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» Misc Firearms Crew LXXVI: Headshots for Jesus
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post 1599408861 03-09-2020, 08:09 PM
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#3091
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
  2. Is a Czechnologist.
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
  2. Is a Czechnologist.
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Originally Posted By BOZZ
CFR is always higher in initial outbreaks then it plateaus. I'm not of the belief that this is going to be nearly as bad as some people think
There's absolutely nothing I'd rather be more wrong about. But it sure isn't looking great.
We have had almost no testing at all since the first cases so the numbers being reported are absolutely not accurate to what the real infection numbers are. Hopefully by weeks end we will have a better idea. I suspect we will be in the thousands by then "officially". I personally believe we're already in the thousands. It has been here for way too long with too many people unknowingly spreading it IMO.
Doctors were denying people tests because they didn't have the perfect symptoms. Many of them were later found to be positive. Many places STILL don't have test kits. The entire thing is a nightmare.
post 1599409461 03-09-2020, 08:20 PM
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#3092
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
  1. taf1968
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Originally Posted By Meatie
James yeager was saying he drank thousands and thousands of gallons from the Camden TN stream/lake.

didnt think freshwater was the safest to drink, but thousand upon thousands of gallons? would rather drink a few days worth of ocean saltwater instead of that
This would actually explain a lot.
*MFC Elder Statesmen Cabinet Crew*

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post 1599410561 03-09-2020, 08:37 PM
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#3093
  1. BOZZ
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  1. BOZZ
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Originally Posted By WrinklyGrandma
Not the case with SARS. CFR during outbreak was estimated to be 3.X%. After the dust settled it was closer to 10% IIRC.
If i recall correctly that's because the WHO screwed the pooch on the over 55 demographic when they did their first analysis and it was later revised. Plus those numbers are are of course including the earliest cases where they didn't even know it was SARS and took zero action for 3-4 months before telling anyone.
Originally Posted By Farley1324
What do you think the best comparison example for initial and later CFR is?
Hard to say but if it plays out like SARS or H1N1 I'd be very surprised if it stayed as high as some people are estimating it. My guess is somewhere around the .8 to 1.5%> Countries are being a lot more proactive with this disease than in the past. It's also largely going to depend on whether or not China once again hid this **** for 3+months. It could be H1N1 levels but I'd imagine they'll be substantially less since people are so worked up about it.

Edit* Just saw the R0 is a 2-3 could be H1N1 levels with more more deaths. Could get a little Western
post 1599410841 03-09-2020, 08:42 PM
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#3094
  1. benz5521
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  1. benz5521
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Do you Guys like PMC X-tac?
post 1599412221 03-09-2020, 09:01 PM
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#3095
  1. Ikeman83
  2. It's not the gun, stupid.
  1. Ikeman83
  2. It's not the gun, stupid.
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Originally Posted By benz5521
Do you Guys like PMC X-tac?
Lots of good experience with it.

Wolf Gold supplanted it
Florida Crew as of 3/21

What part of "Shall Not Be Infringed" are you having trouble with?

Misc Firearms Crew
post 1599412431 03-09-2020, 09:05 PM
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#3096
  1. macrocrunch
  2. Ivanto Beleav
  1. macrocrunch
  2. Ivanto Beleav
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Originally Posted By benz5521
Do you Guys like PMC X-tac?
I have enjoyed it in the past, no issues, but I've been either using hornady in my DMR or wolf in range guns.
Laconic
post 1599412621 03-09-2020, 09:07 PM
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#3097
  1. Farley1324
  2. I can do this all day
  1. Farley1324
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Originally Posted By benz5521
Do you Guys like PMC X-tac?
I don't buy it any more because there's CBC, IMI, PPU,Wolf Gold, Federal but it's fine. If it's the cheapest M193 spec, go for it
post 1599421671 03-10-2020, 12:39 AM
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#3098
  1. Millz
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Looks like speer lawman 124gr went up by $10/1k on target sports, feelsbadman. Hopefully china aids blows over then we have a couple month window of good ammo availability and prices before election
R.I.P. ssj4veggeto1008
R.I.P. YourGunShowTix
post 1599427231 03-10-2020, 05:12 AM
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#3099
  1. PapaBurgandy
  2. RIP YGST
  1. PapaBurgandy
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Morning, MFC.
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Has experience with a Belgian Malinois
post 1599427581 03-10-2020, 05:22 AM
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#3100
  1. OfficerJimLahey
  2. don't **** up
  1. OfficerJimLahey
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Originally Posted By taf1968
I tend to agree.

I have been nibbling into XOM on the way down. Not a ton and it looks ugly right now . . . but I'm holding this one loooong term and XOM/Oil is not going to stay this low forever. Eventually that's all gonna bounce way back.
AOBC time, amiright?


Edit: Morning, Coach.
Baltimore Orioles
Most positive poster in this thread.


MFC Poor Crew President and Founder.
post 1599427791 03-10-2020, 05:29 AM
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#3101
  1. Ikeman83
  2. It's not the gun, stupid.
  1. Ikeman83
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Originally Posted By Farley1324
I don't buy it any more because there's CBC, IMI, PPU,Wolf Gold, Federal but it's fine. If it's the cheapest M193 spec, go for it
This, too many other good companies selling ammo for less.
Florida Crew as of 3/21

What part of "Shall Not Be Infringed" are you having trouble with?

Misc Firearms Crew
post 1599427961 03-10-2020, 05:32 AM
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#3102
  1. Farley1324
  2. I can do this all day
  1. Farley1324
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Trump runs a real risk of losing that election now
post 1599428851 03-10-2020, 06:00 AM
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#3103
  1. gbullock32
  2. Common sense/moderation.
  1. gbullock32
  2. Common sense/moderation.
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Originally Posted By Farley1324
Trump runs a real risk of losing that election now
While the current situation isn't helping him out the competition is so low down that I don't think they can pull ahead. Trump even won the primary in CA by a decent amount.
Short cuts to success are often paved with lies.
1/13/16: Massive hernia.
5/10/16: Finally back to lifting, light but improving.

Why Teens shouldn't cut/Lack of progress thread- http://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=169272763&p=1397509823#post1397509823
post 1599429651 03-10-2020, 06:20 AM
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#3104
  1. itsnotjon
  2. RIP YGST
  1. itsnotjon
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Well looks like UT is out and I'm going to AZ
**MISC Firearm Crew**
post 1599431081 03-10-2020, 07:06 AM
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#3105
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
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Originally Posted By OfficerJimLahey
AOBC time, amiright?


Edit: Morning, Coach.
Gawd . . . that phukking dog of a stock. A pox on their houses . . . er, tents.
*MFC Elder Statesmen Cabinet Crew*

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post 1599431981 03-10-2020, 07:22 AM
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#3106
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
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Originally Posted By Farley1324
Trump runs a real risk of losing that election now
It's certainly dicier than it was before this virus Black Swan popped up. Still, he has the benefit of being the incumbent this time around. If the virus panic levels out by election time (have to think a lot of the uncertainty will be gone by then) then I'd tend to think the market comes back. Add in the awful choice between Sanders and Biden and the advantage probably still lies with Trump.

Gonna be a bumpy ride for awhile. Let's hope the panic subsides, the world economies rev back up and oil climbs out of the chitter by the election.
*MFC Elder Statesmen Cabinet Crew*

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post 1599436381 03-10-2020, 08:51 AM
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#3107
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
  2. Is a Czechnologist.
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
  2. Is a Czechnologist.
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Originally Posted By taf1968
Let's hope the panic subsides
Lol. It hasn't even started good in the US. Wait until later into the week and into next week when the cases are in the thousands officially like everyone already knows they are.
post 1599436631 03-10-2020, 08:56 AM
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#3108
  1. Tuksonrider
  2. Registered User
  1. Tuksonrider
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Originally Posted By itsnotjon
Well looks like UT is out and I'm going to AZ
Fuk off, we're full... I mean... what brings you to the goat gun state?
I'm not blessed with riches, but I am rich with blessings.
Thank you, LORD, my God.
IG: Tuksonrider
post 1599436641 03-10-2020, 08:56 AM
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#3109
  1. benz5521
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  1. benz5521
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Just bought in to the market pretty heavy. Let’s hope this pays off lol.

Split between a total market fund and a blue chip fund.
post 1599437781 03-10-2020, 09:17 AM
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#3110
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
  1. taf1968
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Originally Posted By R3L3NTL3SS
Lol. It hasn't even started good in the US. Wait until later into the week and into next week when the cases are in the thousands officially like everyone already knows they are.
I'm talking panic subsiding in the next couple months . . . not this week.

Likely already well into the thousands. It's been here for weeks at this point and most people who get it apparently have mild (even no) symptoms, so there are way more people out there with it right now. They just aren't being tested and either aren't feeling all that bad or certainly not bad enough to seek care. I agree that the worst here is yet to come and we'll see the deaths ramp up. But it almost certainly will burn itself out and/or go dormat at some point.
*MFC Elder Statesmen Cabinet Crew*

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post 1599438391 03-10-2020, 09:26 AM
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#3111
  1. Farley1324
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  1. Farley1324
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Neighbor at the bus stop this morning was talking about somebody in their family with a persistent 3 day cough, not sure what to do, don't want to be hospitalized if they can avoid it but
post 1599439391 03-10-2020, 09:40 AM
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#3112
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
  2. Is a Czechnologist.
  1. R3L3NTL3SS
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Originally Posted By Farley1324
Neighbor at the bus stop this morning was talking about somebody in their family with a persistent 3 day cough, not sure what to do, don't want to be hospitalized if they can avoid it but
CDC is basically telling people if your symptoms are mild and you believe you can get over it home - stay home and self medicate/hydrate until you're over it.

...but the scary thing is the virus can go from mild to very serious in a short period of time. Many people went from mild cold symptoms to needing ventilators within 24 hours. No one talking about that chit though...

It's just the flu, man. No biggie. Flu patients get treated like this on the daily.

post 1599439471 03-10-2020, 09:43 AM
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#3113
  1. Farley1324
  2. I can do this all day
  1. Farley1324
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Yes I've seen that how for the subset that it's serious, it can happenfast.

The school teacher who had it right near here, a sub who was in three schools with a lot of interactions, went down in school and took an ambulance to the hospital where she hasn't left yet far as I know.

Trump chief of staff tests positive, quarantine. Italy gets it, partial lockdown of whole country.

But it's just the flu...right.
post 1599440381 03-10-2020, 09:56 AM
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#3114
  1. MoeBettuh
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Originally Posted By R3L3NTL3SS
"Just the flu."
Yeah. One of the strongest economies on the planet knowingly tanked their economy by locking down their country for "just the flu".
Flu has less than a .2% death rate.
COVID-19 is 3-4% and currently around 5% in Italy.
The flu killed about 46,000 people this flu season with about 45 million infected.
If COVID-19 infected 45 million people, it would result in about 1.5-1.8 million deaths.
The two aren't on the same level.
We could use a sort of reset, srs.

Ike, you might like to take them up to like the 200° range or probe tender. A little apple or cherry wood.
MFC

drum, it holds fifty, uh
post 1599440991 03-10-2020, 10:05 AM
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#3115
  1. BOZZ
  2. Banned
  1. BOZZ
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Only 80K cases in a place like China. Relax...

JK We're all gonna die.

Has anyone stumbled upon the "Kobe Bryant was killed because he knew about the Covid19 virus" conspiracy
post 1599441681 03-10-2020, 10:17 AM
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#3116
  1. twovalvekid
  2. N3rd Op3rator
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Originally Posted By taf1968
It's certainly dicier than it was before this virus Black Swan popped up. Still, he has the benefit of being the incumbent this time around. If the virus panic levels out by election time (have to think a lot of the uncertainty will be gone by then) then I'd tend to think the market comes back. Add in the awful choice between Sanders and Biden and the advantage probably still lies with Trump.

Gonna be a bumpy ride for awhile. Let's hope the panic subsides, the world economies rev back up and oil climbs out of the chitter by the election.
My theory is it will be a bumpy ride, everyone will get through it, and the economy will start to be a freight train because everyone has calmed down over the virus and you got a stimulus (potentially now) at the heels of a strong economy. Could actually be perfectly timed.
MFC
Misc Cologne Crew | **BBC** | Aventus Friday Crew

RIP YGST
post 1599444901 03-10-2020, 11:09 AM
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#3117
  1. taf1968
  2. RIP GST
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bid...ed-gun-dispute

Former Vice President Joe Biden got into a heated and profanity-laced argument with an autoworker Tuesday while touring a factory in Detroit, after the individual accused the Democratic presidential candidate of trying to take away his Second Amendment rights.

"You’re full of sh-- ... I support the Second Amendment," Biden shot back, stressing he's not going to take guns away.

The worker then told Biden, "You're working for me, man," and told Biden that he saw an online video supporting his claim that Biden is hostile to the Second Amendment.

Biden, pointing at the individual as they were mere inches apart in the middle of a crowd, said he's not working for him and told him not to be "such a horse's a--."

Biden, at one point mistakenly referring to "AR-14's," went on to press the individual to acknowledge that machine guns are illegal. Biden appeared to then misspeak in saying AR-15's are illegal, before questioning why anyone needs "100 rounds."
*MFC Elder Statesmen Cabinet Crew*

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post 1599445181 03-10-2020, 11:14 AM
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#3118
  1. Tuksonrider
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National Guard just deployed to help quarantine a suburb in NY! WTF? Chit getting srs. Like... what the hell are they going to do if someone breaks containment perimeter... shoot on site?

Fortunately... populace is disarmed. *whew* /sarcasm off
I'm not blessed with riches, but I am rich with blessings.
Thank you, LORD, my God.
IG: Tuksonrider
post 1599445501 03-10-2020, 11:18 AM
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#3119
  1. Farley1324
  2. I can do this all day
  1. Farley1324
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Originally Posted By BOZZ
Only 80K cases in a place like China. Relax...

JK We're all gonna die.

Has anyone stumbled upon the "Kobe Bryant was killed because he knew about the Covid19 virus" conspiracy
You believe what the chinese government tells you?

You're going to have a hard time in life
post 1599445841 03-10-2020, 11:24 AM
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#3120
  1. BOZZ
  2. Banned
  1. BOZZ
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Originally Posted By Farley1324
You believe what the chinese government tells you?

You're going to have a hard time in life
Do you have a problem with me? You always have something snarky to say when I post.
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