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» **OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION
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post 1678513163 03-07-2023, 01:26 PM
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#2581
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By dankydank
wHy wOulD iT gO dOwn says the dumb bull as 50 bps hike goes from 1% to over 50%. My puts still safe
Imo the 50 hike isn’t possible. It would cause too much market turmoil. They should have done it the last hike but Powell was too chicken shyt.

Although now he probably will when no one expects it because even though he is attempting to be open and transparent he does things that don’t make sense.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678516863 03-07-2023, 02:36 PM
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#2582
  1. Abzu
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  1. Abzu
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Originally Posted By dankydank
wHy wOulD iT gO dOwn says the dumb bull as 50 bps hike goes from 1% to over 50%. My puts still safe
If you are talking about me, you are once again mistaken lol.

I'm the guy who said "rates higher for longer" before JPow even said it lol.

The market is going to crash this year, I'm just making fun of your emotion-based timing lol.



So are we crashing now?

Is JPow going to hike 50bps?

What is the terminal rate going to be?


Originally Posted By Abzu
Terminal fed funds rate will be 5.25-5.50 to 5.50-5.75, the fed will then pause, rate cuts follow and continue into 2024.

I still haven't seen anyone post the catalyst to get this market moving down.

I don't think most of you guys are going to make it this year but that's ok.
Terminal fed funds rate is now expected to be 5.50-5.75 by July lol.

At the time of my post, 5.50-5.75 was at 0.00% probability lol.

Even a month ago, it was at 0.00% probability LMAO!
I: Self, Lord and Master.

"I rub my hands when my palms itch."

"I call you Son not because you Shine but because you Mine."
post 1678517753 03-07-2023, 02:57 PM
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#2583
  1. _zman
  2. Trancebrah
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Originally Posted By dopamine72
One of my few greens right now

PE ratio is sky high but that doesn't matter much anymore as we all know

Lookin like its going to keep on going up with this trend, hard to tell if I should trim more or wait
Agree. Evaluations haven't really mattered since I started investing. After seeing the vid I'd like to invest more, but I'd like a similar video on AMD to compare. Love these kind of videos.
★★★ A State of Trance Crew ★★★
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post 1678519913 03-07-2023, 03:33 PM
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#2584
  1. Venom08
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Originally Posted By thatsnarf
"buy to open" correct? i'll probably just get 2 for fun.
Yeah, "but to open limit $0.29"
post 1678526253 03-07-2023, 05:43 PM
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#2585
  1. SipNPiz
  2. 2 B Tan is 2 B Glorious!
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace
I have covered calls at $40 and $45 for BROS. Opened these a couple weeks ago at the same time.

$40 was for $1.60 per contract
$45 was for $.80 per contract

The $40 options lost $.20 in value today, which makes sense, but the $45 options became $.90moreexpensive.

Is this due to low liquidity on the $45 contracts?? Spread is huge.
What expiry? I took a look for $45 exp in a few weeks and there is zero liquidity since they are like 45% otm
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1678529643 03-07-2023, 06:38 PM
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#2586
  1. SipNPiz
  2. 2 B Tan is 2 B Glorious!
  1. SipNPiz
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You might be stuck with them keeping open until expiry brah, there is no volume on em
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1678537493 03-07-2023, 09:25 PM
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#2587
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
  1. RobParks2M
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I was right. Buffet bought another $350 milli in OXY sharesthese $55p for June are definitely expiring worthless. He’s got like 22% of the company and could easily just buy the whole dam thing. If I didn’t have so many long shot long dated plays I’d try buying calls and see if I can catch a buyout rumor that he wants the whole thing at $70+
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678538163 03-07-2023, 09:46 PM
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#2588
  1. usersignup2
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  1. usersignup2
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I opened a position in OXY today @60.90 and still holding Jun 62.50 csp.
post 1678538403 03-07-2023, 09:52 PM
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#2589
  1. Bingo559
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  1. Bingo559
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anyone hold IEP? Is Carl Icahn close to warren buffet levels? thinking of buying some shares. $8 divvy
post 1678540973 03-07-2023, 10:49 PM
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#2590
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By usersignup2
I opened a position in OXY today @60.90 and still holding Jun 62.50 csp.
Smart man. I shouldda went with $60p but I wanted to give myself some room in case oil tanked and he backed off on buys.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678548843 03-08-2023, 04:35 AM
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#2591
  1. GreatReset1
  2. Biden's America 🤡
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No one is gonna stop the Biden Depression that is coming... some of you voted for it.
post 1678551603 03-08-2023, 05:56 AM
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#2592
  1. 2020Wellness
  2. Author/Trainer
  1. 2020Wellness
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Hit a nice goal recently of generating $100.00/week in dividends from my account I started in March, 2020. Feels good mang!

And before someone tells me I shouldn't be focused on dividends, I'm not. At this point, I'm after the annual returns over dividends and biggest holdings are VOO and VUG. The dividend goal is just a bonus.
trainingwithryan.substack.com
post 1678557503 03-08-2023, 07:48 AM
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#2593
  1. reinsdorfsucks
  2. \_(ツ)_/
  1. reinsdorfsucks
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Originally Posted By Bingo559
anyone hold IEP? Is Carl Icahn close to warren buffet levels? thinking of buying some shares. $8 divvy
I bought it briefly in the past, but immediately sold because I saw that it's a "partnership" and not a corporation, so had more complicated requirements for taxes that I didn't want to have to deal with. Also, I think the dividend yield is a bit deceiving.
Pureblood
post 1678561723 03-08-2023, 08:59 AM
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#2594
  1. Harry362
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What stonks should I be buying to hold long term (srs)
post 1678562843 03-08-2023, 09:22 AM
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#2595
  1. thatsnarf
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Originally Posted By harry362
what stonks should i be buying to hold long term (srs)
arkk
post 1678567343 03-08-2023, 10:35 AM
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#2596
  1. SipNPiz
  2. 2 B Tan is 2 B Glorious!
  1. SipNPiz
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Originally Posted By reinsdorfsucks
I bought it briefly in the past, but immediately sold because I saw that it's a "partnership" and not a corporation, so had more complicated requirements for taxes that I didn't want to have to deal with. Also, I think the dividend yield is a bit deceiving.
Right the distributions are from cash flow and not earnings and taxes suck especially if they operate in multiple states and the tax forms usually come late (like April and may) I don’t fux with LP and MLP anymore
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1678580793 03-08-2023, 02:13 PM
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#2597
  1. imbeingcereal
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Originally Posted By 2020Wellness
Hit a nice goal recently of generating $100.00/week in dividends from my account I started in March, 2020. Feels good mang!

And before someone tells me I shouldn't be focused on dividends, I'm not. At this point, I'm after the annual returns over dividends and biggest holdings are VOO and VUG. The dividend goal is just a bonus.
Do you mean literally $100/week or just $400/month and/or $5200/year? In either case, congrats because that's a big goal! I just feel like it'd be way too hard to time $100/week due to differences in companies' pay dates.
post 1678588323 03-08-2023, 04:10 PM
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#2598
  1. Lowkick
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace
When will these meme stonks come back to reality?
This is reality.
Registered Dietitian Crew
Misc Wristwatch Crew
I taste protein shakes for a living srs
3x3 crew
post 1678599783 03-08-2023, 07:28 PM
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#2599
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By TugOfPeace
ehh.. I find that hard to believe. This stock market is a clown market
I think you are trying too hard to time the market. If you think it’ll ever get close to the $100 it once was why not start buying now? Consider just buying more monthly and forgetting about it if you are a firm believer in their services.
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678620043 03-09-2023, 05:28 AM
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#2600
  1. 2020Wellness
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Originally Posted By imbeingcereal
Do you mean literally $100/week or just $400/month and/or $5200/year? In either case, congrats because that's a big goal! I just feel like it'd be way too hard to time $100/week due to differences in companies' pay dates.
I mean steady dividends equaling $100/week or more from the ETFs and Mutual Funds I hold. I'm not buying and selling for dividends. I'm just buying and holding a handful of main funds.
trainingwithryan.substack.com
post 1678636653 03-09-2023, 11:05 AM
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#2601
  1. Destor
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Dividends are overlooked IMO, but they are legit how businesses return $$$ to investors. Even when seeking out growthy companies, the growth prospects are the market trying to figure out how much $$$ that business will eventually pay out to investors

Not sure I'll ever be in the business of buying low and selling high, I want to buy low and get $$$ out of the company
post 1678640523 03-09-2023, 12:07 PM
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#2602
  1. XcelerateNYC
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Ouch boyos this was some sell off.

Stay safe.
Isaiah 45:22-23. Look unto me, and be ye saved, all the ends of the earth: for I am God, and there is none else.

I have sworn by myself, the word is gone out of my mouth in righteousness, and shall not return, That unto me every knee shall bow, every tongue shall swear.

Catholicism debunked
https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=179267571

Pure blood
post 1678640693 03-09-2023, 12:11 PM
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#2603
  1. Carbonfibre
  2. Rubber Banding
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was away for most week

yeah risk happens fast



regional banks are flashing stock market crash incoming they are at dangerous low levels atm.

big banks also not looking good
post 1678643973 03-09-2023, 01:10 PM
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#2604
  1. Carbonfibre
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nobody has puts huh?

I did was short futures lol.



regional banks are hitting limit down

market wants to **** bed
post 1678643993 03-09-2023, 01:10 PM
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#2605
  1. SipNPiz
  2. 2 B Tan is 2 B Glorious!
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Hey y’all not sure how close anyone is following what is really going on in China but the CCP is getting more and more desperate and the perfect thing they could shift focus away would be to invade Taiwan. The moment the invasion starts TSMC would shut down and evacuate their engineers as well as sabotage their fabs. TSMC puts for September are cheap I grabbed one.

I spoke with someone who is on the board at a local credit union, things do not look good for the upcoming YEARS… I was shocked when I heard years rather than months like most analysts say.

Most are probably aware I’m very bearish
STEM Wagie Brah
Oil/commodity based trader
post 1678644653 03-09-2023, 01:24 PM
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#2606
  1. camaleom
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SPY taking it in the arse big time...
"Paper money is going away" - EM
post 1678644723 03-09-2023, 01:25 PM
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#2607
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre
nobody has puts huh?

I did was short futures lol.



regional banks are hitting limit down

market wants to **** bed
You already know I’m dick deep in pooots. Still rocking Sbux puts im getting railed on and added the F and WBA 2024p like I said last week. Why are banks in trouble? Their interest income should be yuuuge. I feel good about Sofi and the loans they offer. They sold off a big portion of the ones they had on their books ayy lmao.

WFC gonna get wrekt tho
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678644753 03-09-2023, 01:25 PM
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#2608
  1. Carbonfibre
  2. Rubber Banding
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go check on regional banks tickers

they are folding like bricks atm


very scary situation
post 1678645793 03-09-2023, 01:45 PM
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#2609
  1. RobParks2M
  2. mad hatter
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Originally Posted By Carbonfibre
go check on regional banks tickers

they are folding like bricks atm


very scary situation
Because of SVB? Looks like they held large fixed income positions that turned ugly. Probably not wise and I presume others were more careful with their holdings knowing where rates were headed. Any solid ones that got thrown out with the bad eggs?
Fitness connoisseur
0.4 mg of party's over wake the FK up!
"the personification of greatness"
post 1678645943 03-09-2023, 01:47 PM
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#2610
  1. dopamine72
  2. Endorphin Junkie
  1. dopamine72
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Originally Posted By 2020Wellness
I mean steady dividends equaling $100/week or more from the ETFs and Mutual Funds I hold. I'm not buying and selling for dividends. I'm just buying and holding a handful of main funds.
What's the total amount of capital you have invested to get $100 per week? That's pretty good.
Originally Posted By Destor
Dividends are overlooked IMO, but they are legit how businesses return $$$ to investors. Even when seeking out growthy companies, the growth prospects are the market trying to figure out how much $$$ that business will eventually pay out to investors

Not sure I'll ever be in the business of buying low and selling high, I want to buy low and get $$$ out of the company
100% agreed

If it wasn't for my dividend portfolio the last two years I probably would have quit
Journal: https://forum.obnoxiousbrutes.com/showthread.php?t=139898123&page=240
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