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» Must see post about Covid-19
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post 1603734141 04-29-2020, 01:23 PM
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Must see post about Covid-19

Lemme explain how bad math is being used to create fear mongering...

It's some pretty simple math..

To start I googled what percentage of Covid cases result in hospitalization

The first result was this

MONDAY, March 30, 2020 (HealthDay News) -- Once infected with the new coronavirus, a 20-something has about a 1% chance of illness so severe it requires hospitalization, and that risk rises to more than 8% for people in their 50s and to nearly 19% for people over 80, a comprehensive new analysis finds.

Now lets use Michigan as an example to apply these numbers..

Confirmed
39,262
Recovered
-
Deaths
3,567

So confirmed cases are based on people being so severe they decide to get tested

1% of 20 somethings require hospitalization it stands to reason the other 99% don't bother getting tested. But to be conservative lets say 90% don't

92% of people under 50 likely don't get tested either.. but for the sake of argument let again just use the 90% number

and then people over 80, it appears about 80 percent are likely not severe enough to require a test..

it stands to reason the 80+ group are the smallest segment of the population but will weigh this a little heavy just for giggles..

so lets just for giggles say 85% of people who get it never get sick enough to require a test.

now take the confirmed cases number and compare it to what we know about the disease..

40,000/260,000 = 15.3% so to produce 40,000 confirmed cases on the conservative side will say there's really been 260,000 cases.. that's being highly conservative but we'll use these numbers anyways..

Now lets use these numbers to see how they effect the death rates..

With the reported cases you're look at a 9% death rate (3,567/39,262) which seems scary.

Lets compare it to our conservative number for actual cases..
3,567/260,000.. it drops to 1%..

Instead of using the exaggerated 15% of total cases resulting in hospitalization/testing lets say its actually 10% which still might be high but its closer to reality..

this would be more accurately reflected with the total cases being roughly 380,000

now our math is 3,567/380,000 which brings our numbers to .9%

Be we need to go deeper than this.. It's been reported by doctors that they are being asked to ignore comorbidity factors in deaths of patients with covid symptoms whether or not a test is ever done.

so of those 3,500 deaths its possible half of them really died to underlying factors such as heart disease or cancer..

so lets cut our number in half to more accurately reflect this.. we now have 1,800 deaths..

1,800/380,000 = .4%

which makes covid only slightly more deadly than the common flu..

And yet the fear mongering media has convinced us all to wear masks and stay at home, putting us into another potential recession.. if not worse..

Can someone tell me what's really going on here?
post 1603734421 04-29-2020, 01:28 PM
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If these numbers make sense to you feel free to copy pasta this for your ********.
post 1603734601 04-29-2020, 01:30 PM
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Cliffs needed
You guys, I'm seriously
post 1603734611 04-29-2020, 01:30 PM
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Liberal democrats being liberal democrats
post 1603734641 04-29-2020, 01:31 PM
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giving you 5 min for cliffs
post 1603734721 04-29-2020, 01:32 PM
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You’ve shifted the decimal point incorrectly on your divisions to calculate mortality rate
post 1603734851 04-29-2020, 01:33 PM
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Originally Posted By Eatforgains
Lemme explain how bad math is being used to create fear mongering...

It's some pretty simple math..

To start I googled what percentage of Covid cases result in hospitalization

The first result was this

MONDAY, March 30, 2020 (HealthDay News) -- Once infected with the new coronavirus, a 20-something has about a 1% chance of illness so severe it requires hospitalization, and that risk rises to more than 8% for people in their 50s and to nearly 19% for people over 80, a comprehensive new analysis finds.

Now lets use Michigan as an example to apply these numbers..

Confirmed
39,262
Recovered
-
Deaths
3,567

So confirmed cases are based on people being so severe they decide to get tested

1% of 20 somethings require hospitalization it stands to reason the other 99% don't bother getting tested. But to be conservative lets say 90% don't

92% of people under 50 likely don't get tested either.. but for the sake of argument let again just use the 90% number

and then people over 80, it appears about 80 percent are likely not severe enough to require a test..

it stands to reason the 80+ group are the smallest segment of the population but will weigh this a little heavy just for giggles..

so lets just for giggles say 85% of people who get it never get sick enough to require a test.

now take the confirmed cases number and compare it to what we know about the disease..

40,000/260,000 = 15.3% so to produce 40,000 confirmed cases on the conservative side will say there's really been 260,000 cases.. that's being highly conservative but we'll use these numbers anyways..

Now lets use these numbers to see how they effect the death rates..

With the reported cases you're look at a 9% death rate (3,567/39,262) which seems scary.

Lets compare it to our conservative number for actual cases..
3,567/260,000.. it drops to 1%..

Instead of using the exaggerated 15% of total cases resulting in hospitalization/testing lets say its actually 10% which still might be high but its closer to reality..

this would be more accurately reflected with the total cases being roughly 380,000

now our math is 3,567/380,000 which brings our numbers to.09%

Be we need to go deeper than this.. It's been reported by doctors that they are being asked to ignore comorbidity factors in deaths of patients with covid symptoms whether or not a test is ever done.

so of those 3,500 deaths its possible half of them really died to underlying factors such as heart disease or cancer..

so lets cut our number in half to more accurately reflect this.. we now have 1,800 deaths..

1,800/380,000 =.04%

which makes covid only slightly more deadly than the common flu..

And yet the fear mongering media has convinced us all to wear masks and stay at home, putting us into another potential recession.. if not worse..

Can someone tell me what's really going on here?
These should be .9% not .09%
And .4% not .04%

But ironic you make a post about bad maths then make a glaring maths error
post 1603734911 04-29-2020, 01:34 PM
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Bullseye. Latest research puts it in line with the flu, its just only the sickest are getting tested. Not only that but if someone dies from something unrelated to Covid it’ll be a Covid death if they have it


A complete clown show all around. The same chicken littles about coronavirus are chicken littles about global warming


Just lol
post 1603735101 04-29-2020, 01:36 PM
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Originally Posted By wd0694820
These should be .9% not .09%
And .4% not .04%

But ironic you make a post about bad maths then make a glaring maths error
nope your wrong .4 = 40 percent .04 = 4 percent.. and .004 = .4 do you even math
post 1603735121 04-29-2020, 01:36 PM
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I wont post this on ********.

You need to stay home to flatten the curve.
post 1603735181 04-29-2020, 01:37 PM
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Originally Posted By AlwaysFocus
I wont post this on ********.

You need to stay home to flatten the curve.
What if you're HTC and you like curvy curves
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post 1603735221 04-29-2020, 01:38 PM
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Antibody tests in NYC suggests that 25% of the population there have already got the virus and have the antibodies. With the new info the death rate there is .5%

Its time to open the country back up.
Misc Work Crew
post 1603735251 04-29-2020, 01:38 PM
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didnt read
I don't check my CP, IDC about reps/negs


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post 1603735281 04-29-2020, 01:39 PM
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Originally Posted By Eatforgains
nope your wrong .4 = 40 percent .04 = 4 percent.. and .004 = .4 do you even math
I dunno where you’re from but the convention I’m used to when you write a decimal point is that there’s a 0 directly before the decimal point. .04% = .04 percent. There’s a percent already written there
post 1603735321 04-29-2020, 01:39 PM
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Originally Posted By J1n
Antibody tests in NYC suggests that 25% of the population there have already got the virus and have the antibodies. With the new info the death rate there is .5%

Its time to open the country back up.
which is ironically exactly in line with my numbers lol
post 1603735371 04-29-2020, 01:40 PM
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Originally Posted By wd0694820
I dunno where you’re from but the convention I’m used to when you write a decimal point is that there’s a 0 directly before the decimal point. .04% = .04 percent. There’s a percent already written there
the math i gave you shows the total death rate at .4% not 4%.. which is in line with the flu.. I don't know what you're getting at
post 1603735491 04-29-2020, 01:41 PM
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#17
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Originally Posted By wd0694820
I dunno where you’re from but the convention I’m used to when you write a decimal point is that there’s a 0 directly before the decimal point. .04% = .04 percent. There’s a percent already written there
the problem was i put a 0 that didn't belong wasn't paying attention.. the numbers are the same as i'm concluding tho
post 1603735631 04-29-2020, 01:43 PM
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in texas we are at a .04% infection rate and a .002% death rate

But god forbid we open gyms or beauty salons or allow mroe than 25% occupancy anywhere else.

You are also a hero if you call the police and report anyone not following the rules, you are LITERALLY saving lives.
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post 1603735891 04-29-2020, 01:45 PM
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Originally Posted By Jestbrah
in texas we are at a .04% infection rate and a .002% death rate

But god forbid we open gyms or beauty salons or allow mroe than 25% occupancy anywhere else.

You are also a hero if you call the police and report anyone not following the rules, you are LITERALLY saving lives.
it's pretty clear the powers that be want to tank the global economy =\
post 1603736311 04-29-2020, 01:51 PM
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Yep. If you’re a young, healthy individual, your risk with Covid-19 is minimal and you should be able to go about your business as usual. If you live with at-risk loved ones however, you’re a selfish piece of chit if you don’t take it just as seriously as they likely are, and should be held responsible if you end up giving them the coronavirus and they die from it because of your negligence.
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post 1603736321 04-29-2020, 01:51 PM
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Its because its a liberal clown world now days

There is an agenda or agendas behind all of this and I don't think its going to stop tbh

Its messed up but there is nothing we can do at this point
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post 1603736361 04-29-2020, 01:51 PM
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Originally Posted By AlwaysFocus
I wont post this on ********.

You need to stay home to flatten the curve.
Originally Posted By hoganrulz
What if you're HTC and you like curvy curves
You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to hoganrulz again.
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post 1603736451 04-29-2020, 01:52 PM
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Originally Posted By Drew23
You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to hoganrulz again.
Hehe ty men
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post 1603736641 04-29-2020, 01:55 PM
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post 1603736701 04-29-2020, 01:56 PM
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Originally Posted By eod8989
Its because its a liberal clown world now days

There is an agenda or agendas behind all of this and I don't think its going to stop tbh

Its messed up but there is nothing we can do at this point
I think the public is underestimate the value of peaceful protest or mass conscientious objection. If we all decide **** them we're gonna reopen what are they gonna do mass incarcerate us?
post 1603736751 04-29-2020, 01:57 PM
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Originally Posted By Eatforgains
Lemme explain how bad math is being used to create fear mongering...

It's some pretty simple math..

To start I googled what percentage of Covid cases result in hospitalization

The first result was this

MONDAY, March 30, 2020 (HealthDay News) -- Once infected with the new coronavirus, a 20-something has about a 1% chance of illness so severe it requires hospitalization, and that risk rises to more than 8% for people in their 50s and to nearly 19% for people over 80, a comprehensive new analysis finds.

Now lets use Michigan as an example to apply these numbers..

Confirmed
39,262
Recovered
-
Deaths
3,567

So confirmed cases are based on people being so severe they decide to get tested

1% of 20 somethings require hospitalization it stands to reason the other 99% don't bother getting tested. But to be conservative lets say 90% don't

92% of people under 50 likely don't get tested either.. but for the sake of argument let again just use the 90% number

and then people over 80, it appears about 80 percent are likely not severe enough to require a test..

it stands to reason the 80+ group are the smallest segment of the population but will weigh this a little heavy just for giggles..

so lets just for giggles say 85% of people who get it never get sick enough to require a test.

now take the confirmed cases number and compare it to what we know about the disease..

40,000/260,000 = 15.3% so to produce 40,000 confirmed cases on the conservative side will say there's really been 260,000 cases.. that's being highly conservative but we'll use these numbers anyways..

Now lets use these numbers to see how they effect the death rates..

With the reported cases you're look at a 9% death rate (3,567/39,262) which seems scary.

Lets compare it to our conservative number for actual cases..
3,567/260,000.. it drops to 1%..

Instead of using the exaggerated 15% of total cases resulting in hospitalization/testing lets say its actually 10% which still might be high but its closer to reality..

this would be more accurately reflected with the total cases being roughly 380,000

now our math is 3,567/380,000 which brings our numbers to .9%

Be we need to go deeper than this.. It's been reported by doctors that they are being asked to ignore comorbidity factors in deaths of patients with covid symptoms whether or not a test is ever done.

so of those 3,500 deaths its possible half of them really died to underlying factors such as heart disease or cancer..

so lets cut our number in half to more accurately reflect this.. we now have 1,800 deaths..

1,800/380,000 = .4%

which makes covid only slightly more deadly than the common flu..

And yet the fear mongering media has convinced us all to wear masks and stay at home, putting us into another potential recession.. if not worse..

Can someone tell me what's really going on here?
Its about bringing in mandatory vaccinations for the entire global population, and possibly using the vaccinations as a springboard for something else. I am almost certain its all being orchestrated by Gates.

The media/politicians all banging on about the new normal simultaneously, should be a dead giveaway this is all being orchestrated from a central source.

post 1603736961 04-29-2020, 01:59 PM
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Originally Posted By Eatforgains
the math i gave you shows the total death rate at .4% not 4%.. which is in line with the flu.. I don't know what you're getting at
This is somewhere north of 10x more contagious than the flu. Do the math on those numbers.
post 1603736971 04-29-2020, 01:59 PM
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Originally Posted By Eatforgains
nope your wrong .4 = 40 percent .04 = 4 percent.. and .004 = .4 do you even math
yes you are right just checked
post 1603737021 04-29-2020, 02:01 PM
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Originally Posted By wd0694820
I dunno where you’re from but the convention I’m used to when you write a decimal point is that there’s a 0 directly before the decimal point. .04% = .04 percent. There’s a percent already written there
it doesnt matter where you are from the math is the same the op is correct.
post 1603737131 04-29-2020, 02:02 PM
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Originally Posted By 5tfihsmgidarap
it doesnt matter where you are from the math is the same the op is correct.
No he isn’t he just admitted himself he dropped a 0
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