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ยป Paying for sports bet picks from the pros
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post 1672688553 12-11-2022, 10:43 PM
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  1. miscbrah44
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Paying for sports bet picks from the pros

Never done this but I follow one guy on IG

He consistently goes 5-3 or 6-2 etc

Charges $40 per day

Has anyone tried this ?
Lifting since 06'
post 1672688683 12-11-2022, 10:47 PM
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They're all scams. Even the best of sharps only have a ~55% win rate.
post 1672688703 12-11-2022, 10:48 PM
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Originally Posted By stevemckenna
They're all scams. Even the best of sharps only have a ~55% win rate.
This. The edge you get, if any, isn't wide enough to cover their fee.
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post 1672688833 12-11-2022, 10:54 PM
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Originally Posted By stevemckenna
They're all scams. Even the best of sharps only have a ~55% win rate.
He shows all his picks tbe next day and all his comments are positive about his service
Lifting since 06'
post 1672689033 12-11-2022, 10:59 PM
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Originally Posted By miscbrah44
He shows all his picks tbe next day and all his comments are positive about his service
Put down the advertising and do some fawking math.


-How much would you personally be wagering on sports bets.
-How much would you win if you followed his picks.
-How much is this sharp's fee.

(Won-fee) / (wagered) is your return on capital.

Plug in the numbers. If the result comes out under 1.05, don't even bother with this guy, just buy some Treasurys.
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post 1672689083 12-11-2022, 11:02 PM
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Originally Posted By miscbrah44
He shows all his picks tbe next day and all his comments are positive about his service
He only shows you his wins and hides his losses. If he's really a consistent winner, sportsbooks will not take his bets. The fact that sportsbooks do take his bets tells you he's a square.
post 1672689153 12-11-2022, 11:05 PM
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Originally Posted By stevemckenna
He only shows you his wins and hides his losses. If he's really a consistent winner, sportsbooks will not take his bets. The fact that sportsbooks do take his bets tells you he's a square.
He does show the losses as well
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post 1672689373 12-11-2022, 11:11 PM
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#8
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Originally Posted By stevemckenna
They're all scams. Even the best of sharps only have a ~55% win rate.
Originally Posted By FA*******
This. The edge you get, if any, isn't wide enough to cover their fee.
just because you buy the picks doesn't insure you make profit. unless you follow their unit bets exactly which some cappers don't give out you might not profit. a good capper probably has a 10-15% win rate. You are better off studying lines and doing your own research than buying picks. it's actually more profitable to sell picks. and another thing that should be noted is even good cappers with a 10-15% win rate still go on losing streaks. you could join today and they'll go on a 5 slate losing streaks and then go on a 10 slate winning streak. it happens. most people who buy picks never understand this. that being said whether it is a scam or not depends on who you decide to buy picks from and how you self decide to bet with said picks. Are alot of cappers scammers? yes. Are all cappers scammers? no. Is it worth it? that's up to you. I have been betting on sports for a few years and never considered buying picks. I rather sell picks but that's just me
post 1672689633 12-11-2022, 11:19 PM
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Originally Posted By miscbrah44
He does show the losses as well
Obviously he will show some of his losses but definitely not all. Here's a good way to tell if he's a scammer: is he advertising parlays? Every sharp knows parlays are a sucker's bet. If he promises big returns on parlays, it's a scam.
post 1672690903 12-12-2022, 12:05 AM
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  1. crupiea
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My brother used to be the guy who sold his super sports picks.

he had no secret formula, just sold picks to degenerate gamblers. he knew as much as the next guy did about betting and never made money at it other than selling picks.

They say if you pick just over 50% you are considered a good professional level gambler. the absolute best ones pick win like 54% or something like that. Thats guys who are known in sports books and stuff, not instagram tik tok idiots but actual guys with spreadsheets and special software who study every aspect of the games.

very very few guys are even at that level. Anyone who claims to be better than that is just full of ****.

if you want to place bets with a decent return, not great but like 4 to 1 consistently. Learn how to read a racing form and bet the horses. Great thing about horses is a unheard of track race mid week will pay the same as the kentucky derby plus there are fewer horses to pick from. My brother was really good at picking horses and taught me how to read the racing form and make informed guesses.

Now picking a winner is hard. For me, I like the show bet. Doesnt pay as good but horse only has to come in 1,2, or 3 to get paid. I got for the horses that are decent but around 15 to 1 favorites. Most likely wont win but I only need 3rd place and it will pay out about 4 to 1. Lots of races only have like 6 horses so its a pretty simple thing.
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post 1672692303 12-12-2022, 12:47 AM
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Originally Posted By crupiea
My brother used to be the guy who sold his super sports picks.

he had no secret formula, just sold picks to degenerate gamblers. he knew as much as the next guy did about betting and never made money at it other than selling picks.

They say if you pick just over 50% you are considered a good professional level gambler. the absolute best ones pick win like 54% or something like that. Thats guys who are known in sports books and stuff, not instagram tik tok idiots but actual guys with spreadsheets and special software who study every aspect of the games.

very very few guys are even at that level. Anyone who claims to be better than that is just full of ****.

if you want to place bets with a decent return, not great but like 4 to 1 consistently. Learn how to read a racing form and bet the horses. Great thing about horses is a unheard of track race mid week will pay the same as the kentucky derby plus there are fewer horses to pick from. My brother was really good at picking horses and taught me how to read the racing form and make informed guesses.

Now picking a winner is hard. For me, I like the show bet. Doesnt pay as good but horse only has to come in 1,2, or 3 to get paid. I got for the horses that are decent but around 15 to 1 favorites. Most likely wont win but I only need 3rd place and it will pay out about 4 to 1. Lots of races only have like 6 horses so its a pretty simple thing.
i know a guy who cleared 300k+ this past year just off selling mma picks but he's one of the best respected in the industry
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