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Forum » Hurricane Delta about to go in dry AF on Baton Rouge.
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Thread: Hurricane Delta about to go in dry AF on Baton Rouge.

post 1618675431 10-07-2020, 10:24 AM
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#31
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Looks like I’ll be evacuating to Shreveport. Hopefully they don’t get hit as hard as they did in Laura.
See you tomorrow
post 1618676841 10-07-2020, 10:37 AM
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time to do some work here bruhs. so this is what you have to look forward to. In the next 24-36 hours is where we will see peak intensity for the storm in the Gulf. This is a graph to show ocean heat content. the higher the stronger. luckily for louisiana the water gets cooler by the coast so it could lose some strength. Will continue to update throughout the day

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post 1618677451 10-07-2020, 10:42 AM
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Looking like its going to smash New Iberia area. Which is where I was born. Lots of family there. I've a relative stuck on a drilling rig in the gulf. He's going to have to ride out the storm out there.

Evacuate misc brahs.
post 1618678461 10-07-2020, 10:51 AM
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Keeping you southern brahs in muh prayers
post 1618679371 10-07-2020, 11:02 AM
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I'm currently in the Yucatan area in Mexico and we just went trough it. Luckily it wasnt so bad we were out of power for a couple hours but everything is back to normal now. A couple of fallen trees and branches but no major damages near here. IT came down to a CAT 2 upon touching land so that helped a lot. There are no superficial rivers here or slopes so the risk of flooding is non existant, that helped a lot.
post 1618679611 10-07-2020, 11:04 AM
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Originally Posted By SuperHercules⏩
If it stays strong it will be dangerous, but a category 1 is pretty weak

I stood in a category 1 and watched it. It wasn't anything to get concerned about
Depends on where you live more than the intensity. If you live near rivers or in areas prone to flooding it can turn deadly even as a mere tropical storm. If you live away from rivers or areas prone to flooding you can make it easly trough a CAT 5 just by staying indoors
post 1618680111 10-07-2020, 11:10 AM
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Stay safe bros
FL > PA
post 1618680391 10-07-2020, 11:12 AM
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UPDATE #2

It shifted farther west.

Not looking good Lake Charles.

Hold me.


https://imgur.com/a/dcADTtC


Insurance companies on watch.

Residents on watch.

Businesses on watch.

Every ****ing body on watch.
“The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.“

PS: Don't eat poop, just don't let the idea of it stop you from living life to its fullest.
post 1618681851 10-07-2020, 11:26 AM
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#39
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Originally Posted By guest89⏩
Looking like its going to smash New Iberia area. Which is where I was born. Lots of family there. I've a relative stuck on a drilling rig in the gulf. He's going to have to ride out the storm out there.

Evacuate misc brahs.
Holy Siht, Would a hurricane not absolutely dust a drilling rig?
post 1618685831 10-07-2020, 12:09 PM
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Originally Posted By CockHorse⏩
Holy Siht, Would a hurricane not absolutely dust a drilling rig?
I mean, being in the gulf they have to be prepared for it. I bet some of them have been through a few.

Having people on it however seems financially irresponsible.
“The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.“

PS: Don't eat poop, just don't let the idea of it stop you from living life to its fullest.
post 1618690261 10-07-2020, 12:51 PM
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Here are the euro from 12z



Here is the gfs from 12z


Here is the HREF from 12z


Here is the HMON from 12z


Animated version of the HREF at 12z
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post 1618690391 10-07-2020, 12:53 PM
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#42
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Originally Posted By CockHorse⏩
Holy Siht, Would a hurricane not absolutely dust a drilling rig?
you have to assume its a steel structure with reinforced windows. probably be safer on a rig than on the coast in Louisiana.
I assume to limit insurance liability they helicopter non essential staff off of the platform during storms.
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post 1618692741 10-07-2020, 01:14 PM
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#43
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Originally Posted By armyr0b⏩
you have to assume its a steel structure with reinforced windows. probably be safer on a rig than on the coast in Louisiana.
I assume to limit insurance liability they helicopter non essential staff off of the platform during storms.
Hurricane Ivan threw an offshore rig through the Mobile Bay bridge which made getting from the city to the suburbs amassivepain in the ass

Edit: Was Katrina not Ivan
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post 1618694621 10-07-2020, 01:36 PM
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#44
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Originally Posted By TBO1313⏩
Hurricane Ivan threw an offshore rig through the Mobile Bay bridge which made getting from the city to the suburbs amassivepain in the ass
well ****, i will gladly take that back now.
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post 1618695371 10-07-2020, 01:42 PM
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#45
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Originally Posted By armyr0b⏩
well ****, i will gladly take that back now.
It depends. Integrity of offshore oil rigs varies wildy since we've been drilling out there for 50+ years now. The ones closer to shore are generally the older ones and would not want to be on one of those during a storm. I've got some pictures of one I recently visited that was to be decommissioned...I was scared as fk that I was going to fall to my death at any moment, the decks were so rusted out.

Then you've got the fancy ones in deeper waters that have crazy design factors.
post 1618695471 10-07-2020, 01:43 PM
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Originally Posted By armyr0b⏩
well ****, i will gladly take that back now.
I was wrong it was Katrina not Ivan. Strange since Ivan was way worse on the Alabama coast than Katrina. In Gulf Shores there are still a couple of big ass boats in the middle of swampy fields near the wharf where Ivan blew them up
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post 1618697651 10-07-2020, 02:07 PM
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looking good already for just passing over land.



model track guidance, if you look at the gray one labeled TVCN, that is the NHC
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post 1618703451 10-07-2020, 03:05 PM
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Now NOAA is saying it will only get back up to a CAT 3, and will be a CAT 2 by the time the eye hits the coast.

That is somewhat good to hear. But of course we still have a while.
“The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.“

PS: Don't eat poop, just don't let the idea of it stop you from living life to its fullest.
post 1618704851 10-07-2020, 03:18 PM
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Damn thing keeps creeping west. I live right on the TX/LA border, looks like ill be evacuating for the 3rd time in 2 months now.
post 1618709241 10-07-2020, 04:04 PM
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Originally Posted By dan06lcm⏩
Damn thing keeps creeping west. I live right on the TX/LA border, looks like ill be evacuating for the 3rd time in 2 months now.
I rode out Laura. I’ll make up my mind for this one tomorrow. I’m just north of Lake Charles.
“The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.“

PS: Don't eat poop, just don't let the idea of it stop you from living life to its fullest.
post 1618748651 10-07-2020, 09:59 PM
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We’re all gonna make it
See you tomorrow
post 1618749381 10-07-2020, 10:11 PM
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God damn Trump. All his fault. This is Trumps America. He creates natural disasters for us.
post 1618759391 10-08-2020, 02:09 AM
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The county just below me issued a mandatory evacuation order. I feel this is a bit of an overreaction due to Laura.

I live just in the north side of that county line. I’ll be spending all day getting ready for the storm.

I’m not committed to staying yet, but I haven’t committed to leaving either.

What are you guys doing?

Man this blows. Right now it looks like tornadoes will be the biggest threat to my area. White flooding and wind damage still up there.
“The stories and information posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact.“

PS: Don't eat poop, just don't let the idea of it stop you from living life to its fullest.
post 1618772001 10-08-2020, 07:43 AM
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Here are some updated graphics to help you folks out.

0z track guidance


GFS idea of landfall


HWRF 0z landfall idea


Euro landfall idea


GFS forecast idea
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post 1618774821 10-08-2020, 08:17 AM
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post 1618775211 10-08-2020, 08:22 AM
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Meh, i'm staying. Screw leaving again, was such a pain in the ass during Laura.
post 1618776091 10-08-2020, 08:34 AM
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Originally Posted By dan06lcm⏩
Meh, i'm staying. Screw leaving again, was such a pain in the ass during Laura.
As a Canadian living in the middle of the prairies, I don't know my ass from my face about these storms, But could you not end up deaded? Like couldn't a Volkswagen come through your living room?
post 1618776461 10-08-2020, 08:38 AM
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Originally Posted By CockHorse⏩
As a Canadian living in the middle of the prairies, I don't know my ass from my face about these storms, But could you not end up deaded? Like couldn't a Volkswagen come through your living room?
That probably won't happen unless he gets railed by a nader or is coastal SRS
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post 1618776601 10-08-2020, 08:39 AM
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#59
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Originally Posted By CockHorse⏩
As a Canadian living in the middle of the prairies, I don't know my ass from my face about these storms, But could you not end up deaded? Like couldn't a Volkswagen come through your living room?
More chance that VW will kill you with its noxious fumes than one ending in your living room whilst fapping to Copefear/Looksmaximus' threads.
post 1618777551 10-08-2020, 08:48 AM
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#60
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Originally Posted By dan06lcm⏩
Meh, i'm staying. Screw leaving again, was such a pain in the ass during Laura.
the storm wont be as strong, but it will be larger and with more surge potentially and more rain. be cautious more of flood zones than wind damage.
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