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Omicron 5 times more likely to reinfect than Delta; no less severe
12-19-2021, 06:29 PM
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#181
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
I don't have the requisite data to pool the 4 vaccine/dosing estimates. We have point estimates and CI's, we need the raw data to carry the variance forward through pooling.I am asking you to post a sentence along the lines of the sensationalist headliner you quoted because it fit your narrative. I am not asking for an exact number.
Here it is again :
Why can't you do it?
Because it doesn't support your narrative?
Here it is again :
Why can't you do it?
Because it doesn't support your narrative?

We could kind of treat the vaccine/dosing estimates as separate studies and do a pseudo meta-analysis, but that's a hack leaving a lot to be desired.
Pool the estimates your way and let's discuss the result.
12-19-2021, 06:31 PM
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#182
- dabbmw2002
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Post deleted by user
Original Ruckus
12-19-2021, 06:33 PM
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#183
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Because I don't have the data.No need to pool to construct a sentence along the lines of the sensationalist headliner you quoted in OP.
Here it is again, in even bigger font, because you seem to be missing it:
Why can't you construct a simple sentence?
Here it is again, in even bigger font, because you seem to be missing it:
Why can't you construct a simple sentence?

Please post whatever it is you're taking issue with in the paper. Let's discuss
12-19-2021, 06:33 PM
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#184
- hendrixfreak70
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Stolifun and P51 have only their ideology to blame for my lack of concern about this virus. For two years we’ve been called selfish and made to choose between careers and getting a shot. The goalposts keep moving because of their ideology. Less than two percent of the people who get it die. Your ideology has ruined way more lives than this virus has taken. If we don’t put an end to this NOW, they will never stop. So, if you support this Draconian garbage, IT’S ON YOU. And why do you care that much anyway? After all, it’s only killing Republicans, right? You can’t tell me you care that much because apparently P51 is not pleased with me spreading my a cold.
12-19-2021, 06:35 PM
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#185
Originally Posted By J.L.C.⏩
This implies that the protection against Omicron afforded by 4 different vaccine/doses conditions may be as low as*please complete* per cent.Because I don't have the data.
Please post whatever it is you're taking issue with in the paper. Let's discuss
Please post whatever it is you're taking issue with in the paper. Let's discuss
12-19-2021, 06:36 PM
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#186
12-19-2021, 06:37 PM
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#187
- hendrixfreak70
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Originally Posted By hendrixfreak70⏩
I want to quote this again for the Branch Covidians. I also wanted to add that apparently I’m not the only one who feels this way. You retards and people like you have backed us into a corner. It’s time to show you that it’s only a cold. I’ve talked to about 10 people today and all agree they’re tired of it. If y’all wouldn’t have gone as far as y’all have, politically, we’d be cool. It’s just a cold. That’s all it is.Stolifun and P51 have only their ideology to blame for my lack of concern about this virus. For two years we’ve been called selfish and made to choose between careers and getting a shot. The goalposts keep moving because of their ideology. Less than two percent of the people who get it die. Your ideology has ruined way more lives than this virus has taken. If we don’t put an end to this NOW, they will never stop. So, if you support this Draconian garbage, IT’S ON YOU. And why do you care that much anyway? After all, it’s only killing Republicans, right? You can’t tell me you care that much because apparently P51 is not pleased with me spreading my a cold.
Inb4 I die from the cold.
12-19-2021, 06:39 PM
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#188
Originally Posted By hendrixfreak70⏩
You didn't quote anyone, but because I started the thread I'm assuming the "you" refers to me.Stolifun and P51 have only their ideology to blame for my lack of concern about this virus. For two years we’ve been called selfish and made to choose between careers and getting a shot. The goalposts keep moving because of their ideology. Less than two percent of the people who get it die. Your ideology has ruined way more lives than this virus has taken. If we don’t put an end to this NOW, they will never stop. So, if you support this Draconian garbage, IT’S ON YOU. And why do you care that much anyway? After all, it’s only killing Republicans, right? You can’t tell me you care that much because apparently P51 is not pleased with me spreading my a cold.
I have never supported mandates or the theatrical displays by politicians; I think they do far more harm than good. I'm in Canada so we don't have Republicans, but I can't see how a virus would know who someone voted for, regardless of country.
12-19-2021, 06:41 PM
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#189
- hendrixfreak70
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Originally Posted By J.L.C.⏩
I was quoting myself kek. I wanted them to have to see it again. If you don’t support mandates and lockdowns, you’re ok in my book. I hate Mississippi, but I’m thankful they ended all of this retarded mandated mask wearing and lockdowns and never asked us for passports a year ago.You didn't quote anyone, but because I started the thread I'm assuming the "you" refers to me.
I have never supported mandates or the theatrical displays by politicians; I think they do far more harm than good. I'm in Canada so we don't have Republicans, but I can't see how a virus would know who someone voted for, regardless of country.
I have never supported mandates or the theatrical displays by politicians; I think they do far more harm than good. I'm in Canada so we don't have Republicans, but I can't see how a virus would know who someone voted for, regardless of country.
12-19-2021, 06:41 PM
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#190
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Post your single estimate.Imagine the amount of backpedaling.
Here is the original:
Those don't look very similar, it's almost like you're adding stuff onto it to fudge the numbers as your narrative requires it.
Here is the original:
Those don't look very similar, it's almost like you're adding stuff onto it to fudge the numbers as your narrative requires it.

I posted the 4 estimates from the article. You want them pooled for some reason, so pool them. What number (or series of numbers) do you want to discuss? Let's chat
12-19-2021, 06:44 PM
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#191
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
“Repeat a lie often enough and it becomes the truth”He does support mandates, he just says he doesn't.
He also support his government posting intentionally misleading information on the official websites as it related to covid vaccines.
He also support his government posting intentionally misleading information on the official websites as it related to covid vaccines.

Where have I ever stated any support for the above?
12-19-2021, 06:55 PM
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#192
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Here they are again, combine them any way you like and let's discussWhy are there four estimates? You only need one number to complete that sentence.
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?
Just LOL at intellectually dishonest beavercel vaxcucks, keep playing dumb.

And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?
Just LOL at intellectually dishonest beavercel vaxcucks, keep playing dumb.

Originally Posted By J.L.C.⏩
Is this what you want to discuss?"We found a significant increased risk of an Omicron case compared to Delta for those with vaccine status:
AZ 2+weeks post-dose 2 (PD2) 1.86 (95%CI: 1.67-2.08),
Pfizer 2+w PD2 2.68 (95%CI: 2.54-2.83),
AZ 2+w post-dose 3 (PD3) 4.32 (95%CI: 3.84-4.85)
PF 2+w PD3 4.07 (95%CI: 3.66-4.51)PD3 states are categorised by the dose 1/2 vaccine used). Depending on the Delta VE estimates used,
These estimates translate into Omicron VE estimates of between0% and 20% PD2and between55% and 80% PD3against Omicron"
AZ 2+weeks post-dose 2 (PD2) 1.86 (95%CI: 1.67-2.08),
Pfizer 2+w PD2 2.68 (95%CI: 2.54-2.83),
AZ 2+w post-dose 3 (PD3) 4.32 (95%CI: 3.84-4.85)
PF 2+w PD3 4.07 (95%CI: 3.66-4.51)PD3 states are categorised by the dose 1/2 vaccine used). Depending on the Delta VE estimates used,
These estimates translate into Omicron VE estimates of between0% and 20% PD2and between55% and 80% PD3against Omicron"
"These estimates translate into Omicron VE estimates of between0% and 20% PD2and between55% and 80% PD3against Omicron"
12-19-2021, 06:56 PM
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#193
Originally Posted By SuperHercules⏩
Link?lol at comirnaty. Why do they keep calling it the pfizer vaccine if they changed the name?
I haven't heard anyone call it comirnaty except for maybe OP when he was lying about getting it
I haven't heard anyone call it comirnaty except for maybe OP when he was lying about getting it
I recall saying the contents are identical regardless of label. Some are very fixated on the label; reasons for label concerns are unclear and have not been stated.
Or is this part of the “repeat a lie often enough and it becomes the truth” campaign?
12-19-2021, 07:07 PM
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#194
Originally Posted By SuperHercules⏩
So it's the latter. Cool.
12-19-2021, 07:08 PM
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#195
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
"Has to"? LolNope, try again.
It has to include "may be as low as" and a single number, not a range. Just like the quoted overly sensationalized sentence you quoted from the "study".
So much dodging - I do wonder why?
It has to include "may be as low as" and a single number, not a range. Just like the quoted overly sensationalized sentence you quoted from the "study".
So much dodging - I do wonder why?

Also, I don't know what rekt means.
It seems to mean "I don't like what you posted". I wonder why people are so upset about this article? I think this might be a single-day neg record.
12-19-2021, 07:33 PM
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#196
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Single sentence from the article:Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

"These estimates translate into Omicron VE estimates of between0% and 20% PD2and between55% and 80% PD3against Omicron"
The authors' 19% comes from the point estimate of 0.81 (mean), the 95% CI is 0.73-1.00, but frequentist confidence intervals are unintuitive."Prior to Omicron, the SIREN cohort study of UK healthcare workers estimated that SARS-CoV-2 infection gave 85% protection against reinfection over 6 months, or a relative risk of infection of 0.15 compared with those with no prior infection. Our hazard ratio estimate would suggest the relative risk of reinfection has risen to 0.81 [95%CI: 0.73-1.00] (i.e. remaining protection of 19% [95%CI: 0-27%]) against Omicron."
12-19-2021, 07:40 PM
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#197
- notbadnotbrad
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Can u guys just exchange numbers and text about this going forward?
Cheers
Cheers
12-19-2021, 07:44 PM
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#198
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Who's squirming? You refuse to present a position or "the number" with which you're concerned.Just enjoy watching him squirm.
Remember, it's him and people like him supporting the narrative.
Remember, it's him and people like him supporting the narrative.

Which narrative?
12-19-2021, 07:45 PM
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#199
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
The authors' 19% comes from the point estimate of 0.81 (mean), the 95% CI is 0.73-1.00, but frequentist confidence intervals are unintuitive.That's not what I asked for though.
Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

"Prior to Omicron, the SIREN cohort study of UK healthcare workers estimated that SARS-CoV-2 infection gave 85% protection against reinfection over 6 months, or a relative risk of infection of 0.15 compared with those with no prior infection. Our hazard ratio estimate would suggest the relative risk of reinfection has risen to 0.81 [95%CI: 0.73-1.00] (i.e. remaining protection of 19% [95%CI: 0-27%]) against Omicron."
12-19-2021, 07:52 PM
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#200
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
That's not what I asked for though.
Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

"These estimates translate into Omicron VE estimates of between 0% and 20% PD2 and between 55% and 80% PD3 against Omicron"
Where,PD2 = AZ 2+weeks post-dose 2 or Pfizer 2+w post-dose 2
PD3 = AZ 2+w post-dose 3 and PF 2+w post-dose 3
But really, which narrative?
The Misc narrative is that immunity acquired through infection is superior to immunity acquired through vaccination (less risk, more protection), so people should rely on infection for immunity.
Why won't you post the number with which you're concerned?
12-19-2021, 07:58 PM
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#201
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
I haven't dodged anything. There is a range for 2 doses and a range for 3 (from the article, which I've now posted a few times). How/why would you collapse those? Are you suggesting people previously infected have been reinfected multiple times and those are being collapsed?I'm not concerned with the number, I am just enjoying watching you squirm, because you can't bring yourself to post a simple sentence.
Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
I think everyone, including yourself, know why you keep dodging.
Here it is again:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
I think everyone, including yourself, know why you keep dodging.

"Guess my argument" would probably be a good game show!
12-19-2021, 08:16 PM
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#202
- Joseph1990
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Originally Posted By J.L.C.⏩
You're so fkin dumb you don't see how dumb you are.Who's squirming? You refuse to present a position or "the number" with which you're concerned.
Which narrative?
Which narrative?
Control group crew membership revoked 7/5/2022 1:50pm PST not proud.
Inb4 honorable FDA/CDC/NIH/WHO representatives
J.L.C,
NextPound,
mgftp,
SillieBazzillie.
12-19-2021, 08:20 PM
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#203
12-19-2021, 08:23 PM
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#204
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
It doesn't make sense to average those estimates. I assume you know this and want me to post an invalid average for some kind of pwnage.No, that's not what I am asking, here it is again, please read it this time:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

12-19-2021, 08:27 PM
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#205
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
It doesn't make sense to average those estimates. I assume you know this and want me to post an invalid average for some kind of pwnage.Why can't you do it?

If you're so sure it's a valid approach and argument, post your estimate. Take a position. Make a statement. Say something.
12-19-2021, 08:39 PM
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#206
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
A single point estimate doesn't make sense across those discrete conditions. I assume you know this and want me to post an invalid number for some kind of pwnage.Not asking for an average. You just can't bring yourself to post it because it doesn't support your narrative.
Please read this time:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

Please read this time:
And here's the original sensationalized sentence:
Why can't you do it?

If you're so sure it's a valid approach and argument, post your estimate. Take a position. Make a statement. Say something.
12-19-2021, 08:46 PM
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#207
12-19-2021, 08:52 PM
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#208
- OrdoAbchao
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It's propaganda.
https://www.aier.org/article/imperia...models-failed/
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/05/u...ntl/index.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ying-home.html
Obviously they rehired the Neil to do another round of propaganda.
https://www.aier.org/article/imperia...models-failed/
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/05/u...ntl/index.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ying-home.html
Obviously they rehired the Neil to do another round of propaganda.
What are you on about mate?
12-19-2021, 09:10 PM
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#209
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
So your argument is that both AZ and Pfizer afford as little at 0% protection, regardless of number of doses?This implies that the protection against infection by Omicron afforded by vaccination may be as low as x per cent."
0%
20%
55%
80%
The smallest number out of those is the number that goes in that sentence, to be a similarly sensationalized sentence like the one you thought was informative and essential to the OP.
0%
20%
55%
80%
The smallest number out of those is the number that goes in that sentence, to be a similarly sensationalized sentence like the one you thought was informative and essential to the OP.
Thanks for stating a position!
I don't think it's valid to take the lowest CI boundary as a substitute for a combined CI lower bound.
Also, given what we know about antibody levels over time, I don't think it's valid to collapse across different numbers of doses.
12-19-2021, 09:28 PM
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#210
Originally Posted By Anachron⏩
Right. That's what I posted above."This implies that the protection against infection by Omicron afforded by vaccination may be as low as 0 per cent.
So your argument is that any number of AZ or Pfizer doses affords as little at 0% protection?
Is your argument specific to omicron?I still don't think it's a valid calculation.
Do you think there should be estimates for different numbers of infections or time since last infection to account for waning immunity after infection?
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