02-29-2024, 08:41 PM
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#31
- 6gorillion
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- 6gorillion
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Except his odds get more and more juicier on the betting websites.No one reasonable believes Trump has a good chance of winning 2024. Well below 50%. Not impossible, but just getting more and more unlikely.
But nah, we'll listen to a fat, unemployed clown on welfare instead
02-29-2024, 08:51 PM
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#32
- InPhase
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Originally Posted By 6gorillion⏩
He's heavily autistic as well. His posting proves that diagnosis every time he posts. He's taken more than 15 years in university to try to get his PHD, and he still hasn't finished it yet. How dumb and useless do you have to be to spend more than 15 years at university.Except his odds get more and more juicier on the betting websites.
But nah, we'll listen to a fat, unemployed clown on welfare instead
But nah, we'll listen to a fat, unemployed clown on welfare instead
And he'll never be able to hold a job, so it's a waste of time anyway. He should be on disability.
02-29-2024, 09:15 PM
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#33
- LargePeter
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- LargePeter
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Based on what exactly, you fukin fraud?No one reasonable believes Trump has a good chance of winning 2024. Well below 50%. Not impossible, but just getting more and more unlikely.
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02-29-2024, 09:20 PM
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#34
- Bodhy
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Originally Posted By 6gorillion⏩
Except, troll account that farms for reps by pretending to hate people, the polls mean nothing at this stage in the game. You don't have to take my word for it because my argument was borne out with accuracy in 2020.Except his odds get more and more juicier on the betting websites.
But nah, we'll listen to a fat, unemployed clown on welfare instead
But nah, we'll listen to a fat, unemployed clown on welfare instead
Dipchits on here were guaranteeing Trump's election and I kept saying don't trust the polls without the proper analysis. The ones with proper analysis weren't painting that rosy picture, and people on here were left humiliated and couldn't even own it, they had to invent stupid conspiracy theories.
Plus, poll addicts cherry pick like a mofo. It happens here. They pick favourable polls and claim Trump wins. There are so many polls with differing accuracy and some are quite biased.
Cold calling people isn't the most reliable way to get answers to your questions. Have you ever worked in a call centre? The only people who will have a conversation longer than a few minutes are mentally disabled or elderly people.
Consider it, at most, like measuring your pulse. It tells you how people are feeling right now, and with a margin of error. But if you have a high heart rate now, does that mean you will have one in November? Can't even answer that.
And don't throw ad hominems around either, son. I make the equivalent of a full-time income without even having to work full time. I've got a stipend plus side work which nets what an average wage-cel can make in a week. Even above average wage-cel.
That's actually living the dream.
Back off, Warchild.
Seriously.
02-29-2024, 09:31 PM
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#35
- 6gorillion
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- 6gorillion
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
You are quite literally a retard, in the ACTUAL sense of the word. No one gives a **** what you have to say lol.Except, troll account that farms for reps by pretending to hate people, the polls mean nothing at this stage in the game. You don't have to take my word for it because my argument was borne out with accuracy in 2020.
Dipchits on here were guaranteeing Trump's election and I kept saying don't trust the polls without the proper analysis. The ones with proper analysis weren't painting that rosy picture, and people on here were left humiliated and couldn't even own it, they had to invent stupid conspiracy theories.
Plus, poll addicts cherry pick like a mofo. It happens here. They pick favourable polls and claim Trump wins. There are so many polls with differing accuracy and some are quite biased.
Cold calling people isn't the most reliable way to get answers to your questions. Have you ever worked in a call centre? The only people who will have a conversation longer than a few minutes are mentally disabled or elderly people.
Consider it, at most, like measuring your pulse. It tells you how people are feeling right now, and with a margin of error. But if you have a high heart rate now, does that mean you will have one in November? Can't even answer that.
And don't throw ad hominems around either, son. I make the equivalent of a full-time income without even having to work full time. I've got a stipend plus side work which nets what an average wage-cel can make in a week. Even above average wage-cel.
That's actually living the dream.
Dipchits on here were guaranteeing Trump's election and I kept saying don't trust the polls without the proper analysis. The ones with proper analysis weren't painting that rosy picture, and people on here were left humiliated and couldn't even own it, they had to invent stupid conspiracy theories.
Plus, poll addicts cherry pick like a mofo. It happens here. They pick favourable polls and claim Trump wins. There are so many polls with differing accuracy and some are quite biased.
Cold calling people isn't the most reliable way to get answers to your questions. Have you ever worked in a call centre? The only people who will have a conversation longer than a few minutes are mentally disabled or elderly people.
Consider it, at most, like measuring your pulse. It tells you how people are feeling right now, and with a margin of error. But if you have a high heart rate now, does that mean you will have one in November? Can't even answer that.
And don't throw ad hominems around either, son. I make the equivalent of a full-time income without even having to work full time. I've got a stipend plus side work which nets what an average wage-cel can make in a week. Even above average wage-cel.
That's actually living the dream.
Type out whatever pseudo-intellectual drivel and cope you want.
The fact that you can even still come and post nonsense dogchit post after dogchit post like anyone gives a fuk, when in reality everyone is laughing at you is even more comical.
PLEASE continue so we can continue pissing ourselves. There have been some straight up dumbasses on this forum but you definitely have them ALL beat out.
You literally have an almost 100 page thread dedicated to your mental retardation.
02-29-2024, 09:34 PM
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#36
- Paul Kreul
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- Paul Kreul
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Again..No one reasonable believes Trump has a good chance of winning 2024. Well below 50%. Not impossible, but just getting more and more unlikely.
Originally Posted By Paul
And who exactly do you think is reasonable that thinks Biden should win?
Do tell
Do tell
Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Because again..you follow the wrong polls, and do not understand how polling works.Except, troll account that farms for reps by pretending to hate people, the polls mean nothing at this stage in the game. You don't have to take my word for it because my argument was borne out with accuracy in 2020.
Dipchits on here were guaranteeing Trump's election and I kept saying don't trust the polls without the proper analysis. The ones with proper analysis weren't painting that rosy picture, and people on here were left humiliated and couldn't even own it, they had to invent stupid conspiracy theories.
Plus, poll addicts cherry pick like a mofo. It happens here. They pick favourable polls and claim Trump wins. There are so many polls with differing accuracy and some are quite biased.
Cold calling people isn't the most reliable way to get answers to your questions. Have you ever worked in a call centre? The only people who will have a conversation longer than a few minutes are mentally disabled or elderly people.
Consider it, at most, like measuring your pulse. It tells you how people are feeling right now, and with a margin of error. But if you have a high heart rate now, does that mean you will have one in November? Can't even answer that.
And don't throw ad hominems around either, son. I make the equivalent of a full-time income without even having to work full time. I've got a stipend plus side work which nets what an average wage-cel can make in a week. Even above average wage-cel.
Dipchits on here were guaranteeing Trump's election and I kept saying don't trust the polls without the proper analysis. The ones with proper analysis weren't painting that rosy picture, and people on here were left humiliated and couldn't even own it, they had to invent stupid conspiracy theories.
Plus, poll addicts cherry pick like a mofo. It happens here. They pick favourable polls and claim Trump wins. There are so many polls with differing accuracy and some are quite biased.
Cold calling people isn't the most reliable way to get answers to your questions. Have you ever worked in a call centre? The only people who will have a conversation longer than a few minutes are mentally disabled or elderly people.
Consider it, at most, like measuring your pulse. It tells you how people are feeling right now, and with a margin of error. But if you have a high heart rate now, does that mean you will have one in November? Can't even answer that.
And don't throw ad hominems around either, son. I make the equivalent of a full-time income without even having to work full time. I've got a stipend plus side work which nets what an average wage-cel can make in a week. Even above average wage-cel.
So i'll ask again..
What polls are you following? What polls do you consider unreliable?
Do tell...
Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
That's actually living the dream.

02-29-2024, 09:35 PM
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#37
- Bodhy
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- Bodhy
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Originally Posted By 6gorillion⏩
A response which literally reads like a teenage incel wrote it. What a waste of my time.You are quite literally a retard, in the ACTUAL sense of the word. No one gives a **** what you have to say lol.
Type out whatever pseudo-intellectual drivel and cope you want.
The fact that you can even still come and post nonsense dogchit post after dogchit post like anyone gives a fuk, when in reality everyone is laughing at you is even more comical.
PLEASE continue so we can continue pissing ourselves. There have been some straight up dumbasses on this forum but you definitely have them ALL beat out.
You literally have an almost 100 page thread dedicated to your mental retardation.
Type out whatever pseudo-intellectual drivel and cope you want.
The fact that you can even still come and post nonsense dogchit post after dogchit post like anyone gives a fuk, when in reality everyone is laughing at you is even more comical.
PLEASE continue so we can continue pissing ourselves. There have been some straight up dumbasses on this forum but you definitely have them ALL beat out.
You literally have an almost 100 page thread dedicated to your mental retardation.
Back off, Warchild.
Seriously.
02-29-2024, 09:36 PM
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#38
- 6gorillion
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- 6gorillion
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Right, you could use that time applying for extra food stamps.A response which literally reads like a teenage incel wrote it. What a waste of my time.
02-29-2024, 09:55 PM
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#39
- ClivesTriceps
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- ClivesTriceps
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Balding fat retard that can't hold a jobA response which literally reads like a teenage incel wrote it. What a waste of my time.
Wort ew in th wold.
02-29-2024, 10:00 PM
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#40
02-29-2024, 10:19 PM
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#41
- mr.left hook
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- mr.left hook
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Originally Posted By NitrogenWidget⏩
Nobody's Private with a Mouth like that ... Loose Lips sink Shipstrump is private citizen.
why would the president reach out to him?
makes zero sense.
why would the president reach out to him?
makes zero sense.
MR.PHF '09
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'Cause I went from negative to positive
And it's allGood..."
"friends come and go but enemies accumulate"
< H.T.C Till I D.I.E >
"Zero tolerance Crew" ZERO, NADA !!!!
02-29-2024, 11:15 PM
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#42
- gwg77
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02-29-2024, 11:36 PM
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#43
- yabbayabba
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Originally Posted By gwg77⏩
It's comical at this point that pretty much every liberal excuse is "something, something Trump". You'd think he was the Baba Yaga or something. Here in California there is a Democrat running for state senate I think, but literally his entire campaign ad against his opponent is that he supports Trump. Not anything the guy himself has voted for or any scandals or any of the usual mud slinging in a campaign ad. The entire ad is just pure TDS.
03-01-2024, 03:23 PM
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#44
03-01-2024, 03:28 PM
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#45
- freeheeler
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Originally Posted By gwg77⏩
Did Joe know which border he was at?Scubastevo :-What percentage of women have STDs? (serious) If I just wanted to go bareback with any girl that I could get with, what are my chances of ending up bed ridden with STDs?
03-01-2024, 03:31 PM
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#46
- freeheeler
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Originally Posted By gwg77⏩
After his earlier post we can add kiddie fiddler to the list as wellIt's just comical that an Australian shіt smearing tranny fuсker thinks he has any idea what reasonable people believe in America.
Scubastevo :-What percentage of women have STDs? (serious) If I just wanted to go bareback with any girl that I could get with, what are my chances of ending up bed ridden with STDs?
03-01-2024, 03:52 PM
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#47
- KevinHarvick
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Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
Without another plandemic, and massive fraud, it'll be a landslide.No one reasonable believes Trump has a good chance of winning 2024. Well below 50%. Not impossible, but just getting more and more unlikely.
Ron Paul 2020
03-01-2024, 04:20 PM
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#48
03-01-2024, 07:52 PM
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#49
Originally Posted By Bodhy⏩
I think it is fair to say the polls at this time aren't too important, however if you look at Trumps polling aggregate polling data all the way back to 2015 or whenever they started he never maintained a lead and hardly ever came close to tying his opponents, so the current data which is showing him holding a good lead for a significant amount of time. These polls which have all underestimated his performance, even in 2020 when he lost. This is a significant development. If the election was today Trump easily wins and probably wins the popular vote. I say he's have a 50/50 shot of winning even if he was trialiing in the polls by 7 points because that's where he was at in 2020 against biden. So if polls have him barely loosing while trailing 7 points nationally in 2020, a two point lead in 2024 is huge.Polls are useless for anyreal analysis at this point in time. The reason why the media talks about them is to generate clickbait and get people squealing and arguing.
In reality, though, you can't infer a thing from them until you are closer to the date and you've performed the proper form of statistical analysis on them, usually requiring someone with the actual know-how to do this like Nate Silver.
The absolutely silliest thing one can do is look at Trump 23% ahead in a poll, and say hence, Trump has a 23% greater chance of winning.
In reality, though, you can't infer a thing from them until you are closer to the date and you've performed the proper form of statistical analysis on them, usually requiring someone with the actual know-how to do this like Nate Silver.
The absolutely silliest thing one can do is look at Trump 23% ahead in a poll, and say hence, Trump has a 23% greater chance of winning.
further in april of 2020 biden had a 6 point lead, on election day it was 7 point, so the polls didn't change much in that time and the final results were off by about 3 points in Trumps favor. So even the polls are wrong by 3% against Trump this time he would still easily win with 49% of the vote
so it is significant but it could change, and we will definitely know with a lot more certainty what will happen in fall with the fall polls and I'd be the first to say, like when in 2020 I told everyone trump was going to lose, even if the polls were wrong and got negged to oblivion. In fact I'll bump that thread
but anyways everything looks great for trump right now and he's in the absolute best position he's ever been to win, maybe only comparable to his 2015 primary win
https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...trump-vs-biden
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