgage. Have fun fighting over a parking space in your $hitty cramped up apartment, condo, townhouse exc
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10-13-2022, 06:56 AM
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#80
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Originally Posted By kengriffeyjr24⏩
Damn bro! HUNDREDS of THOUSANDS??? Take it easy there killer.actually rent is dropping nationwide
when im done with this rental, I can walk away, and my landlord is left holding the bag (hope he didnt buy at the peak and/or can find tenants...)
when mortgagecells need to change homes due to life changes (or they need a larger place), they have to pay 40k in closing costs and fees and hope they arent buried by a crashing house market
meanwhile, instead of locking up a down payment in a currently depreciating asset, I can drop hundreds of thousands in bonds and earn risk free returns while I continue to save up enough so I dont need a mortgage period.
forbes.com/sites/brendarichardson/2022/09/26/rents-drop-for-the-first-time-in-nearly-two-years-as-the-housing-market-cools/?sh=17f9da85ed61
cnbc.com/2022/09/18/us-cities-where-rent-prices-decreased-the-most-in-august.html
when im done with this rental, I can walk away, and my landlord is left holding the bag (hope he didnt buy at the peak and/or can find tenants...)
when mortgagecells need to change homes due to life changes (or they need a larger place), they have to pay 40k in closing costs and fees and hope they arent buried by a crashing house market
meanwhile, instead of locking up a down payment in a currently depreciating asset, I can drop hundreds of thousands in bonds and earn risk free returns while I continue to save up enough so I dont need a mortgage period.
forbes.com/sites/brendarichardson/2022/09/26/rents-drop-for-the-first-time-in-nearly-two-years-as-the-housing-market-cools/?sh=17f9da85ed61
cnbc.com/2022/09/18/us-cities-where-rent-prices-decreased-the-most-in-august.html
10-13-2022, 06:58 AM
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#81
10-13-2022, 09:46 AM
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#82
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The level of personal investment that people have on either side is tribally concerning.
If one way or the other was immensely more lucrative the market itself would correct prices until they werent. Point is, theres probably a fairly even trade off with return and monetary sense in both directions.
Home owners get vested in the property but also incur expenses, interest, repairs, depreciation, realtor fees, taxes
These prices are somewhat built into the rental market as a whole, but typically a renter has value in terms of liquidity, and likely can afford to live in a smaller but nicer place.
You have have 3 bed home however the renter can afford a 1-2 bedroom apartment but likely much nicer in terms of updates and amenities than a similar monthly cost house.
I own a good chunk of my home and have a locked in low rate, dont care to get swayed too far into my own bias. Theres an argument for both.
If one way or the other was immensely more lucrative the market itself would correct prices until they werent. Point is, theres probably a fairly even trade off with return and monetary sense in both directions.
Home owners get vested in the property but also incur expenses, interest, repairs, depreciation, realtor fees, taxes
These prices are somewhat built into the rental market as a whole, but typically a renter has value in terms of liquidity, and likely can afford to live in a smaller but nicer place.
You have have 3 bed home however the renter can afford a 1-2 bedroom apartment but likely much nicer in terms of updates and amenities than a similar monthly cost house.
I own a good chunk of my home and have a locked in low rate, dont care to get swayed too far into my own bias. Theres an argument for both.
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10-13-2022, 09:52 AM
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#83
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Originally Posted By lockdev⏩
Redfin and Zillow both took baths flipping based on Zestimates last year. Wouldn't take that number very srsly, especially given how wild bond and interest rates are moving.Redfin and Zillow both say my house is up ~1% in the past 30 days. Am I doing it wrong OP?


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10-13-2022, 09:53 AM
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#84
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Originally Posted By kengriffeyjr24⏩
Don't care. My house, based on lowest current selling prices of the neighborhood and immediate surrounding area, could drop by 40% value tomorrow, and I'd still be in better shape than back when I was a rentcel.Current predictions:
Morgan Stanley: Home prices will fall 7%
Goldman Sachs: Home prices poised to fall 5% to 10%
Moodyโs Analytics: Home prices will fall 5% to 10% โ more if recession hits
Wells Fargo: Home prices will fall over 5%
โPoisonโ Ivy Zelman: Home prices will fall 4% in 2023 and another 5% in 2024
Capital Economics: Home prices will fall 8%
Morgan Stanley: Home prices will fall 7%
Goldman Sachs: Home prices poised to fall 5% to 10%
Moodyโs Analytics: Home prices will fall 5% to 10% โ more if recession hits
Wells Fargo: Home prices will fall over 5%
โPoisonโ Ivy Zelman: Home prices will fall 4% in 2023 and another 5% in 2024
Capital Economics: Home prices will fall 8%
10-13-2022, 09:56 AM
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#85
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Originally Posted By lockdev⏩
Lol, there's literally no part of the US where this is accurate. Even Miami is seeing prices drop now lol.Redfin and Zillow both say my house is up ~1% in the past 30 days. Am I doing it wrong OP?


10-13-2022, 10:05 AM
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#86
Originally Posted By WoofieNugget⏩
Fed hikes rates--->unemployement goes up--->jobs get lost--->Over priced mortgage from last 3 years due--->forclosures--->50% drop is possibleThis is basically the truth. There's zero people on this board who are actually landlords.
There won't be a massive collapse, it simply can't happen. Prices will drop as they already have, but they went up so much over the past three years that even people who drop 20% are still positive profit over time. It will just even out to the typical 6-10% a year like it usually has been within another three years or so.
I chose to rent so I could get a bigger place for my kids and my business, yard for my dog and buying in my city is FAR more expensive than renting so it makes zero financial sense.
There won't be a massive collapse, it simply can't happen. Prices will drop as they already have, but they went up so much over the past three years that even people who drop 20% are still positive profit over time. It will just even out to the typical 6-10% a year like it usually has been within another three years or so.
I chose to rent so I could get a bigger place for my kids and my business, yard for my dog and buying in my city is FAR more expensive than renting so it makes zero financial sense.
Sure ARM's arent as popular as 2008, but LMAO if you think we corrected any of the underlying finacial issues that caused 2008 in the first place. Round 2 right around the corner.
And plenty of people on this board are landlords, I know many IRL too. What the people on this board dont tell you is that they had to front the mortage for 2 months last year because tenants ran away. Or they had to stop what they were doing at work multiple times to get a contractor over there to fix AC/paint/mold blah blah. Or that they spent a whole weekend cleaning up after their tenants that left a pig pen behind. Every single landlord I know IRL has constant complaints about renters and how its all roses on paper, but after several years they just want to sell and be done with it. Must take a certain personality or real love of wood and bricks to put up with it all. Passive income can be found through other methods.
Misc is full of E-stats, its just not possible that everyone is a 1%'er at everything they persue in life. Dont let the gloating in these threads blind you to the realities of landlording.
That being said...cant wait to buy a home and charge someone to live in it lol.
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10-13-2022, 10:06 AM
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#87
- GolfBrah68
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Alot has to be location dependent. Bought my house 2 years ago for 387k and it worth 475-500 right now. Idc if it drops 8% off that number. Mortgage rate is 3%, have a **** ton of equity and paying next to nothing on a monthly payment. To rent a house like mine would be 3k a month around my area and I pay less than half that in a mortgage payment. Always laugh when I see these threads pop up
10-13-2022, 10:10 AM
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#88
- kengriffeyjr24
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Originally Posted By GolfBrah68⏩
It's only worth what someone pays you.Alot has to be location dependent. Bought my house 2 years ago for 387k and it worth 475-500 right now. Idc if it drops 8% off that number. Mortgage rate is 3%, have a **** ton of equity and paying next to nothing on a monthly payment. To rent a house like mine would be 3k a month around my area and I pay less than half that in a mortgage payment. Always laugh when I see these threads pop up
You might have issues selling it boyo when rates hit 10% next year.
Better keep that job.
10-13-2022, 10:24 AM
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#89
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Originally Posted By pondus_levo⏩
1) Lol'ing at you paying a mortgage.My mortgage is $1650/month and I have a 4br/3bath in 1/2 acre.
.
.
2)Lol'ing at you paying $1650 a month for a McMansion on 1/2 an acre, and thinking that's GOAT.
3)You will 100% lose your shirt in the next bubble.
4)You thinking 1/2 an acre is GOAT. Lol..lol.
50 acres, owed outright krew.
Pole barn, bachelor pad barndo krew.
Property is surrounded by state forest on 3 sides krew.
All paid for.
You're WORSE than the rentcels, and you don't even know it.
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10-13-2022, 10:35 AM
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#90
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Originally Posted By northernlights7⏩
Interest rates will never come down again. Rentcels are screwed.Don't care. My house, based on lowest current selling prices of the neighborhood and immediate surrounding area, could drop by 40% value tomorrow, and I'd still be in better shape than back when I was a rentcel.
At least mortgagechads will be able to trade in tons of equity to buy a much cheaper house since the bigger the house the more money it will lose. Someone selling a 400k house to move into an 800k house will make out pretty good. If prices drop 10% yes he's losing 40k, but he's getting the 800k house for 80k less. And since the way mortgage rates work is exponential, that 800k house will likely fall a bigger percentage point than the 400k house will since the financing is so much higher.
But the financing won't be bad at all once you put down 360k in equity plus 100k or so cash. BRB trading a 400k house for an 800k house but only financing 200k. Or less! Even with higher rates you just cut your old house payment in half.
Meanwhile a rentcel better hope that vanguard fund they've been investing the difference in turns around quick!
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