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Math brahs: Probabilities question...how bad was my luck?
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07-30-2022, 12:00 AM
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#1
- Tiffinbrah
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- Tiffinbrah
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Math brahs: Probabilities question...how bad was my luck?
So there was a certain crypto (lol) giveaway in a small trading group I'm a part of.
Ten accounts were to be picked randomly out of 100 accounts.
Now 15 of those 100 accounts belonged to me (the guy doing the giveway allowed multiple accounts per person and i spent the whole night using VPNs to crate 15).
I was hyped.
But when the 10 names were drawn, none of my 15 accounts were chosen.
So can any IQbrah calculate what the odds of none of my 15 accounts showing up in the ten that were drawn were?
TenQ
Ten accounts were to be picked randomly out of 100 accounts.
Now 15 of those 100 accounts belonged to me (the guy doing the giveway allowed multiple accounts per person and i spent the whole night using VPNs to crate 15).
I was hyped.
But when the 10 names were drawn, none of my 15 accounts were chosen.
So can any IQbrah calculate what the odds of none of my 15 accounts showing up in the ten that were drawn were?
TenQ
07-30-2022, 12:16 AM
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#2
- Tiffinbrah
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- Tiffinbrah
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Y so dumb misc?
fast
fast
07-30-2022, 12:19 AM
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#3
07-30-2022, 12:21 AM
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#4
Originally Posted By Tiffinbrah⏩
Wait a minute there was 100 accounts in total? Yea it was definitely rigged you never had a chance.So there was a certain crypto (lol) giveaway in a small trading group I'm a part of.
Ten accounts were to be picked randomly out of 100 accounts.
Now 15 of those 100 accounts belonged to me (the guy doing the giveway allowed multiple accounts per person and i spent the whole night using VPNs to crate 15).
I was hyped.
But when the 10 names were drawn, none of my 15 accounts were chosen.
So can any IQbrah calculate what the odds of none of my 15 accounts showing up in the ten that were drawn were?
TenQ
Ten accounts were to be picked randomly out of 100 accounts.
Now 15 of those 100 accounts belonged to me (the guy doing the giveway allowed multiple accounts per person and i spent the whole night using VPNs to crate 15).
I was hyped.
But when the 10 names were drawn, none of my 15 accounts were chosen.
So can any IQbrah calculate what the odds of none of my 15 accounts showing up in the ten that were drawn were?
TenQ
07-30-2022, 12:22 AM
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#5
- Tiffinbrah
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- Tiffinbrah
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Originally Posted By LoveHBB⏩
Nah was limited to 100 accounts total. I saw my 15 in the list before they did a random picker thing online. There was definitely a chance that none of my 15 would show up in the 10 picked, but i wanna know excatly how low of a chance that was.It was rigged if not even one of your accounts were picked unless they all had the same idea as you but went all out like 100 accounts each then they beat you at your own game.
07-30-2022, 12:22 AM
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#6
https://www.statisticshowto.com/hype...tion-examples/
nearly 2 in 10
(85c10)(15c0)/(100c10)
In other words, it's the number of ways we can choose 10 accounts from 85 out of the number of ways we can choose 10 from 100.
nearly 2 in 10
(85c10)(15c0)/(100c10)
In other words, it's the number of ways we can choose 10 accounts from 85 out of the number of ways we can choose 10 from 100.
07-30-2022, 12:26 AM
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#7
- deltakappabrah
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- deltakappabrah
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something like 18%
lol at ur luck but also lol at believing it wasn't rigged
lol at ur luck but also lol at believing it wasn't rigged
*AP5 crew*
*ex-flipphone crew*
*we're all gonna make it brahs crew*
*neg all reddit posts on sight crew*
*super straight crew*
07-30-2022, 12:38 AM
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#8
- Tiffinbrah
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- Tiffinbrah
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Thanks for the replies misc. Looks roundabout 18%. I learned something new today: multiple probabilities of event not happening (out of ten turns) and voila 18%
Measlies for all.
But yeah, was probs rigged.
Measlies for all.
But yeah, was probs rigged.
07-30-2022, 01:06 AM
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#9
- Tiffinbrah
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- Tiffinbrah
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Originally Posted By Sophus2⏩
Gosh darn it. Bamboozled again!It's about 17ish %, factor in 99.99% probability it was rigged since it was part of a crypto pump and dump group and you had roughly a 0.0017% chance of winning. I'm sorry brah.
07-30-2022, 01:09 AM
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#10
07-30-2022, 01:18 AM
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#11
Lol @ thinking any giveaway in the world isn't rigged. That's how businesses build up the hype.
Do a giveaway for 5 macbook pro m2's for example.
To enter you must buy a t-shirt or whatever I'm peddling through my shopify drop shipping store that I set up in 2 minutes flat so it looks about as legit as a nigerian calling me about his land dispute money he wants to share with me.
See if I sell a million $ worth of merch or only $20k
If I sell only $20k worth, "give away" 5 macs to the winners, all of who happen to be my mates
Ez money.
Do a giveaway for 5 macbook pro m2's for example.
To enter you must buy a t-shirt or whatever I'm peddling through my shopify drop shipping store that I set up in 2 minutes flat so it looks about as legit as a nigerian calling me about his land dispute money he wants to share with me.
See if I sell a million $ worth of merch or only $20k
If I sell only $20k worth, "give away" 5 macs to the winners, all of who happen to be my mates
Ez money.
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