https://www.natesilver.net/p/we-remo...from-our-model

Like everything else about his presidential campaign, Robert F. Kennedy’s withdrawal from the presidential race was weird.

Kennedy endorsed Donald Trump yesterday and announced that he was “suspending” his campaign. But he’ll only attempt to remove his name from the ballot in roughly 10 swing states, Kennedy said, leaving himself on the ballot in the many other red states and blue states where he’d gone to great effort to qualify. And his swing-state efforts may not be entirely successful, either. Our research suggests it’s probably too late to get off the ballot in Wisconsin, for instance. In North Carolina, the first state to begin early voting, his name has already been physically printed on the ballots in around 30 counties, so he’s probably stuck there, too.

Under circumstances like these, sometimes simple is best. So we’ve changed RFK’s status in the model by changing a single cell in one spreadsheet. Before explaining the methodological change in detail, let me show you the impact on our national polling average. Both Trump and Kamala Harris have gained ground versus yesterday’s model run, the last one to include Kennedy. Harris’s polling average has improved from 48.0 percent yesterday to 48.8 percent today (+0.8), while Trump’s has increased from 43.7 to 44.8 (+1.1).

There are a couple of essential things to note here. First, yes, Trump has gained slightly more than Harris from the change, although it’s pretty minor, a net gain of 0.3 percentage points.1 And second, we’re seeing the beginnings of a convention bounce for Harris. Even with the Kennedy change, she’s now ahead by 4.0 points in the national polling average versus 2.3 points when the DNC started. Our best guess is that her lead will increase further, especially given that almost none of the polling was done after her strong acceptance speech on Thursday.

Trumpers are eerily quiet.

Let me guess, there is no other example where a major party candidate received the backing of an opposing party candidate that mirrors results similar to this?

Nate silver lmao..

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...=2016-forecast

That's how much I read of any of your weird and irrelevant posts.

No wonder chitlibs keep obsessing over this guy lol

Now do 2020

The Dems have been in control most of the last two decades. Thinking they can get us out of the mess that got us into is lunacy.

Doing the same thing over and over again, expecting different results is the definition of insanity.

It’s time the dems handover the steering wheel before we fall further off this cliff.

the only cope i see in this thread is from the liberals of the forum.

Cope!

Kamala gave a fluff speech carefully written to avoid highlighting most her 3.5 years as the worst rated VP. Yet, even with a crafted speech she lied. These are probably the worst:

She supported Biden's open border polices during the pandemic, talk about betraying the country.

She lied and covered up Biden's falling health because it was benefit to her and her the her party.