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Forum Β» Harris LEADS Trump in multiple new BATTLEGROUND state polls
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Thread: Harris LEADS Trump in multiple new BATTLEGROUND state polls

post 1704836861 08-10-2024, 01:34 PM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
ITT we use cope polls because we dont know how aggregates work

If it keeps opie from climbing a roof then kudos
Lol at not understanding how trends work
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post 1704837501 08-10-2024, 01:58 PM
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Originally Posted By MinisterOfLust⏩
Oh dude, stop crying. This is sad and pathetic. Trump doesn't even know you exist.
Speaking of "sad and pathetic":

"At the core of liberalism is the spoiled child - miserable, as all spoiled children are, unsatisfied,
demanding, ill-disciplined, despotic and useless. Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats."

- PJ O'Rourke
post 1704838051 08-10-2024, 02:18 PM
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Originally Posted By fitnessislife⏩
Speaking of "sad and pathetic":

You can’t be that dumb.

Trump is a former president and the GOP nominee.

Moreover, a conman from NY, a convicted felon, a sexual abuser.

I have every rights to remind you cultists what he is all about
post 1704838591 08-10-2024, 02:31 PM
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Originally Posted By MinisterOfLust⏩
You can’t be that dumb.

Trump is a former president and the GOP nominee.

Moreover, a conman from NY, a convicted felon, a sexual abuser.

I have every rights to remind you cultists what he is all about
That's a lot of Camel Toe-esque word salad to say that Trump occupies your mind 24/7.

Feel free to keep obsessing over a former and future president. We have every right to make fun of you and laugh you out of every thread in response.
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demanding, ill-disciplined, despotic and useless. Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats."

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post 1704839401 08-10-2024, 02:55 PM
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Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
Lol at not understanding how trends work
How trends work:

A large increase for a dem is a trend
A large increase for Trump is an outlier
LeftistGent is a retard
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post 1704839581 08-10-2024, 02:59 PM
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ItS a TrEnD

β€œIt’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1704839911 08-10-2024, 03:08 PM
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One thing i'm noticing is sometimes these polls leave out RFK. When RFK isn't a factor trump keeps his steady lead, but when you factor in all the 3rd party candidates (RFK/Stein/West) he slips quite a bit.

So its really looking like RFK is holding trump back. I think trump would do much better if rfk just drop out.
post 1704840861 08-10-2024, 03:28 PM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
ItS a TrEnD
You can get Trump at + money now. If you truly believe he's going to win and there are no signs Kamala is on the up you can make good $$$.

I obviously don't but maybe I'm wrong.
post 1704841571 08-10-2024, 03:45 PM
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Originally Posted By Maestro⏩
One thing i'm noticing is sometimes these polls leave out RFK. When RFK isn't a factor trump keeps his steady lead, but when you factor in all the 3rd party candidates (RFK/Stein/West) he slips quite a bit.

So its really looking like RFK is holding trump back. I think trump would do much better if rfk just drop out.
Yeah almost no one on the democrat side is voting RFK Jr. It's only disenfranchised republicans voting for him. He actually might cause Trump the election, ironically.
Originally Posted By Gainzzz⏩
You can get Trump at + money now. If you truly believe he's going to win and there are no signs Kamala is on the up you can make good $$$.

I obviously don't but maybe I'm wrong.
He won't do it, just copes that it's all rigged (but somehow wasn't rigged in 2016?) and not worth it to bet on candidates.
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post 1704841621 08-10-2024, 03:46 PM
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Originally Posted By Maestro⏩
One thing i'm noticing is sometimes these polls leave out RFK. When RFK isn't a factor trump keeps his steady lead, but when you factor in all the 3rd party candidates (RFK/Stein/West) he slips quite a bit.

So its really looking like RFK is holding trump back. I think trump would do much better if rfk just drop out.
Yeh noticed this too. RFK quite simply is hurting Trump a lot
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post 1704841751 08-10-2024, 03:49 PM
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@SienaResearch
MISSED in every swing state in their 2020 Final Poll by 5 or more points in FAVOR of Biden/Harris.

Their misses were outside their own (and any reputable pollsters) MoEs. In many states, they MISSED BY DOUBLE DIGITS!

Wisconsin:
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½+11
β€’ Actual: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½+.07
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 10.93 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Michigan:
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +8
β€’ Actual: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +2.8
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 5.2 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Pennsylvania
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +6
β€’ Actual: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +1.2
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 4.8 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Ohio
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +1
β€’ Actual: Trump οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +8.2
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 7.2 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Florida
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +3
β€’ Actual: Trump οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +3.3
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 6.3 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

North Carolina
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +3
β€’ Actual: Trump οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +1.3
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 4.3 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Iowa
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +3
β€’ Actual: Trump οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½+8.2
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 11.2 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

Arizona
β€’ Poll: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +6
β€’ Actual: Biden οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ +.03
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Miss: 5.7 points in favor of οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½

STOP FALLING FOR THE SAME
PYSOP USED IN 2020.

Conservatives spent a week saying, β€œTrump is still up in the betting markets,” then in a matter of days, massive shifts to Harris.

Now conservatives have been saying, β€œTrump is up in the RCP Swing States,” and magically, we get these absurd results dumped on a Saturday coupled with Bloomberg a week ago meant to put an end to that.

Notice how the media also ignores
@trafalgar_group
’s swing states polls from yesterday, even though Trafalgar was among the most accurate pollsters in 2020.

Arizona - οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ Trump +1
Nevada - οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ Trump +3
North Carolina - οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ Trump +4
Pennsylvania - οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ Trump +2
Wisconsin - οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½ Trump +1

(
@trafalgar_group
: Conducted: 8/6-8/8)

These media-funded polls are not meant for accuracy. They are meant to drive news cycles, pervert public perception, and depress conservatives.

Put frankly, they are media driven voter suppression and propaganda operations.


Here is a leftist poll aggregate source that is not cooking the numbers THE WASHINGTON POST

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elect...cker_p009_f006







OP BTFO
post 1704842011 08-10-2024, 03:54 PM
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Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
The only problem for Trump is that he isn't debating an old Biden this time. She's going to crush him and make him look like a man child, similar to what Biden did to Trump in 2020.
Harris can't even handle a Press Conference, but she'll "crush" a two hour debate? What you guys come up with is pure comedy gold
post 1704842191 08-10-2024, 03:57 PM
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Originally Posted By nutsy54⏩
Harris can't even handle a Press Conference, but she'll "crush" a two hour debate? What you guys come up with is pure comedy gold
She can do a press conference just fine. It's unnecessary right now though, they're being strategic about it. Just let Trump look like a deranged buffoon and they'll sweep like 2020.
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post 1704842381 08-10-2024, 04:01 PM
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Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
Let's look at the actual Battleground state results from that site:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...rump-vs-harris

Arizona: Trump +1.5
Georgia: Trump +0.6
Michigan: Harris +2.4Michigan: Harris +2.4
Nevada: Trump +3.5
N. Carolina: Trump +3.2
Pennsylvania: Trump +0.8
Wisconsin: Harris +0.8Wisconsin: Harris +0.8

So, you are technically correct.TWOstates with Harris ahead can be described as "multiple"
post 1704842401 08-10-2024, 04:02 PM
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Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
She can do a press conference just fine. It's unnecessary right now though, they're being strategic about it. Just let Trump look like a deranged buffoon and they'll sweep like 2020.
Sureeeeeee whatever you need to tell yourself that she's not a fuking retard.
post 1704842431 08-10-2024, 04:03 PM
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Originally Posted By MinisterOfLust⏩
Please confirm if that's Nutsy54 in that coffin?
Only if I die from laughter at yet another laughingstock failure from OP...
post 1704842751 08-10-2024, 04:08 PM
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Originally Posted By ItsJamesthefin⏩
Doubtful unless they use the Biden strategy of hiding her from asking her any meaningful questions.
That's been the Harris strategy for the past three weeks, since Biden ran off...
Btw are we gonna post every new pole that comes?
Only when OP can pretend that some polls make Harris look good

He's flip-flopped a stunning number of times when it comes to polls...
Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
7-18-2024
Lol cope.July polls are worthless. .... By the time October rolls around, July events will be long forgotten....
But somehow one week into August polls are magically the gold standard
Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
7-14-2024
It'll fizzle out though by October.Kind of surprised people don't realize this. It's why youdon't look at polls until around September/October.
Then you started looking at polls
Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
7-14-2024
Lol it's not over, not even close. We're4 months away from the election, that is more or less an eternitywhen it comes to an election. America has asupershort term memory - hence whyliterally none of this will matter come October.
Literally nothing in this thread matters, according to him
post 1704843021 08-10-2024, 04:16 PM
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Originally Posted By LeftistGent⏩
She can do a press conference just fine.
There's no evidence of that... Almost zero non-teleprompter minutes since Biden ran off three weeks ago
post 1704845131 08-10-2024, 05:01 PM
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Originally Posted By Gainzzz⏩
You can get Trump at + money now. If you truly believe he's going to win and there are no signs Kamala is on the up you can make good $$$.

I obviously don't but maybe I'm wrong.
If you're going to bet you can make a killing right now. The betting markets just go off current national polls
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post 1704846621 08-10-2024, 05:39 PM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
How trends work:

A large increase for a dem is a trend
A large increase for Trump is an outlier
LeftistGent is a retard
This bald Russian soyboy is raging hard.
post 1704870591 08-11-2024, 10:33 AM
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https://www.politico.com/news/2024/0...ssage-00173515

Cliffs: Kamala so desperate to hold onto nevada she's holding rallies there and copying trumps tax position

The takeaway here is that campaigns that believe they are surging dont steal policy positions from their opponent

She's fuked without the working class vote and thats who she is tanking with
β€œIt’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1704871311 08-11-2024, 10:58 AM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/0...ssage-00173515

Cliffs: Kamala so desperate to hold onto nevada she's holding rallies there and copying trumps tax position

The takeaway here is that campaigns that believe they are surging dont steal policy positions from their opponent

She's fuked without the working class vote and thats who she is tanking with
Trump is phucked with the blue collar, working class vote in the rust belt. His trickle down policies are extremely unpopular there. Hence him losing Wisconsin even on RCP average
post 1704871431 08-11-2024, 11:07 AM
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Originally Posted By ColdandChilly⏩
Trump is phucked with the blue collar, working class vote in the rust belt. His trickle down policies are extremely unpopular there. Hence him losing Wisconsin even on RCP average
Your cope polls achieve their results in part by under sampling blue collar
β€œIt’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1704871941 08-11-2024, 11:25 AM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
Your cope polls achieve their results in part by under sampling blue collar
Trickle down economics doesn't play with blue collar rust belt voters
post 1704873751 08-11-2024, 12:07 PM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/0...ssage-00173515

Cliffs: Kamala so desperate to hold onto nevada she's holding rallies there and copying trumps tax position

The takeaway here is that campaigns that believe they are surging dont steal policy positions from their opponent

She's fuked without the working class vote and thats who she is tanking with
She's doing so great there bro!...

Oh wait, what's this



They had to cover up the 1000s of empty seats LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL
Rse ad rie agn unt lbs becm lons

UF 20 - Preet

I yo se e n the garag acicin y nuchuks with y croc o jut kep ding.. ' i te zoe and dnt wat you geti egt.
post 1704875061 08-11-2024, 12:50 PM
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Originally Posted By ColdandChilly⏩
Trickle down economics doesn't play with blue collar rust belt voters
And yet your cope polls achieve their results in part by under sampling blue collar
Originally Posted By turk75⏩
She's doing so great there bro!...

Oh wait, what's this



They had to cover up the 1000s of empty seats LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL
It was the same at her rally in NV
β€œIt’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1704875951 08-11-2024, 01:17 PM
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The thing with Trump is he's doing absolutely nothing to bring people out to vote for him who would otherwise stay home, and he certainly isn't converting people over to his policies. If anything, every time he comes back into public he makes another gaffe or stupid statement that only serves up more softballs for the other side. Harris is building back the support that Biden lost by showing she's exactly what most Democrats want, which is a stable, experienced person rather than an old man who's senile.

There's zero people in the country who will be on the fence about who to vote for and look at Trump versus Harris and pick Trump (unless they are already Trumpers). If anything, it might just keep a few people home but that's about all GOP can hope for.

And I have no idea how anyone thinks Trump will beat Harris in a debate. You seriously have to be delusional about his speaking skills and his ability to actually argue with people beyond personal insults and saying false information over and over again. The problem with Biden was he didn't want to call him out directly, but I don't see Harris having that problem.
post 1704876021 08-11-2024, 01:19 PM
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David axelrod explains:

David Axelrod
@davidaxelrod
As for NYT polls in PA, MI and WI today, some of the internal numbers seem improbable--42% for Harris among non-college whites, for one eg. If you adjust for them, you're probably looking at basically tied races (maybe a tick better for Harris in WI), which is where most, private, high-quality polling has them
β€œIt’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1704878571 08-11-2024, 02:12 PM
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Originally Posted By nutsy54⏩
Only if I die from laughter at yet another laughingstock failure from OP...
How come you are always sucking Trump's dink?

Trumper is a loser.

Trump is going to lose bigly
post 1704885101 08-11-2024, 04:49 PM
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#60
  1. nutsy54
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  1. nutsy54
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Originally Posted By MinisterOfLust⏩
How come you are always sucking Trump's dink?
As usual, deflect. I called out YOUR lies. That has nothing to do with Trump or anyone else, they're YOUR deceptive claims.
"Harris leads Trump in multiple new BATTLEGROUND state polls"... As already shown:Two. Two out of Seven, while technically "multiple", it just makes YOU a laughingstock. Nothing to do with Trump.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...rump-vs-harris

Arizona: Trump +1.5
Georgia: Trump +0.6
Michigan: Harris +2.4Michigan: Harris +2.4
Nevada: Trump +3.5
N. Carolina: Trump +3.2
Pennsylvania: Trump +0.8
Wisconsin: Harris +0.8Wisconsin: Harris +0.8
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