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Forum » **Un-OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XIII -- Robber Baron Edition
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Thread: **Un-OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XIII -- Robber Baron Edition

post 1632920393 03-04-2021, 09:54 AM
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#3421
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Oil hitting these prices with flight demand so low is probably something to think about as well. When things open up again and pent up travel demand is released, I won't be shocked if supply struggles to keep up
post 1632920563 03-04-2021, 09:56 AM
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#3422
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Originally Posted By BulkingIsHard⏩
Post tickers
I talked about buying WMT yesterday and I bought it today.

I talked about buying oil in this thread a while back and in other sections.

If I figure out how and decide I care to spend the time to, I'll post a pic of the tickers for you. Like I said, I'm just a beginner. I'm not trying to give financial advice and I don't even care if you take me seriously or not. <3
I: Self, Lord and Master.

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post 1632920973 03-04-2021, 10:01 AM
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#3423
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BRB making investments based on which side of the bed a Saudi gets up on. Lol.

There is healthy backwardation in the markets for the time being however.

Just wait however until the big oil companies that became big energy companies come to Congress and tell them to poke the eye of the big oil that stayed big oil.

No one in this thread seems to remember Biden likes the $10.25 bbl tax I guess? Lmao.
post 1632921053 03-04-2021, 10:02 AM
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#3424
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If you want to venture into Canadian O&G, Suncor is the best value buy out of our big three IMO

Stock price is still subdued because they halved their dividend last year. If WTI remains at $50/barrel, cash flow isn't going to be an issue and I'd expect that dividend to be fully reinstated in the near future. If prices stay at $60+, our producers are hugely cash flow positive in an environment like that
post 1632921343 03-04-2021, 10:05 AM
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#3425
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
Oil hitting these prices with flight demand so low is probably something to think about as well. When things open up again and pent up travel demand is released, I won't be shocked if supply struggles to keep up
Things in the US are already opening up rapidly. I've seen an uptick in air travel personally, not sure how much, but it's enough info for me to think oil isn't going down and broaden my portfolio a bit. Just executed a trade for more VDE, sold some S&P.
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post 1632921373 03-04-2021, 10:05 AM
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#3426
  1. Arem24
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
If you want to venture into Canadian O&G, Suncor is the best value buy out of our big three IMO

Stock price is still subdued because they halved their dividend last year. If WTI remains at $50/barrel, cash flow isn't going to be an issue and I'd expect that dividend to be fully reinstated in the near future. If prices stay at $60+, our producers are hugely cash flow positive in an environment like that
Aren’t you the same peasant that said Canadian oil doesn’t depend on WTI price.

post 1632921633 03-04-2021, 10:10 AM
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#3427
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Originally Posted By topperstyle⏩
Anyone have link to Powell speech?
https://www.wsj.com/video/watch-jero...BA991BBCE.html
Dallas Mavericks
post 1632922043 03-04-2021, 10:13 AM
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#3428
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Originally Posted By Abzu⏩
I talked about buying WMT yesterday and I bought it today.

I talked about buying oil in this thread a while back and in other sections.

If I figure out how and decide I care to spend the time to, I'll post a pic of the tickers for you. Like I said, I'm just a beginner. I'm not trying to give financial advice and I don't even care if you take me seriously or not. <3
USOIL is looks like it is peaking though so I don't know why I should make entry here
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_decline
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Societal_collapse#By_absorption
post 1632922943 03-04-2021, 10:25 AM
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#3429
  1. Destor
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Originally Posted By Arem24⏩
Aren’t you the same peasant that said Canadian oil doesn’t depend on WTI price.

I wouldn't have quite said that, our products typically track against WTI with a price differential. And that differential is also low right now relative to the price increases we've seen in WTI/Brent


I probably said our oil production doesn't depend on the price of WTI because of the nature of our industry. We build massive mines that cost tens of billions up front but are sitting on proven oil reserves that will last 15-20 years, so we don't require significant capital spending to continue production. Companies like CNQ and SU can just sit in one spot pumping out barrels while executing shutdowns to switch out equipment and piping, and that's the type of stuff I'm working on nowadays. And the longer they operate, the further down they drive breakeven $/bbl costs.


Actually gearing up for a CNQ shutdown right now
post 1632923593 03-04-2021, 10:33 AM
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#3430
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Originally Posted By Destor⏩
I wouldn't have quite said that, our products typically track against WTI with a price differential. And that differential is also low right now relative to the price increases we've seen in WTI/Brent


I probably said our oil production doesn't depend on the price of WTI because of the nature of our industry. We build massive mines that cost tens of billions up front but are sitting on proven oil reserves that will last 15-20 years, so we don't require significant capital spending to continue production. Companies like CNQ and SU can just sit in one spot pumping out barrels while executing shutdowns to switch out equipment and piping, and that's the type of stuff I'm working on nowadays. And the longer they operate, the further down they drive breakeven $/bbl costs.


Actually gearing up for a CNQ shutdown right now
Unfortunately the break even price is likely almost as low as it can get, it’s a naive narrative you have. Some very slight improvements on the margin sure, but not material.

I heard the ability to produce is closely tied to profitability ><

I mean I guess it would suck to be in a country so devoid of innovation and investment potential that you’re looking around and it’s like eh, I guess it’s either the crappy banks we have or the crappy oil we have.

It’s kind of understood Canada is fukked, even Trudeau’s candyass had to realize Canada has no option but to keep pushing oil and pray on a shooting star it works out.

Can’t do solar, can’t do onshore wind, can’t do nuclear. What’s a sad Canuck to do?

Good luck with the oil in the 5 year time frame, and I’m crossing my fingers and clicking my heels hoping they raise that dividend
post 1632923643 03-04-2021, 10:34 AM
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#3431
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JPow has said inflation about 100 times so far.


say it more Jpow so market goes even more red.
post 1632924163 03-04-2021, 10:38 AM
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#3432
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Originally Posted By Arem24⏩
Unfortunately the break even price is likely almost as low as it can get, it’s a naive narrative you have. Some very slight improvements on the margin sure, but not material.

I heard the ability to produce is closely tied to profitability ><

I mean I guess it would suck to be in a country so devoid of innovation and investment potential that you’re looking around and it’s like eh, I guess it’s either the crappy banks we have or the crappy oil we have.

It’s kind of understood Canada is fukked, even Trudeau’s candyass had to realize Canada has no option but to keep pushing oil and pray on a shooting star it works out.

Can’t do solar, can’t do onshore wind, can’t do nuclear. What’s a sad Canuck to do?

Good luck with the oil in the 5 year time frame, and I’m crossing my fingers and clicking my heels hoping they raise that dividend
Depends on the companies. I would say CNQ and SU have likely already realized a big chunk of their efficiency gains, but then you have a company like CVE who just acquired Husky last year for rock-bottom prices and has yet to demonstrate the efficiencies they hoped to achieve

And then there's the two pipelines we have going, TransMountain and Enbridge's Line 3 twinning. If even just TransMountain is completed, I'd expect further gains through increased market access and hopefully a lower differential + capacity for production increases. And other factors in the heavy crude market, what's happening with Mexican and Venezuelan blends mainly


Disclaimer that I work in this industry and have incentive to be bullish. But I don't think my assessment is unrealistic and truly believe the Canadian oil business model is strong
post 1632924983 03-04-2021, 10:46 AM
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#3433
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Anyone buy BUZZ? The new ETF that buys stock in company via their “value” thru social media. No idea how they determine the value, but I guess based on algorithms and such. Seems like a gimmick but Portnoy is behind and anything he touches turns to gold.
post 1632925433 03-04-2021, 10:51 AM
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#3434
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Originally Posted By topperstyle⏩
Tesla is about to sleep with the fishes if it doesn’t bounce
Tesla has good support at $600.



Bond yields are rising after JPow speech


Which means everything dropping bit now
post 1632925443 03-04-2021, 10:51 AM
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#3435
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Jesus looks like my day trading turned into 10 year holds.

Get you chit together ARKG
There is no they…
post 1632925893 03-04-2021, 10:57 AM
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#3436
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If inflation goes 4% what market is fearing

what can you do with 1.5-1.6 percent 10 year yield

wipe you're ass with it.


bonds are dog shiit again
post 1632926133 03-04-2021, 11:00 AM
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#3437
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Gambling sector getting its chit pushed in harder than most. Even great news like DKNG got with UFC can't create any green in this market.
post 1632926183 03-04-2021, 11:01 AM
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#3438
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looks like most tech stocks are going pre covid levels
post 1632926223 03-04-2021, 11:01 AM
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#3439
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Originally Posted By Travis99⏩
Jesus looks like my day trading turned into 10 year holds.

Get you chit together ARKG
Wtf lmao

So what do you guys think is gonna be the market reaction to the Powell talk?

I see SPY crashing for one..

Though we started the day with like 20 stocks all crashing and bouncing as an identical group already so everyone pre-emptively kinda reacted.

But now it’s even more red again.

Who bought spy puts? Lol can’t wait till I learn calls and puts.
post 1632926603 03-04-2021, 11:06 AM
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#3440
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Green tomorrow or load more spy puts now?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_decline
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Societal_collapse#By_absorption
post 1632927093 03-04-2021, 11:12 AM
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#3441
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[QUOTE=BulkingIsHard post_id=1632926603]Green tomorrow or load more spy puts now?

[img]https://i.imgur.com/dBAw55img][/QUOTE]
Whole market is bouncing on thin edge on bond market battle.

TLT has massive volume right now.

If that shiit doesn't bounce.

Everything will sell off.

I am cash gang now.
post 1632927303 03-04-2021, 11:15 AM
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#3442
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My angus was not prepared for that. Down 15% and still dropping. Going to hold, not sweat over this anymore, and add more cash when the smoke clears.
post 1632927313 03-04-2021, 11:15 AM
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#3443
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It just keeps getting worse.
Always Neg Back Crew.
post 1632927713 03-04-2021, 11:19 AM
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#3444
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All in on rope
post 1632927893 03-04-2021, 11:21 AM
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#3445
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It is kind of interesting to see the doom and gloom themed posts. Even with the week's poor trajectory, VT/VTWAX has returned to price levels not seen since...

...last month (February 2nd).
http://stackingplates.com
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post 1632927903 03-04-2021, 11:21 AM
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#3446
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Might just sell all my RRGB stonks just because its the only damn green thing in my port today
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩۞۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
Bayern Munchen Crew
German-Hungarian Crew
AZ Sports Crew
Idaho Brah
TRUMP 2016
Finance Crew
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩۞۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

"Over 90% of muscle gain is stretching" - ReppinRyan & AnimalAdam
post 1632928133 03-04-2021, 11:23 AM
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#3447
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tempted to go in dry on $WISH

just lol if they go full penny stonk
6 scoops of xf up2.0 a day
post 1632928373 03-04-2021, 11:25 AM
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#3448
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help
LAKERS
post 1632928453 03-04-2021, 11:26 AM
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#3449
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Fking thanks alot biden
post 1632928723 03-04-2021, 11:29 AM
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I was told that stonks only go up, guess I was lied to.
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