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Forum » Post-Christie NH Poll: Haley and Blumpfff are tied!
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Thread: Post-Christie NH Poll: Haley and Blumpfff are tied!

post 1696468493 01-16-2024, 09:08 AM
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Post-Christie NH Poll: Haley and Blumpfff are tied!

https://americanresearchgroup.com/

Trump 40
Haley 40
Ron 4
Vivek 4
Asa 1

Don't get all high and mighty about Iowa. NH has an open primary, where independents and Democrats can vote (so it's a better test for the general election); and it's a state that historically dislikes MAGA
post 1696468743 01-16-2024, 09:12 AM
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Originally Posted By QuentinSutpen⏩
https://americanresearchgroup.com/

Trump 40
Haley 40
Ron 4
Vivek 4
Asa 1

Don't get all high and mighty about Iowa. NH has an open primary, where independents and Democrats can vote (so it's a better test for the general election); and it's a state that historically dislikes MAGA
Sooo, don't get all high and mighty because a bunch of Dems are going to vote for Haley in one state?
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post 1696469033 01-16-2024, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted By Cchrisrun⏩
Sooo, don't get all high and mightybecause a bunch of Demsare going to vote for Haley in one state?
It's Dems, Independents, and college-educated Northeastern McCain-maverick Live-free-or-die GOP voters. It's a state Trump can lose, regardless of how many farmers and evangelicals voted for him in IA
post 1696469113 01-16-2024, 09:17 AM
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Originally Posted By QuentinSutpen⏩
https://americanresearchgroup.com/

Trump 40
Haley 40
Ron 4
Vivek 4
Asa 1

Don't get all high and mighty about Iowa. NH has an open primary, where independents and Democrats can vote (so it's a better test for the general election); and it's a state that historically dislikes MAGA
So Trump should be worried because Democrat pond scum are going to vote for a Neocon?
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post 1696469233 01-16-2024, 09:19 AM
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Originally Posted By QuentinSutpen⏩
It's Dems, Independents, and college-educated Northeastern McCain-maverick Live-free-or-die GOP voters. It's a state Trump can lose, regardless of how many farmers and evangelicals voted for him in IA
He can, and might lose in NH. That doesn't change the fact that most states are not open primary. The only way Haley has a chance is with the help of dems...
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post 1696469293 01-16-2024, 09:19 AM
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Originally Posted By QuentinSutpen⏩
https://americanresearchgroup.com/

Trump 40
Haley 40
Ron 4
Vivek 4
Asa 1

Don't get all high and mighty about Iowa. NH has an open primary, where independents and Democrats can vote (so it's a better test for the general election); and it's a state that historically dislikes MAGA
How is this a better test for the general when at the general those Democrat voters are gonna back Biden anyway? If anything that chit distorts everything.
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post 1696469413 01-16-2024, 09:21 AM
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Originally Posted By Cchrisrun⏩
He can, and might lose in NH. That doesn't change the fact that most states are not open primary. The only way Haley has a chance is with the help of dems...
I hope Trump points this out and hammers her with this.
"Congrats Haley for winning Iowa City with the Democrat vote!"
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post 1696469613 01-16-2024, 09:24 AM
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Originally Posted By -JR⏩
How is this a better test for the general when at the general those Democrat voters are gonna back Biden anyway? If anything that chit distorts everything.
With Biden's approvals (and historically weak polling in the Dems uncontested primary) - there is potential for crossover Democrats in a general election actually.

And again -- it's not just Democrats. Independents will participate too in NH
post 1696469633 01-16-2024, 09:24 AM
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We’ll see. Right now I give Neocon Nikki about a 3/10 chance of pulling off a win. Last week after Christie dropped out I would’ve said 50/50.

I feel better about Trump’s chances in NH after the blowout in IA last night. Trump securing 51% of the vote and Haley landing in 3rd place is a huge hit to her “momentum” argument. The orange man will benefit from some good press and an inevitability narrative while he is also going to blitz the granite state this week. Don’t forget Vivek dropping out means he should be another 4% up in this poll.

Haley’s only chance is to win New Hampshire and she wouldn’t even crack 20% if not for it being an open primary anyway. Independents and Democrats give her a boost. That won’t translate to other states. She’s fooked.
post 1696469713 01-16-2024, 09:26 AM
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Originally Posted By GuineaDago585⏩
We’ll see. I feel better about Trump’s chances in NH after the blowout in IA last night. Trump securing 51% of the vote and Haley landing in 3rd place is a huge hit to her “momentum” argument. The orange man will benefit from some good press and an inevitability narrative while he is also going to blitz the granite state this week.Don’t forget Vivek dropping out means he should be another 4% up in this poll.

Haley’s only chance is to win New Hampshire and she wouldn’t even crack 20% if not for it being an open primary anyway. Independents and Democrats give her a boost. That won’t translate to other states. She’s fooked.
Except Ron! is still there. So not all of Vivek's 4% will go to Trump. Most of them will go to Trump, but not all. The NYPost ran an article explaining how many Vivek voters are actually skeptical about Trump, which is why they are supporting Vivek over Trump in the first place

Vivek's support will probably go something like: Trump 2.5%, Ron! 1%, 0.5% other, and Haley 0% ... that would put the poll at Trump +2%, fully within the MOE
post 1696472123 01-16-2024, 10:14 AM
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Originally Posted By QuentinSutpen⏩
Except Ron! is still there. So not all of Vivek's 4% will go to Trump. Most of them will go to Trump, but not all. The NYPost ran an article explaining how many Vivek voters are actually skeptical about Trump, which is why they are supporting Vivek over Trump in the first place

Vivek's support will probably go something like: Trump 2.5%, Ron! 1%, 0.5% other, and Haley 0% ... that would put the poll at Trump +2%, fully within the MOE
I think most of Vivek goes trump. From a policy standpoint, trump is the only alternative to Vivek. Those who voted Vivek are antiestablishment… they will swing trump before swinging back to the establishment.
post 1696473253 01-16-2024, 10:36 AM
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Michael Schumacher is GOAT
post 1696473923 01-16-2024, 10:51 AM
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Originally Posted By Cchrisrun⏩
He can, and might lose in NH. That doesn't change the fact that most states are not open primary. The only way Haley has a chance is with the help of dems...
Her campaign is funded by the (D) billionaire global elite.

Billionaire LinkedIn cofounder and Democratic donor Reid Hoffman gave $250,000 to support former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley’s GOP presidential primary campaign—joining a growing list of deep-pocketed donors supporting Haley, as many view her as the best alternative to former President Donald Trump, reports Sara Dorn.
post 1696474103 01-16-2024, 10:54 AM
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Why does NH have such a cucked primary? Are Dems forced to do the same in NH?
post 1696474213 01-16-2024, 10:56 AM
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Originally Posted By Antifascist⏩
She's a neocon warmonger. All the elites love her.
When is Lindsay Graham going to endorse her?
post 1696474373 01-16-2024, 10:58 AM
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Hilarious all these Biden bros posing as Nimrata supporters. It’s totally transparent and we all see through it, pls go
post 1696474383 01-16-2024, 10:58 AM
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She is gonna get stomped just like in Iowa
post 1696474473 01-16-2024, 10:59 AM
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Go trump or go home.

I encourage everyone to never vote Haley over him
Unless of course you are a dem as Nikki might as well be one with her pro war stances.

Don’t throw away your vote ffs.

Op is correct, we’re not out of the woods yet not until that man is undeniable.

I believe Biden will be replaced. They iirc have until august to pick another Democrat. That alone is going to require us to remain vigilant. Don’t get complacent after every trump win yet.

They are going to announce Michelle Obama as close to Election Day as possible too. Anyone paying attention knows ho Biden ain’t running.
post 1696475423 01-16-2024, 11:17 AM
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Originally Posted By Antifascist⏩
She's a neocon warmonger. All the elites love her.
Regardless of your hatred for Trump, are you able to comprehend that MAGA voters are trying to get rid of neocons??
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