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Forum » When is TX Done As a Red State?
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Thread: When is TX Done As a Red State?

post 1697276733 02-01-2024, 10:47 AM
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When is TX Done As a Red State?

I know this gets thrown around a lot, but in your opinion, which presidential election do you believe the voters of TX permanently end the GOP....not just in TX, but nationally?

Some math in the leftists favor:

800K latinos have become eligible to vote in TX from 2020-2024. Biden got 85% of the under 24 latino vote in TX.

To put that in comparison, over the past decade, TX has only added about 200K whites(only group that votes (R) to their population.

The TX latino population is growing at a 10-1 clip compared to whites(that was before the millions of illegals since Biden)

If TX latinos voted at the same clip for leftists as NY/CA natural conservatives latinos(75%-25%) it probably would have flipped by now. Biden won the TX latino vote at about 60-40.

Also, you now have Abbot/TX GOP actively recruiting more legal Indian immigrants to TX(already has the 2nd highest population in American) who vote for leftists at an even higher rate than latinos.
post 1697276833 02-01-2024, 10:50 AM
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TX will still go to the GOP in 2024 and most likely 2028, but there’s a good chance they’re cooked after that.
post 1697276893 02-01-2024, 10:52 AM
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Originally Posted By John
TX will still go to the GOP in 2024 and most likely 2028, but there’s a good chance they’re cooked after that.
Yeah but New York will flip red around the time Texas flips blue.
post 1697277123 02-01-2024, 11:00 AM
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Originally Posted By John
TX will still go to the GOP in 2024 and most likely 2028, but there’s a good chance they’re cooked after that.
Im leaning 2028 is when it flips. Does TX have a latino Obama?? Thats game over.
Originally Posted By GuineaDago585⏩
Yeah but New York will flip red around the time Texas flips blue.
Sweet Allah(PBUH) I have no words.
post 1697277403 02-01-2024, 11:05 AM
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Originally Posted By GuineaDago585⏩
Yeah but New York will flip red around the time Texas flips blue.
Gotta be a troll at this point. No one can be this delusional.
Originally Posted By RIKTER⏩
Im leaning 2028 is when it flips. Does TX have a latino Obama?? Thats game over.
Spoiler!
post 1697313373 02-02-2024, 07:43 AM
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Originally Posted By John
Gotta be a troll at this point. No one can be this delusional.



Spoiler!
You give him a tan and a latino last name and he probably would have beaten Cruz. Plus, since 2018 over 1 million latinos have become eligible to vote in TX.

Its just math.
post 1697314053 02-02-2024, 08:02 AM
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Originally Posted By RIKTER⏩
You give him a tan and a latino last name and he probably would have beaten Cruz. Plus, since 2018 over 1 million latinos have become eligible to vote in TX.

Its just math.
I don't disagree.

And the thing is even if in 2028 Texas goes blue and NY somehow goes red, NY would still by no means be a reliably red state, while Texas would only trend bluer. So yeah still not looking good boyos.
post 1697314183 02-02-2024, 08:06 AM
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It was supposed to be 15 years ago lmao
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post 1697314703 02-02-2024, 08:19 AM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
It was supposed to be 15 years ago lmao
Dat trend though

2012 - R +16
2016 - R +9
2022 - R +5.5

The trajectory is clear for how Texas will fare in presidential elections in the future. I actually think Blumpf will do a little better than +5.5 this year, but he won't win by a double digit margin. TX is a demographic ticking time bomb.
post 1697315223 02-02-2024, 08:35 AM
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More Latino citizens are voting red and the statistics of a couple of years ago do not apply to current statistics, because more Latinos and Blacks are moving away from the left. Blacks are saying that Biden and the dems only use carrots to entice their vote with no real progress and they are tired of it.

Latino citizens hate the current immigration, as unfair and it is damaging their employment possibilities. That will only increase.
Helping one person may not change the world, but it could change the world for one person.
post 1697315873 02-02-2024, 08:52 AM
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Originally Posted By Mark1T⏩
More Latino citizens are voting red and the statistics of a couple of years ago do not apply to current statistics, because more Latinos and Blacks are moving away from the left. Blacks are saying that Biden and the dems only use carrots to entice their vote with no real progress and they are tired of it.

Latino citizens hate the current immigration, as unfair and it is damaging their employment possibilities. That will only increase.
This is not sustainable, because Latino's will not vote over 50% for Republicans ever.

Even if the GOP is somehow able to pull 40-45% of the Latino vote (very doubtful, they will most likely remain in the 30-35% range), that is still going to be unsustainable because as the Latino population continues to grow, polling anything under 50% for them is going to wind up amounting to an L.
post 1697315983 02-02-2024, 08:57 AM
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In 2020, Trump made big gains in Hispanic counties near the Mexico border, which helped stave off the Democrats. It might survive until 2032-2036
post 1697316503 02-02-2024, 09:11 AM
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Originally Posted By John
Dat trend though

2012 - R +16
2016 - R +9
2022 - R +5.5

The trajectory is clear for how Texas will fare in presidential elections in the future. I actually think Blumpf will do a little better than +5.5 this year, but he won't win by a double digit margin. TX is a demographic ticking time bomb.
Typical bush/cheney type republicans have no political future. The trump/populist model is the only path forward. But you can't stand having support from the blacks so it's just doom and gloom for you neocons.
“It’s the bill of rights, not the bill of requests. Rights are not up for negotiations.” Thomas Massie, MAGA enemy #1
post 1697317083 02-02-2024, 09:25 AM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
Typical bush/cheney type republicans have no political future. The trump/populist model is the only path forward. But you can't stand having support from the blacks so it's just doom and gloom for you neocons.
Reread your post and then look at the trajectory in Texas again lmao
post 1697319053 02-02-2024, 10:35 AM
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Originally Posted By Stizzel⏩
It was supposed to be 15 years ago lmao
What does that have to with the current math/demos?

TX has added more hard left Indian immigrants over the past decade than white Americans(only group that votes (R))

The only reason its hasn't flipped blue is because white voters(older) are overrepresented in the electorate compared to the population.
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