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Forum » **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
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Thread: **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION

post 1694343803 12-04-2023, 08:45 AM
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#4471
  1. dopamine72
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  1. dopamine72
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Which high interest savings account you guys using?

Is it FDIC?
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1694347853 12-04-2023, 10:18 AM
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#4472
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Which high interest savings account you guys using?

Is it FDIC?
Ally 4.25% and robinhood 5% both are FDIC
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694349293 12-04-2023, 10:48 AM
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#4473
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
Ally 4.25% and robinhood 5% both are FDIC
Sofi 4.6%
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1694355303 12-04-2023, 12:37 PM
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#4474
  1. dopamine72
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Will AMZN ever break 150? Its been a complete turd
Originally Posted By SipNPiz⏩
Ally 4.25% and robinhood 5% both are FDIC
Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
Sofi 4.6%
Repped so fkin hard m8's
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
post 1694375703 12-04-2023, 07:52 PM
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#4475
  1. 2020Wellness
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Will AMZN ever break 150? Its been a complete turd



Repped so fkin hard m8's
Wealthfront is higher, above 5%. Also, VMFXX has been pushing 5.3 for months now.
trainingwithryan.substack.com
post 1694375743 12-04-2023, 07:52 PM
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#4476
  1. _zman
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Originally Posted By dopamine72⏩
Which high interest savings account you guys using?

Is it FDIC?
Capital One 4.3% and there's a sign on bonus.https://milestomemories.com/capital-...vings-account/

I've been real happy with the Venture X too, and that has a bonus as well, along with a ton of other perks. So I decided to try their savings account. I got both bonuses. Their customer service is top notch.

Wealthfront is doing 5%, but I don't think the .07% is worth the switch. LOL at wizard above^
★★★ A State of Trance Crew ★★★
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post 1694378333 12-04-2023, 08:47 PM
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#4477
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
Do you use robinhood for trading?

I've been trying Etrade and I dislike how many steps there are to make a trade. With ameritrade it was so simple, probably like 3 clicks to place a trade. Everywhere else it's like 6 clicks.
It’s super easy to use they got in trouble I think for how easy it is to trade making it like a mobile game lol. Charts aren’t that good just on the simple side
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694378683 12-04-2023, 08:56 PM
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#4478
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By 2020Wellness⏩
Wealthfront is higher, above 5%. Also, VMFXX has been pushing 5.3 for months now.
^that. Basically the same as TLT
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1694379533 12-04-2023, 09:22 PM
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#4479
  1. SaviorSelfJT
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
Also holy moly.. margin rates at Moomoo are 6.8%!! IBKR supposedly 7.8%!

With Schwab they are 12-13.5%!

TDA it was 13-15%!

I might switch to IBKR if they're simple to use.
Aweir me on margin rates. Is 6.8 good?
Best lifts:
Bench press: 315x5
Squat: 465x1
Strict press: 205x5
Deadlift: 405x13 (conv tap'n'go with straps)
post 1694450813 12-06-2023, 09:30 AM
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#4480
  1. SipNPiz
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Affirm way overbought, time to short?
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694452183 12-06-2023, 10:02 AM
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#4481
  1. Carbonfibre
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^^^^^^^^^^^

There is one more pump left in this market imo. The so called santa rally.

I am still long ES.

Possibly to ath on SP before Dec 29th.

Than it will be get phucked moment come Jan 20ish and onward.

This market is now running on rate cuts as soon January FOMC. Hopium is running hard.

When you got posters coming in here talking about UPST / AFRM / HOOD shiit that doesn't make money you know....top is near.

Also oil is phucked clearly demand problem.

Opec+ desperate production cuts hoping to get it back to $80 is not something that is sustainable.
post 1694453993 12-06-2023, 10:39 AM
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#4482
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
^^^^^^^^^^^

There is one more pump left in this market imo. The so called santa rally.

I am still long ES.

Possibly to ath on SP before Dec 29th.

Than it will be get phucked moment come Jan 20ish and onward.

This market is now running on rate cuts as soon January FOMC. Hopium is running hard.

When you got posters coming in here talking about UPST / AFRM / HOOD shiit that doesn't make money you know....top is near.

Also oil is phucked clearly demand problem.

Opec+ desperate production cuts hoping to get it back to $80 is not something that is sustainable.
Weird market. Treasury yields plummeted the last couple weeks too. I realize hikes out the window, but market seems to have priced in cuts coming next meeting or something. I covered my shares and bought some $93p to see if I can catch the bounce tryna call the trough today.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1694456203 12-06-2023, 11:27 AM
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#4483
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
^^^^^^^^^^^

There is one more pump left in this market imo. The so called santa rally.

I am still long ES.

Possibly to ath on SP before Dec 29th.

Than it will be get phucked moment come Jan 20ish and onward.

This market is now running on rate cuts as soon January FOMC. Hopium is running hard.

When you got posters coming in here talking about UPST / AFRM / HOOD shiit that doesn't make money you know....top is near.

Also oil is phucked clearly demand problem.

Opec+ desperate production cuts hoping to get it back to $80 is not something that is sustainable.
This, China is collapsing meaning huge demand drop in crude, since aramco production cuts didnt work they might resume pumping 2.4m more a day which will further drop prices, then I’m loading up on COP again
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694456953 12-06-2023, 11:38 AM
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#4484
  1. Carbonfibre
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Originally Posted By RobParks2M⏩
Weird market. Treasury yields plummeted the last couple weeks too. I realize hikes out the window, but market seems to have priced in cuts coming next meeting or something. I covered my shares and bought some $93p to see if I can catch the bounce tryna call the trough today.
Dramatic bond dip buying you're seeing in TLT is due to front running in hopes that Fed rate cuts are just around the corner.

There is already 125-150 bps of fed cuts being front run by end of 2024. Bringing the Fed fund rate to 3.75%....

Rate cuts are coming but that kind of steepness will just cause reversal on inflation.

Next week inflation report will likely be negative mom and that will cause market pumping.

10 year yield should drop under 4% on that.......However around January this will turn into trap imo.

Crypto / housing / shiit stocks / credit easing etc are all things that are already smelling that rate cut and hence those moves.


This is my swing position thinking.

No touch short here till end of year.

Sometime around mid January before FOMC shiit should get difficult again and market might have 10-15% slam down down to 4100-4200 by February.
post 1694458063 12-06-2023, 11:59 AM
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#4485
  1. Destor
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Oil demand has never been higher despite the economic challenges in China and elsewhere, supply is what’s keeping prices reasonable

The US has never produced more oil, Canada has never produced more oil, lots of geopolitical stuff has been done to get oil to market from places like Venezuela and Iran

OPEC probably can’t do the old flood-the-market strategy with Russia still trying to invade Ukraine along with impacts to other members, aside from also giving the US the opportunity to refill the SPR for cheap
post 1694459603 12-06-2023, 12:24 PM
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#4486
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre⏩
Dramatic bond dip buying you're seeing in TLT is due to front running in hopes that Fed rate cuts are just around the corner.

There is already 125-150 bps of fed cuts being front run by end of 2024. Bringing the Fed fund rate to 3.75%....

Rate cuts are coming but that kind of steepness will just cause reversal on inflation.

Next week inflation report will likely be negative mom and that will cause market pumping.

10 year yield should drop under 4% on that.......However around January this will turn into trap imo.

Crypto / housing / shiit stocks / credit easing etc are all things that are already smelling that rate cut and hence those moves.


This is my swing position thinking.

No touch short here till end of year.

Sometime around mid January before FOMC shiit should get difficult again and market might have 10-15% slam down down to 4100-4200 by February.
This feels right. But I think timeframe might be further out like Feb or early March.
Fitness connoisseur
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"the personification of greatness"
post 1694460993 12-06-2023, 12:47 PM
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#4487
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The market currently has 60% odds of a 25 bps or more rate cut in March lol

This has been priced in while the market has seen I think the strongest easing of real monetary conditions in history with the declining long end of the curve. The market only very reluctantly and briefly accepted rates staying higher for longer, and at the first opportunity quickly reverted back to optimism.

I think most reasonable people would expect Canada to cut rates first, and we paused a month earlier, so I guess that means we can expect the first cut within the next two months. Life is good boyos!
post 1694489603 12-06-2023, 10:18 PM
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#4488
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Is Palantir going back to 10 again? I was excited in the prospect of selling around 30.
post 1694508013 12-07-2023, 08:46 AM
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#4489
  1. Carbonfibre
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Pltr is fine as long it stays above $15.

Lot of things will move starting tmmrw till 22 December. (Tons of important data is coming over next week. )


If incoming data is good, expect wide market pumping.


I am in camp still that they want to pump this just bit more to end year on high note.

Nobody wants to be fired for being shiit fund manager, they want that bonus.
post 1694523553 12-07-2023, 02:03 PM
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#4490
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anyone who is pro at charting want to explain negative divergence or rsi divergence to me with an example? saw someone call that short dump around 11 today on SPY about 20 minutes in advance but i cant see it on the chart even following along with youtube videos related
"I'm not like most girls." -most girls
post 1694562643 12-08-2023, 09:52 AM
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#4491
  1. SipNPiz
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Not sure why more people haven’t bought into WBD, they’re IP is worth almost 2x their share price
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694613713 12-09-2023, 08:59 AM
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#4492
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Originally Posted By jafomofo⏩
anyone who is pro at charting want to explain negative divergence or rsi divergence to me with an example? saw someone call that short dump around 11 today on SPY about 20 minutes in advance but i cant see it on the chart even following along with youtube videos related
I chart but am no pro.

divergence is when price action moves in one direction while RSI moves in the opposite direction. PIA to post images here...come to discord and I can post examples. As far as I see, there's no clear divergence in your example so most likely that trader used other info as well.


that aside I would never use divergence to front run a trade. divergence happens all time, on all time frames and can continue longer than you expect it. remember with T&A, you need to look at several factors and indicators and most importantly, almost all indicators are lagging, meaning it's showing you what happened in the past.
post 1694804213 12-13-2023, 09:51 AM
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#4493
  1. 2020Wellness
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I won't be surprised if the S&P hits a new ATH this month. It's edging us right now.
trainingwithryan.substack.com
post 1694804413 12-13-2023, 09:58 AM
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#4494
  1. RobParks2M
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Originally Posted By 2020Wellness⏩
I won't be surprised if the S&P hits a new ATH this month. It's edging us right now.
Depends what comes from the fed. If they speak of cutting before H2 that probably happens.

I hope they do one more hike though just because I enjoy some chaos.
Fitness connoisseur
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"the personification of greatness"
post 1694805923 12-13-2023, 10:29 AM
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#4495
  1. SipNPiz
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I’d love to see one more rate hike too, let them Wall Street boys know who’s boss.

Also I bought the Pfizer dip
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1694809333 12-13-2023, 11:36 AM
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#4496
  1. Destor
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People said the long end of the curve coming up was doing part of the Fed’s job so more policy rate increases weren’t necessary

Powell might say the long end of the curve has already done some of the easing so impending rate cuts aren’t necessary


November 2023 has been the greatest loosening of financial conditions in the history of US financial conditions
post 1694813443 12-13-2023, 01:05 PM
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#4497
  1. Carbonfibre
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greatest 2 month rally in history.

with QT and 5+% fund rate running.



all assets bubble here.


lets phucking go give me ath and sp 5000
post 1694813613 12-13-2023, 01:09 PM
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#4498
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God this is such ****ing bull****
post 1694814543 12-13-2023, 01:26 PM
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#4499
  1. Carbonfibre
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Originally Posted By meep316⏩
God this is such ****ing bull****
Don't worry this is blow off top phase here.

Everyone is high five mode atm.

Job is done inflation is solved.


Financial conditions are coming down. QT ending etc.


This is where two weeks in January all this flips on its head.


This is where market is now.

post 1694816343 12-13-2023, 01:59 PM
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#4500
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace⏩
Sold my UPST calls feelsgoodman
some dude @ work was just talking about UPST, r u him? not srs

started doing a simulation on trade-station abt 5mins ago, a certain stock i thought was trending a little too high so i went short on it, made "$600." still a chit ton to learn doing all this.
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