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» $15 Per Hour
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post 1651641293 11-28-2021, 03:21 PM
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Originally Posted By Kraken
I didn't state a theory. I stated a fact.

You're basing your argument off of a single individual that benefits from a minimum wage law (the minority that keep their job). I'm basing my facts on how minimum wage laws effect an entire economy of scale, because, after all, these policies effect a large number of people, not a few individuals. You're ignoring the individuals that lose their job, which is a VERY large number of individuals. If it was a small number, then poverty would go down and unemployment would be almost unaffected. That's not the case. Poverty and unemployment goes up considerable.
Untrue.

- Many workers would experience an increase in wages; not just workers currently earning minimum wage and not just workers earning under $15.

This is because if workers holding more difficult/less pleasant jobs have the option to instead work a better/easier job for the same income then it is natural to expect some number of them will do so. That displacement of workers from worse jobs to better jobs that have the same pay rate will press employers to increase the wage that they offer for the worsejobs.

- I am NOT ignoring individuals losing their jobs. I personally expect that there will be fewer jobs in total due to the expanded use of automation in any instance where the use of automation is financially advantageous. Therefore I believe that an increase in wages will be net beneficial as it will increase the share of wealth that is allocated to the labor that is remaining.

Also see the CBO report that I linked above.
Originally Posted By Kraken
Your argument is truth through omission; ignoring the bad effects to argue the good. If you consider both the bad and good outcomes, the bad outweighs the good. This is what makes the "good intentioned" policies so bad. They do harm, but you ignore that to feel good about the decision. Economics should be about weighing the good and bad. We can use outcomes of historical events and policies to determine that. The problem is, no one wants to see the bad. They only want to look at the good, so they miss the big picture.
I believe that the good outweighs the bad and that you are operating as if "all things are equal" when that just isn't so.

The market is distorted by government via a minimum wage and social safety nets paid for by taxpayers. It isn't the government's role to maximize profits. The government is supposed to safeguard the greater public good. We can argue about how they screw that up, but they aren't supposed to be in the "increasing profits for capital" business.

The market is distorted by capital, mostly through price fixing via cartels and monopolies. The government is supposed to prevent this and there are laws in place to do so, but the laws are not being enforced. Instead government has been corrupted and the legal system is being used to prevent competition instead of to insure competition.

Labor is weak and nearly crippled. Yes, unions can be corrupt, just like every other human institution.

For some reason you believe that capital having all of the power is good, but government or labor having power is bad.

And I believe that humanity is about more than economics, markets, and profits.
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post 1651642343 11-28-2021, 03:40 PM
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#152
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Originally Posted By katya422
Untrue.

- Many workers would experience an increase in wages; not just workers currently earning minimum wage and not just workers earning under $15.

This is because if workers holding more difficult/less pleasant jobs have the option to instead work a better/easier job for the same income then it is natural to expect some number of them will do so. That displacement of workers from worse jobs to better jobs that have the same pay rate will press employers to increase the wage that they offer for the worsejobs.

- I am NOT ignoring individuals losing their jobs. I personally expect that there will be fewer jobs in total due to the expanded use of automation in any instance where the use of automation is financially advantageous. Therefore I believe that an increase in wages will be net beneficial as it will increase the share of wealth that is allocated to the labor that is remaining. Your new minimum wage is now insignificant. The people who do not have a job but do have higher costs will then start robbing people.

Also see the CBO report that I linked above.
If many workers see an increase in wages, beyond those who make minimum wage, what would that do to cost of living?

If many workers see an increase in wages, beyond those who make minimum wage then employers would employ fewer people, if fewer people are in the work force, what would that do to overall production?

You will have a higher cost of living for everyone(including those who get thrown out of the work force), you would have fewer people working and you would have a decrease in overall production which would further increase cost of living. Your new minimum wage will be insignificant. The people who no longer have a job but do have higher costs will then start robbing people.



Do you know what the biggest predictor of sustained inflation is?

It's not temporary stimulus.

It's wages.
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post 1651642423 11-28-2021, 03:42 PM
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Increasing minimum wage to that high is just a virtue signal. In time, all of those jobs will be completely automated or even self-serve to a point.
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post 1651642733 11-28-2021, 03:49 PM
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#154
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Originally Posted By Omnivium
There should be no minimum wage. Let supply and demand happen naturally

If you want more money then stop working a cash register and get some actual skills
This is a potato idea. I imagine lots of companies like Amazon would pay their workers a dollar an hour if they could get away with it. Furthermore, if people can't afford to sustain themselves legally then they'll turn to crime.
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post 1651647453 11-28-2021, 05:22 PM
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#155
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Originally Posted By katya422
Untrue.

- Many workers would experience an increase in wages; not just workers currently earning minimum wage and not just workers earning under $15.

This is because if workers holding more difficult/less pleasant jobs have the option to instead work a better/easier job for the same income then it is natural to expect some number of them will do so. That displacement of workers from worse jobs to better jobs that have the same pay rate will press employers to increase the wage that they offer for the worsejobs.

- I am NOT ignoring individuals losing their jobs. I personally expect that there will be fewer jobs in total due to the expanded use of automation in any instance where the use of automation is financially advantageous. Therefore I believe that an increase in wages will be net beneficial as it will increase the share of wealth that is allocated to the labor that is remaining.

Also see the CBO report that I linked above.



I believe that the good outweighs the bad and that you are operating as if "all things are equal" when that just isn't so.

The market is distorted by government via a minimum wage and social safety nets paid for by taxpayers. It isn't the government's role to maximize profits. The government is supposed to safeguard the greater public good. We can argue about how they screw that up, but they aren't supposed to be in the "increasing profits for capital" business.

The market is distorted by capital, mostly through price fixing via cartels and monopolies. The government is supposed to prevent this and there are laws in place to do so, but the laws are not being enforced. Instead government has been corrupted and the legal system is being used to prevent competition instead of to insure competition.

Labor is weak and nearly crippled. Yes, unions can be corrupt, just like every other human institution.

For some reason you believe that capital having all of the power is good, but government or labor having power is bad.

And I believe that humanity is about more than economics, markets, and profits.
Everything you just posted is ideological, not to mention, very left wing biased. What you just posted are the same ideologies that the Clinton Foundation pushes. So what website did you get this information from? Its very consistent to their ideologies. You seem to be rewriting one of their articles. Are you plagiarizing?
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post 1651648633 11-28-2021, 05:47 PM
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#156
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Originally Posted By Kraken
Your economic awareness is about 0. You’re looking at everything on the surface without understanding the entire picture.

Cost of living is lower in America than Australia.Aussies get paid more because they are taxed more,and, higher pay means the government can tax more of your earnings.After all, the gubment needs a ton of money to rip people off with its extremely high cost of function.

https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-livin...=United+States
Guarantee my understanding of micro, macro and international economics as well as quantitative economics is stronger than yours.

Not a high bar though- The mere fact that you think wages are a function of tax rates is proof enough of that.
post 1651648783 11-28-2021, 05:51 PM
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#157
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Originally Posted By r32gojirra
Guarantee my understanding of micro, macro and international economics as well as quantitative economics is stronger than yours.

Not a high bar though- The mere fact that you think wages are a function of tax rates is proof enough of that.
So Aussies are taxes based on income?

You didn’t seem to realize the cost of living differences, so I think you over estimate yourself. You’re right, that bar is set low, considering that was simple.
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post 1651649043 11-28-2021, 05:57 PM
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#158
  1. r32gojirra
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Originally Posted By Kraken
So Aussies are taxes based on income?

You didn’t seem to realize the cost of living differences, so I think you over estimate yourself. You’re right, that bar is set low, considering that was simple.
Taxes are a subset of fiscal policy champ.

Cost of living doesn’t impact on labour market supply and demand conditions. At least not in the short run.

You can read more in any introductory econ textbook.
post 1651649083 11-28-2021, 05:58 PM
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#159
  1. katya422
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Originally Posted By Anachron
I agree.

Off-loading that responsibility to private business is not the best way of doing - just the easiest.
What??!!!

Anachron are you secretly in support of single payer healthcare, abolishing the FICA puppet show and simply funding SS and Medicare from general tax receipts thus freeing capital from direct responsibility for said benefits?

You know that would save businesses a boatload of cash even if there were a concomitant increase in wages and corporate taxes.
Originally Posted By Abzu
If many workers see an increase in wages, beyond those who make minimum wage, what would that do to cost of living?
Less than you may believe as business can only pass on as much of their costs as consumers are willing to absorb and no more.
Originally Posted By Abzu
If many workers see an increase in wages, beyond those who make minimum wage then employers would employ fewer people, if fewer people are in the work force, what would that do to overall production?
Again not as much as you may think. The cost of automation is dropping while the cost of human labor is not, and that is unlikely to change.

I don't think anyone paid it much attention, but if a "farm robot" selling for less than $5,000 can replace human field workers in India then there are many jobs that will be eliminated because a human in competition won't be able to work at that pace for a wage that will feed them.

Keeping down the wages of the people that still have jobs will only make those who are working poorer. It won't cause businesses to stop moving to automation.
Originally Posted By Abzu
You will have a higher cost of living for everyone(including those who get thrown out of the work force), you would have fewer people working and you would have a decrease in overall production which would further increase cost of living. Your new minimum wage will be insignificant. The people who no longer have a job but do have higher costs will then start robbing people.
I don't believe that this is any more likely due to an increase in the base wage.

As Kraken himself pointed out inflation is largely political and is created by the central bank.
Originally Posted By Abzu
Do you know what the biggest predictor of sustained inflation is?

It's not temporary stimulus.

It's wages.
Recent increases in the US minimum wage do not support this position.
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post 1651649783 11-28-2021, 06:09 PM
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#160
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Originally Posted By Dirtybiscuit
Increasing minimum wage to that high is just a virtue signal. In time, all of those jobs will be completely automated or even self-serve to a point.
False.

Raising the wage to $15 should:

- reduce the number of workers eligible for taxpayer supported government programs
- lead to higher wages for many mid-range jobs presently being paid around $15
- increase federal tax receipts
- lift 1.3 million people out of poverty [if the CBO study holds true]
Originally Posted By Kraken
Everything you just posted is ideological, not to mention, very left wing biased. What you just posted are the same ideologies that the Clinton Foundation pushes. So what website did you get this information from? Its very consistent to their ideologies. You seem to be rewriting one of their articles. Are you plagiarizing?
I think for myself thank you very much. Credit or blame.

You are labeling me with a political ideology because you don't like my facts.

I read a lot. I read that Medium article the year it was published. Same for the CBO report.

I grew up with a grandpa who watched the news and would dissect what was factually going on vs. how it was being spun in the press. I read the daily newspaper most days, almost always the Sunday edition, and when I had access via my job I used to read both the NYT and the WSJ.
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post 1651651813 11-28-2021, 06:52 PM
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#161
  1. r32gojirra
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Originally Posted By katya422
False.

Raising the wage to $15 should:

- reduce the number of workers eligible for taxpayer supported government programs
- lead to higher wages for many mid-range jobs presently being paid around $15
- increase federal tax receipts
- lift 1.3 million people out of poverty [if the CBO study holds true]
^^^agree with the above and also note:
-labour is a supply like anything else, with the price being an hourly wage. Raising the price, all else equal, increases supply. Either more people in the workforce or individuals working more hours.
-the wage bill is a tax deduction for companies. So it’s not a 100% loss or a straight 1:1 addition to the cost base. Unless of course they are large corporations paying zero tax… in which case good. Finally an effective means of taxing them.
-it goes without saying but anyway: increases to the minimum wage only affect that portion of the population whose wage is between the old minimum and the new. That would be relatively few.
-poor people have a higher propensity to spend. So yes they will spend more. This *might* have an impact on inflation for some of the CPI basket of goods. However by definition, poor people tend to spend money on goods with low price elasticity (essentials) Petrol, housing etc. Petrol prices are set in international markets. House pricing is a combination of factors including monetary policy. So the short run inflationary impacts may be unknown.


In any case in the battle for profit share labour has been getting its ass handed back to it by capital for what, 50 years? An increase to the minimum wage to $15 an hour won’t change that.
post 1651651843 11-28-2021, 06:53 PM
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#162
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Originally Posted By MyGhettoFantasy
I didn't read the whole thread but I was in franchising Dairy Queens for a long time. You cannot arbitarily assign a monetary value to a given job, especially if you are operating in a volume based business. Cost of goods and labor are two costs that a business owner has a fair bit of control over.

If you force someone to pay a teenager $15hr to put ice cream on a cone you drive costs up abd the purchasing power of say, someone already earning $16-20hr goes down. Yes, we created markets but market forces have a life of their own and we cannot just wave our hands and tada, the value of dropping fries is magically $15hr.

Also, to be fair, there is a huge demand for late night and even 24hr access and service. Adults have to fill these positions so it is misleading to say all of these minimum wage positions are intended for teenagers.

I avoided hiring anyone 15yrs old, and between 15 and 18 were still a pain in the ass to employ because of child labor laws. Can't have them working x amounts of hrs in a day, x amount of days in a week, strict scheduling of breaks, can't work passed 10pm on a school day, etc
.

Young adults were a much more preferable employee.
So be more like Europe and eliminate convenience jobs? I actually like that they have less convenience options there.
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post 1651658603 11-28-2021, 09:27 PM
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#163
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Some of yall need to read this. Thomas Sowell describes this in phases. The assessments done are mostly just “phase one”, in which the effects are immediate, however, over time the negative effects occur, and, some effecrts are difficult to measure and go unreported, like decreases in benefits, fringe benefits, job perks, and hiring freezes, and lay offs when costs over time accumulate. 80% of studies done end up showing a negative impact, especially in “phase two”. It also explains that big businesses benefit the most because, like Amazon, they can afford to pay higher wages, but it’s the small businesses hiring college, high school, and uneducated workers that suffer the most. Not surprised, as we know government intervention seems to always create monopolies. So big business benefits and small business loses, as always. What’s interesting is that people that “hate” monopolies and big businesses will just make concessions “but but but it helps people!”

It’s not just job lost, its millions and millions of hours cut too, keep in mind, as well as losses of benefits.

https://www.cato.org/article/lets-ta...5-minimum-wage
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post 1651660143 11-28-2021, 10:11 PM
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#164
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^^^classic example of confirmation bias

People don’t challenge unsubstantiated assertions when they support their own strongly held beliefs
Originally Posted By Anachron
Thanks for providing the counter argument.
You would only think that’s a counter argument if you didn’t understand the difference between nominal prices/wages and real
post 1651660543 11-28-2021, 10:21 PM
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#165
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Originally Posted By Anachron
^^^classic example of total lack of comprehension.
Imagine thinking that the reason someone disagrees with you is because they don’t understand your argument, as opposed to knowing more about the topic

(Dunning-Kruger btw)
post 1651660773 11-28-2021, 10:28 PM
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#166
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Originally Posted By Anachron
Imagine thinking that the reason someone disagrees with you is because they don’t understand your argument, as opposed to knowing more about the topic

(Dunning-Kruger btw)

You see how this works?
original as always
post 1651660873 11-28-2021, 10:31 PM
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America the home of capitalism but loads of other countries around the world have a reasonable minimum wage and they are doing just fine thank-you very much.

The idea that with a decent minimum wage the economy would collapse is just retarded, there's enough money to go round, CEO's 100k a day just have to manage on 99k a day instead that's all.
post 1651660913 11-28-2021, 10:33 PM
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#168
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Originally Posted By Anachron
I didn't know you were a pseudo-intellectual, but thanks for opening my eyes.

Should've stuck with clowning on trailerbrah, at least you were good at that.
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